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We Asked ChatGPT if Bitcoin (BTC) Can Hit $100K if the US Fed Lowers Interest Rates

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TL;DR

  • A potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve could boost the crypto market, possibly pushing BTC toward a new all-time high.
  • Some experts argue that the positive impact of the effort might be temporary, suggesting that raising the benchmark could be more beneficial for the economy.

The Potential Pivot

The US Federal Reserve (the de facto central bank of the United States of America) is expected to reduce the interest rates during its next FOMC meeting scheduled for September 18. Recall that it lifted the benchmark 11 consecutive times between March 2022 and July 2023 to the current level of 5.25%-5.50%.

This might have a significant impact on financial markets, including the crypto sector. After all, a potential pivot will make money-borrowing cheaper, which, in turn, could boost investors’ interest in risk-on assets such as cryptocurrencies.

The popular AI-powered chatbot – ChatGPT – also claimed that lowering the interest rates in the US may propel a bull run for digital assets, particularly Bitcoin (BTC). In fact, it estimated that the price of the primary cryptocurrency could reach an all-time high of $100,000 following the effort:

“Lower interest rates often lead to improved sentiment toward riskier assets like Bitcoin. If investors expect easier monetary conditions, they might be more inclined to allocate capital to Bitcoin, potentially driving its price higher.”

However, ChatGPT warned that this outcome is not guaranteed and will depend on various other factors. It assumed that a pivot from the Fed could weaken the US dollar, which in turn might make BTC more attractive as an alternative store of value.

Overall market conditions, regulatory developments, macroeconomic trends, and the level of institutional and retail demand for cryptocurrencies would also play a key role in an eventual ATH for the asset, the chatbot added.

Just a Short-Term Effect?

Other prominent industry participants, including BitMEX’s co-founder Arthur Hayes, believe a pivot from the Federal Reserve might only benefit BTC and the altcoins in the short run.

He compared the effect of such a move to the strong (yet brief) energy boost that sugary foods provide. Moreover, he thinks an interest hike would be more beneficial for the economy:

“The Fed is reaching for the rate cut sugar high before hunger arrives. From a purely economic perspective, the Fed should be raising, not cutting, rates.”

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Cryptocurrency

Burgers and Bitcoin: Donald Trump Demonstrates Support for BTC at NYC Bar 

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The presidential candidate reiterated his support for digital assets on Sept. 18 by treating his supporters to burgers at a New York bar and paying with BTC.

Trump entered a crypto-themed venue called PubKey in Greenwich Village where he was met with applause from Bitcoiners and supporters.

“Who wants a burger?” he asked before spending almost a thousand dollars on burgers for those in the bar, reported Bloomberg.

Burgers and Bitcoin

Co-founder of PubKey, Drew Armstrong, said that Trump paid for the food using the Strike payments app which is built on the Lightning Network, and the venue received the BTC using the Zaprite app.

The Republican presidential candidate has been appealing to crypto holders and investors, which comprise a considerable vote-base in the United States. “Bitcoin is really happening,” he said at PubKey.

Another co-founder of PubKey, Thomas Pacchia, said Trump’s presence at the venue was “huge, iconic,” and influential for BTC, adding “A former president, a potential future president, this is a real coming of age for the Bitcoin community.”

He added that the transaction was the first time a former US president has used Bitcoin to purchase goods or services. Nevertheless, Democrat supporters outside the venue blasted Taylor Swift songs in protest.

Trump was on his way to a rally in Long Island, where he said he was serious about winning the state of his birth, which has voted Democrat in every presidential election since 1984.

As the election in early November nears, it is expected that Donald Trump will further emphasize his support for Bitcoin and the crypto industry to counter his Democrat rival, Kamala Harris, who has said very little on the subject.

Harris Edges Ahead

The Trump-themed memecoin MAGA (TRUMP) jumped 6.5% over the past 12 hours to reach $2.13 at the time of writing. However, the asset has been battered over the past seven days, dropping 25% since the same time last week.

Additionally, Trump officially launched his long-anticipated DeFi project, World Liberty Financial (WLF), through a live X Space event on Sept. 17.

National polls from FiveThirtyEight currently have Harris leading Trump by 48.5% to 45.2%. Moreover, Polymarket also has the Democrat candidate ahead.

