Cryptocurrency
Very Optimistic Bitcoin Price Prediction by Mechanism Capital
Bitcoin could potentially reach a “mid-term” price level above $1 million thanks to a series of hyper-bullish developments around the asset, according to crypto investment firm Mechanism Capital.
The company’s co-founder, Andrew Kang, wrote to Twitter on Friday explaining why he thinks Bitcoin is performing “stronger than expected” despite several “poor market structure dynamics” that affected it earlier this month.
How Fast Can Bitcoin Reach $1 Million?
According to Kang, the leading potential catalyst for an explosion in Bitcoin’s value is Bitcoin’s adoption as a national treasury reserve asset.
Though no promises or guarantees of the like have been made, several rumors are circulating among crypto’s biggest voices that Donald Trump intends to promise a national Bitcoin reserve for the United States later this month, if re-elected as President.
Whether or not his attempted implementation is actually successful, Kang believes the mere possibility gives Bitcoin “Asymmetric upside potential” that’s attractive to investors today.
“There are very plausible asymmetric mid-term scenarios for $500k+, $1 million+ price targets,” he wrote. “Even if you have probabilities of that at 5%, 10%, Bitcoin here is very underpriced.”
Should the US indeed implement this strategy, Kang predicts other nations would be inspired to follow its lead. He also cited rumors of a “major Asian conglomerate” potentially assuming a similar to role to MicroStrategy and Coinbase in the west – publicly traded firms that provide leveraged Bitcoin / broader crypto ecosystem exposure respectively.
“These bullish developments have come quicker than expected but not complaining – it’s gonna be a hell of a month,” he said.
Return Of The Bull Market?
Bitcoin surged to a monthly high of $67,000 on Friday, which it last attained in early June after the SEC approved Ethereum spot ETFs for public trading. Regulatory developments earlier this week have the first Ethereum ETFs primed to go live next week, experts predict.
From late June through early July, Bitcoin’s price faced headwinds as the German government steadily sold 50,000 BTC it had seized from a movie piracy website in January.
Its sales are now over, though on-chain analysts at CryptoQuant believe Bitcoin stablecoin liquidity must rise before Bitcoin enters another bull market swing phase.
Others believe politics are helping boost Bitcoin’s price this week, with Polymarket betting odds increasingly favoring President Joe Biden to abandon his 2024 re-election bid.
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Cryptocurrency
Top Ripple (XRP) Price Predictions as of Late
TL;DR
- XRP recovered to $2.18 after dropping below $2 last week, with analysts predicting a potential rally.
- While some foresee the asset reaching $100 in the future, achieving this would require an unrealistic market cap exceeding $5 trillion.
XRP Rally Incoming?
The cryptocurrency market correction, which started last week, negatively affected numerous leading digital assets. Ripple’s XRP is one of those, with its price plunging from $2.70 on December 17 to under $2 a few days later. Recently, the bulls recovered some lost ground, pushing the asset’s valuation to the current $2.18.
Despite the fluctuations, multiple analysts on crypto X continue to predict new peaks for XRP in the short term. Mikybull Crypto, for instance, claimed that XRP’s chart “is looking spicy on its current retest,” expecting a rise to a new all-time high of $4.
For their part, EGRAG CRYPTO presented two possible scenarios. The analyst assumed XRP could head toward lower targets if it tumbled below $2. On the other hand, breaking above $2.65 could mean that “fireworks will ignite.”
The X user with moniker Coach, JV also chipped in. Several days ago, they claimed that XRP would be one of those cryptocurrencies that investors will regret not buying now:
“XRP will be one of these assets where people will say, “I could have bought XRP at $2, $5, or $7, and will FOMO in at $100.” The beauty in this. Everyone will win in the long run! It’s the short-term mindset that destroys portfolios!”
It is important to note that reaching a whopping target of $100 will require XRP’s market cap to skyrocket above $5 trillion. As of this writing, the entire capitalization of the crypto sector is less than $3.5 trillion, making the forecast quite unplausible (to say the least).
Previous Predictions
Other industry participants who weighed in recently include the X users Crypto Bitlord and CrediBULL Crypto. The former believes “the final pump for 2024 is loading,” speculating that the price might rally to as high as $12 next month.
CrediBULL Crypto told his 450,000 followers on X that “the XRP/BTC chart looks absolutely fantastic” and “the most bullish-looking chart in the entire space.” As such, the analyst said they will look to open a long position in the coming days.
