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We Asked ChatGPT if Bitcoin Will Enter a Massive Bull Run in 2024

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TL;DR

  • Bitcoin kicked off 2024 on a high note, achieving a record high over $73,500, though it later dipped to around $63,000. A new bull run may hinge on factors like technological advances, adoption rates, and global events.
  • Key influences on BTC’s future price include potential changes in the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies and the outcome of Ripple’s lawsuit against the SEC, both of which could significantly impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.

The Overall Conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) started 2024 on the right foot, seeing its price gradually rising in the first quarter and even hitting a new all-time high of over $73,500 in mid-March. However, the past two months have not been that successful, with the asset briefly plunging below the $60K mark and currently trading at around $63,000 (per CoinGecko’s data).

BTC Price
BTC Price, Source: CoinGecko

As such, we decided to ask ChatGPT whether a new bull run is on the horizon this year. The AI-powered chatbot claimed that predicting Bitcoin’s price behavior is quite speculative and depends on several factors. 

It assumed that a new bull run may be triggered by technological developments, increased adoption, positive investor sentiment, public interest, geopolitical events, and whatnot. 

Diving Into Detail

Besides the aforementioned factors, ChatGPT touched upon two particular elements that could trigger a BTC price resurgence: actions coming from the US Federal Reserve and the outcome of the lawsuit between Ripple and the US SEC. 

Shortly after the COVID-19 pandemic, America’s central bank launched an aggressive anti-inflationary policy to decrease the inflation rate in the world’s largest economy. It introduced multiple rate hikes, which might have halted investments in riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.

However, there are some indications that the Fed may pivot from that regime later this year, a move that many BTC bulls hope for.

“Lowering interest rates can stimulate the flow of money into Bitcoin by altering investor behavior, adjusting risk appetites. These factors combined can contribute to upward movements in Bitcoin’s price,” ChatGPT estimated.

Furthermore, a decisive triumph for Ripple in its legal case against the SEC may fuel an overall revival for the cryptocurrency market. The companies entered into a trial phase last month, and according to some, Ripple has a better chance to emerge victorious due to the three partial court wins secured throughout 2023.

“A win for Ripple might be seen as a defeat for potential overreach by regulatory bodies like the SEC, boosting investor confidence in the resilience of major cryptocurrencies against regulatory challenges. This could encourage both retail and institutional investors to increase their stakes in cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin,” the chatbot concluded.

 

 

 

 

 

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Cryptocurrency

$25 Million Crypto Heist in 12 Seconds: MIT Siblings Charged with Cyber Fraud

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Two siblings who attended the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) are now facing allegations of exploiting a vulnerability in the Ethereum blockchain. The duo reportedly swindled $25 million within 12 seconds, which the prosecutors labeled as a first-of-its-kind caper.

If convicted, both of them could potentially serve sentences exceeding 20 years in prison.

  • Anton Peraire-Bueno, 24, and James Peraire-Bueno, 28, are facing federal charges in Manhattan for fraud and money laundering.
  • The accusations stem from what prosecutors describe as a meticulously planned cyber heist executed from their computers over several months.
  • They were arrested on Tuesday in Boston and New York. Commenting on the development, Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco said,

“The Peraire-Bueno brothers stole $25 million in Ethereum cryptocurrency through a technologically sophisticated, cutting-edge scheme they plotted for months and executed in seconds.”

  • Both individuals attended the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where Anton completed his Bachelor of Science in computer science and mathematics in February, while James obtained a Master of Science in aeronautics and astronautics in 2021.
  • According to prosecutors, the brothers leveraged advanced expertise acquired at a globally renowned university to manipulate Ethereum’s transaction validation process.
  • The siblings reportedly targeted Ethereum traders by fraudulently accessing pending private transactions and subsequently modifying them to acquire their victims’ cryptocurrency.
  • Upon being confronted by an Ethereum representative, authorities allege that the brothers refused to return the funds and instead laundered the funds and concealed their ill-gotten gains.
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Bitcoin Selling Pressure Subsides as Demand Stabilizes: CryptoQuant

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The price of bitcoin (BTC) has surged past the $60,000 level to the $67,000 zone due to news of a lower-than-expected inflation rate in the United States.

According to the latest CryptoQuant weekly report, bitcoin’s latest rally has also been sustained by a recent decline in selling pressure. However, demand for the cryptocurrency has yet to pick up.

Bitcoin Selling Pressure Declines

The fall in BTC selling pressure can be seen in the on-chain activity of short-term holders and the balances on over-the-counter (OTC) desks.

