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Why FTX collapse won’t kill the crypto industry – Chainalysis

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The FTX collapse is no longer news today. The once-powerful cryptocurrency exchange went bankrupt in a few days and spread “contagion” throughout the industry. However, in its history, the crypto industry has already experienced a crisis triggered by the fall of the exchange.

The collapse of FTX is comparable to the fall of Mt.Gox regarding scale and depth of consequences. Chainalysis analysts compared these events and concluded that the industry will soon recover from the shock.

Mt.Gox vs. FTX

Mt.Gox, the first bitcoin exchange in the crypto industry, collapsed in February 2014 without surviving the aftermath of the hack. The platform lost 750,000 bitcoins. At the time, that was 6% of all BTC in circulation.

Chainalysis estimates that Mt.Gox was a much larger player in the industry than FTX, but its collapse did not destroy the cryptocurrency. It controlled 46% of all cryptocurrency turnover passing through cryptocurrency exchanges, while FTX accounted for only 13%.

Also, there were far fewer cryptocurrency exchanges in 2014 than there are today. Now the industry is much more diversified, with decentralized exchanges accounting for almost half of the entire market.

However, the FTX crash was more difficult from a psychological point of view, because at the time of the hack Mt.Gox was already gradually losing market share, while FTX, on the contrary, was rapidly gaining strength and power.

The industry will recover after the FTX crash

Chainalysis analysts are confident that crypto-industry participants will soon recover from the FTX crash, as the real consequences are not as deep as in the case of Mt.Gox. In 2014, this crypto exchange was a much more significant player in systemic terms, and its hack severely crippled the entire industry. However, the market managed to recover fairly quickly and used the crisis as a boost to further development.

Crypto exchange Coinbase experts predict that FTX’s collapse could prolong the crypto winter until the end of 2023. In the most optimistic scenario, the market will recover in a few months. According to experts, the events around FTX turned into deleveraging of short positions and the departure of major players, which increased the vulnerability of the cryptocurrency market.

We previously reported that Tether withdrew $1 billion USDT from the Solana blockchain as part of a cross-chain SWAP.

Cryptocurrency

Is stablecoin a security? Crypto Investors get rid of stablecoins: USDT suffered the most

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The market capitalization of the leading stablecoins has dropped significantly after the FTX crash. Let’s find out what this means for the market and whether it’s worth following the example of other investors and going into fiat. Is stablecoin a security?

The drama surrounding FTX seriously undermined investors’ confidence in centralized exchanges and forced them to get rid of stablecoins en masse. USDT suffered the most: according to CoinMarketCap, its supply has fallen from $67 billion to $65 billion in the last two weeks.

Because of concerns about Tether and stablecoin security reserves, users are redeeming USDT or converting it to USDC. A similar situation was observed after the collapse of Terra Luna – then within two weeks the market capitalization of the asset fell by $10 billion.

However, CTO Paolo Ardoino says that Tether was not affected by the FTX crash and users have nothing to worry about.

BUSD and DAI were also hit

USDT is not the only stable coin affected by the FTX story. For example, the circulating supply of BUSD fell from $23 billion to $22.5 billion, and DAI fell from $5.7 billion to $5.2 billion.

On the contrary, the capitalization of USDC and Pax Dollar steel blockers increased. Over the past two weeks, USDC’s supply reached $44.7 billion.

The cryptocommunity is actively discussing this on Twitter and speculating about the reasons for this growth. Some believe it may be due to USDC’s profitability and the influx of former USDT holders into the asset.

FTX collapse undermined investor confidence

The fall of the Sam Bankman-Fried empire has undermined user confidence in the cryptocurrency and led to a massive collapse in prices.

But market participants also fear that other platforms will follow FTX’s lead. So it’s no surprise that many retail investors are choosing to hold their own assets rather than hold them on centralized exchanges.

Previously, we reported that Poloniex curtailed support for stablecoins on the BNB Chain.

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U.S. authorities launch investigation into Genesis investing system

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The Securities Commission of Alabama launched an investigation into the Genesis investing system. This edition of Barron’s, citing the head of the regulator, Joseph Borg.

Borg refused to elaborate on what exactly Genesis is suspected of. The newspaper said the Alabama regulator as well as agencies in several other states were investigating whether Genesis had encouraged U.S. citizens to invest in securities.

Which other regulators are in question is unclear. Borg himself has not directly stated the investigation against Genesis. Instead, he said that “if a firm serving institutional investors fails, retail depositors will be affected [as well].”

Is Genesis investing legitimate?

Genesis Global Trading has hired consultants from investment bank Moelis & Company to consider options for restructuring the business, including bankruptcy. As The New York Times has learned, the broker has not yet made any final decision and still hopes to avoid bankruptcy.

It is worth noting that Moelis & Company consultants also tried to save the bankrupt broker Voyager Digital. A Genesis spokesperson said in a media comment that the firm is still trying to find a way to resolve the issue without declaring bankruptcy.

Genesis’ problems have already affected the firm’s partners. The credit division of cryptocurrency exchange Gemeni is known to have frozen the withdrawal of client assets, citing Genesis’ difficulties. The exchange later said it was working on a solution, but did not provide details.

We previously reported that Binance is launching a reserve-proof system.

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How the SEC is trying to create conditions for money control bitcoin. What could it lead to?

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When CME Group launched the first bitcoin futures contract in 2017, Chairman Emeritus Leo Melamed said he would “tame” the major cryptocurrency. The SEC has since approved several ETFs. But as exchanges increased their supply of BTC, the community began to have questions about market manipulation. Today, it’s about money control bitcoin.

Banks want to control bitcoin. Can banks control bitcoin?

Manipulating bitcoin with ETFs will lower its price in the short term, but will help accelerate the mass adoption of the cryptocurrency by traditional market participants.

The SEC approved the first bitcoin ETF in October 2021. The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund appeared on the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 19, a day when the fund’s shares traded nearly $1 billion.

The Bitcoin ETF is not suitable for retail investors because it gives institutional investors an advantage. A bitcoin futures ETF has “the potential for price suppression and greater volatility due to the dominance of futures.” BTC futures will appreciate relative to the spot price because of positions opened by hedge funds.

The gold standard. Who controls cryptocurrency?

It’s a common belief in the gold market that ETFs are currently outpacing prices. The same practice seems to have been adapted for the bitcoin market as well. CME Group claims that bitcoin ETFs will help investors “benefit from efficient price discovery in transparent futures markets.”

“Paper” bitcoin may change the minds of crypto skeptics

Bitcoin’s core value comes from two factors. First, BTC is truly decentralized. Second, its maximum supply is 21 million coins. However, bitcoin ETFs increase the supply of BTC by selling “paper” assets and thus affect the value of the cryptocurrency.

The threat of decentralization

Bitcoin futures ETFs can accelerate mass adoption. However, their existence runs counter to the decentralization ethic advocated by the BTC. There is concern that the BTC could be “hijacked” by hedge funds and big banks, which could end up manipulating the price.

We previously reported that Polkadot is offering money to fight cryptocurrencies.

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