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Cryptocurrency
Vivek Ramaswamy’s Strive Asset Management Files for Bitcoin Bond ETF with SEC
Strive Asset Management, led by billionaire entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, has filed a request with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch an exchange-traded fund (ETF) focused on Bitcoin-linked convertible bonds.
The proposed Strive Bitcoin Bond ETF is designed to offer exposure to bonds issued by corporations that use the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin as part of their treasury strategies.
The Bitcoin Bond ETF
In a December 27 post on X, the firm stated, “Strive’s first of many planned Bitcoin solutions will democratize access to Bitcoin bonds, which are bonds issued by corporations to purchase Bitcoin.”
The announcement further noted that these bonds offer attractive risk-return characteristics associated with Bitcoin but are currently out of reach for most investors. The ETF aims to bridge this gap by providing everyday Americans and institutional investors with easier access to BTC-related financial instruments.
According to the filing submitted on December 26, the proposed ETF will invest in securities from companies like MicroStrategy, which has become a prominent player in corporate Bitcoin adoption.
Since 2020, under the leadership of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has invested approximately $27 billion in the coin. These purchases were financed through equity offerings and convertible bonds, which typically carry low or no interest but can be converted into shares under specified conditions.
The Strive Bitcoin Bond ETF will be actively managed and will achieve its exposure to BTC-linked bonds either directly or through derivatives such as swaps and options. To maintain liquidity and collateral for these instruments, the fund will invest in high-quality, short-term assets like U.S. Treasuries and money market instruments.
While details regarding the management fee have not been disclosed, actively managed funds often come with higher fees compared to passive alternatives.
Strategic Context
Since its start in 2022, Strive Asset Management has focused on addressing long-term economic risks, including the global fiat debt crisis, inflation, and geopolitical tensions.
The company stated, “We strongly believe there is no better long-term investment to hedge against these risks than thoughtful exposure to Bitcoin.”
The asset manager views the flagship cryptocurrency as an important part of a diversified investment portfolio, encouraging both individual and institutional investors to allocate funds directly to Bitcoin, BTC bonds, and companies focused on the cryptocurrency.
Ramaswamy, who launched Strive with a focus on capitalism-driven strategies, has maintained a high-profile presence in both business and politics.
Although he briefly ran against Donald Trump in the 2023 Republican presidential primary, he later endorsed the President-elect. Upon winning, Trump appointed Ramaswamy to co-lead the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.), an initiative aimed at reducing government waste, with X owner Elon Musk.
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Cryptocurrency
Binance’s Bitcoin Taker Buy Volume Hits $8.3 Billion: What It Means for the Market
Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling below the $100,000 mark despite a modest 2% surge over the past day.
However, a popular trading metric used to gauge buyer interest in Binance suggests that the cryptocurrency could revisit this crucial price level before the end of the year.
Strengthening Buying Pressure on Binance
Over the past 60 days, Binance’s Bitcoin Taker Buy Volume has reached $8.3 billion and formed three higher lows, indicative of strengthening buying pressure. This metric, which measures the total volume of buy transactions executed by market participants at current order book prices, reflects increasing investor interest in Bitcoin.
According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, the rise in Taker Buy Volume on Binance has been steady despite occasional market corrections.
This growing buying pressure often correlates with potential price increases, as it indicates that buyers are actively consuming available liquidity at market prices. While the market may appear overheated, the persistence of this trend points to a possible upward price movement in the near term.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin reserves on Binance have reached their lowest levels since early 2024, following a decline that started in August. This mirrors January’s low, which preceded a 90% rally in BTC’s price. Coupled with a 40,000 BTC drop in OTC desk inventories since November, this trend could potentially indicate rising demand and investor confidence ahead of a much-anticipated bullish reversal.
Bitcoin’s Next Move
Bitcoin has remained below the $100,000 mark since December 19, following its initial breakthrough on December 5. With its current value hovering around $96,000, the crypto asset has dropped over 12% from its record high of $108,300 reached on December 17. However, several experts foresee a bullish breakout.
The pseudonymous “xoom,” for one, recently highlighted a bullish engulfing candle with rising volume, indicating a potential price target of $110K to $130K by January’s end, with $120K as a realistic target. Despite possible short-term volatility, the trend suggests BTC could climb to $135K or higher in the coming months.
Another pseudonymous crypto analyst, “Titan of Crypto,” said that Bitcoin’s current price action appears to be similar to the correction fractal from late 2023. Interestingly, 2024’s movements are roughly three weeks ahead in the timeline. While the analyst does not guarantee the same scenario will unfold, the similarities highlight potential bullish momentum, as the cryptocurrency may replicate its previous trajectory and break toward new highs if the pattern persists.
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