The BTC balance on OTC desks has stabilized since late April, indicating less bitcoin supply from market participants. The balance on OTC desks began to rise by 60,000 BTC on March 10 when the asset hit an all-time high of $73,000; however, it has been flat since late last month.

Similarly, the profit margins of short-term BTC holders are currently at low or negative levels following high margins that triggered high selling pressure in early March. Since they have depleted all profits accumulated in 2024, traders are now faced with unrealized losses on the positions. Historically, this has coincided with a local bottom in prices.

The possibility that the market has bottomed is substantiated by miners’ low profitability. CryptoQuant analysts said Bitcoin miners are extremely underpaid at the moment, and their profitability has plummeted to levels last seen since March 2020, a few days after the COVID market crash. Historically, extremely low miner profitability has been associated with price bottoms.

Demand is Yet to Pick Up

On the other hand, Bitcoin demand growth appears to be stabilizing following a month of deceleration. The rise in the BTC balances of permanent holders and large investors indicates higher demand from these market participants.

Nonetheless, BTC demand would need to surge further to enable the market to sustain the latest price rally. The demand could come from the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market and other Bitcoin investment funds.

Per CryptoQuant analysts, the crypto market needs a new wave of spot Bitcoin ETF purchases to refresh demand growth. Demand for these products appears to be picking up already, with the funds seeing total inflows of more than $560 million in the last two trading days.

Additionally, stablecoin liquidity growth is surging, signaling potential movement to the upside for BTC.

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Polkadot (DOT) Ecosystem Recap: The Most Recent Advancements

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TL;DR

  • Polkadot partnered with Founder Institute to launch a Web3 cohort and introduced Asynchronous Backing to enhance scalability.
  • Some of its parachains, such as Acala Network and Moonbeam Network, have also made notable advancements in security, governance, and community engagement initiatives.

Summary of the Latest Developments

Polkadot’s ecosystem continues to advance due to frequent improvements in its operations and vital partnerships. Most recently, the blockchain protocol shook hands with Founder Institute (a leading business incubator that turns ideas into fundable startups). 

The latter described the collaboration as “groundbreaking,” adding that it marks the start of “an exciting chapter” related to the launch of the first Web3 cohort in its Core Program. “Our cooperation is set to revolutionize the landscape of startup acceleration and Web3 technology education,” the team stated

Founder Institute explained that the program’s launch is set for May 28, and it will be guided by top experts from the Polkadot community. 

Earlier this month, the blockchain protocol enabled Asynchronous Backing on the network. It is a mechanism designed to improve the scalability and efficiency of the entire ecosystem. The Asynchronous Backing also represents “an optimized approach for how parachain blocks are validated” by the central chain – Relay Chain.

Polkadot’s team revealed that blocks are produced twice as fast, whereas available blockspace was boosted by 6-10 times following that upgrade.

“Async Backing boosts throughput by 8x, without sacrificing security, paving the way for supporting Web3 applications across verticals such as gaming and DeFi. It brings Web2 scale into the reach of Web3, which is crucial for large-scale platforms like Mythical Games,” they added.

Another major development that took place as of late is the release of the Join-Accumulate Machine (JAM) Gray Paper. It is a technical upgrade that outlines an innovative approach for improving the performance and scalability of blockchain networks, particularly in the context of Polkadot’s ecosystem. It combines elements of Polkadot and Ethereum and “provides a global singleton permissionless object environment.

The blockchain protocol is also looking for external partnerships such as a potential deal with the American soccer club Inter Miami. Last month, Nico Zini – the team’s commercial manager and in charge of TV rights – revealed that both sides may join forces on an $8.8 million sponsorship partnership. 

For the uninitiated, Inter Miami’s co-founder is David Beckham, while its biggest stars on the pitch include the Argentine legend Lionel Messi and the Uruguayan Luis Suarez.

Zini previously served as FC Barcelona’s Business Development Manager in North America. The Catalan club was contemplating striking a deal with Polkadot in 2022 but eventually chose Spotify.

How About the Parachains?

Some of Polkadot’s parachains – individual blockchains that run in parallel with the Polkadot ecosystem – have also advanced lately. One of the most popular – Acala Network – completed the Sinai Upgrade at the beginning of May. 

It aims to strengthen security measures, empower the community to participate in governance decisions, improve Acala’s capabilities to interact seamlessly across different blockchains, and simplify the user experience. 

Moonbeam Network introduced “the Moonbeam Odyssey Program Trials,” which emphasizes community involvement with various events and educational initiatives.

“Anyone can join! Test your skills, strengths, and abilities to emerge victorious from the Trials and become an Odyssey Trailblazer,” the team stated.

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