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CertiK Ventures Announces $45 Million Investment Plan, Including Free Access to Community Security Tools

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[PRESS RELEASE – New York, US, September 19th, 2024]

On September 19, 2024, leading Web3 security firm CertiK, CertiK Ventures, OKX Ventures, and OKX Wallet hosted the “New Round, New Path” event during Token2049. During this event, CertiK announced a comprehensive upgrade of its products and services, which cover the entire life cycles of Web3 projects. Additionally, CertiK announced the launch of its free community security tools, including Token Scan and Wallet Scan, to support the evolving community. CertiK’s highly anticipated CertiK Ventures will invest $45 million in these endeavors to support high-potential, burgeoning Web3 projects.

CertiK is a first mover in Web3 security with a valuation of $2 billion, making it the highest-valued Web3 security company to date. Its investors include prominent institutions such as Insight Partners, Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global, and Goldman Sachs. CertiK’s core services include auditing, security scoring, compliance and anti-money laundering (AML), KYC, penetration testing, and incident response. To date, CertiK has provided security services to more than 4,700 projects across 150 countries, including renowned Web3 companies such as Ton, Ripple, Aptos, and Binance. The official launch of CertiK Ventures during Token2049 completes CertiK’s full-chain security solution, enabling its upgraded product suite to support projects from their early stages to becoming major industry players.

In addition, CertiK has introduced a range of free security tools, starting with Token Scan and Wallet Scan, to help users safeguard their assets. CertiK developed these tools based on extensive experience in conducting more than 70 white-hat operations, reporting more than 4,000 security incidents, discovering 115,000 code vulnerabilities, and protecting approximately $360 billion in assets. These free tools are designed to offer substantial support and empowerment to the community.

CertiK’s latest initiatives are not just product and service upgrades; they represent empowerment of and dedication toward Web3 security. With the announcement of its $45 million investment plan, CertiK Ventures will help drive the development of high-potential projects, accelerating the integration of innovation and security within the Web3 ecosystem.

Website | Company Twitter | Community Twitter | CertiK Alert | Telegram

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Net Outflows for Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs on Fed Rate-Cut Day

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In the days ahead of the highly anticipated US FOMC meeting, when the central bank was expected to lower the interest rates, local investors were on a shopping spree for spot Bitcoin ETFs.

However, that changed when the day arrived.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows

CryptoPotato reported yesterday the impressive streak for the four trading days leading to the FOMC meeting. As mentioned, just over $500 million in net inflows entered the 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs from September 12 to September 17.

However, the landscape was different yesterday. Even though the Federal Reserve reduced the key interest rates by 50 basis points, while the general expectations were for a more modest 0.25% cut, the financial vehicles saw $52.7 million in net outflows on the day.

Ark Invest’s ARKB led the adverse trend with $43.4 million in net withdrawals. Grayscale’s initial and largest fund (GBTC) was next with $8.1 million, and BITB trailed behind with $3.9 million. The rest saw little to no actual flows, while Grayscale’s smaller and newer fund, BTC, notched $2.7 million in inflows.

BlackRock’s IBIT remains the largest of the bunch, with almost $21 billion in AUM. However, there has been only one day of positive flow for the past three weeks.

In contrast, Fidelity’s FBTC enjoyed a favorable streak of seven consecutive days of net inflows before yesterday’s lack of action.

Consistency for Ethereum ETFs

While the spot Bitcoin ETFs saw more than $500 million in net inflows in the days leading to the Fed’s policy pivot, the Ethereum counterparts didn’t have the same luxury. The withdrawals stood at $15.1 million on Tuesday and $9.4 million on Monday.

Their situation didn’t improve much yesterday when investors pulled out $9.8 million overall from the ETH-based products. Grayscale’s ETHE was at the forefront once again, seeing $14.7 million in net outflows.

The only silver lining came from BlackRock’s EHTA, which notched $4.9 million in net inflows. ETHA is the only new financial vehicle tracking the performance of Ethereum that has surpassed the coveted $1 billion milestone since its inception a couple of months back.

Despite the negative days for the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the underlying assets’ prices skyrocketed to multi-week peaks. BTC neared $63,000 earlier today, while ETH came close to $2,450.

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