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Wintermute OTC Trading Volume Records 400% Growth in 2023: Report

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Wintermute – the popular market maker and liquidity provider – witnessed continued growth in all business verticals in 2023 despite the market downturn.

In a new report, the platform said that its over-the-counter (OTC) volume surged by over 400% throughout the year as volumes moved off-exchanges.

During the first half of 2023, Wintermute’s OTC trading volume hit a slump, even as the number of individual trades remained stable. However, this flipped in its favor in the second half of the year of the platform as the number of unique trades increased sixfold to 29 million. Simultaneously, Wintermute’s weekly OTC volume hit $2 billion over the same period.

Wintermute’s OTC Volumes Grew 4x

According to the report, Wintermute experienced a substantial surge in trading activity in the H2 of 2023 as the markets gained momentum. The platform witnessed a more than sixfold increase in the number of trades, totaling over 29 million. Concurrently, it recorded its highest OTC volume week, exceeding $2 billion during this period.

This signifies a notable rise of over 20% in the trading of distinct assets compared to the H1 of 2023.

The OTC trading volumes for Layer 1 assets mirrored the general trend of Wintermute’s overall OTC volumes, declining by approximately half between H2 2022 and H1 2023 before experiencing a remarkable 350% surge in H2 2023. Notably, within the Layer 1 ecosystem, the Ethereum Ecosystem dominated, accounting for a 68% market share of volumes traded through its OTC desk.

Solana, Avalanche, Cardano, and Polkadot Ecosystems comprise the top 5 Layer 1 platforms in terms of volumes during H2 2023. Unlike Ethereum, the majority of these other Layer 1s demonstrated resilience and an increase in trading volume in H1 2023, with Polkadot being the notable exception as it experienced a slight decline in the first half of 2023.

Layer 2 platforms exhibited approximately 30 times less trading activity compared to Layer 1s, with Polygon, Arbitrum, and Optimism Ecosystems leading in proportion. Wintermute noted consistent activity and growth in Layer 2s, registering a substantial 160% growth from H2 2022 to H2 2023.

DeFi Stays Strong

Wintermute reported sevenfold growth in nominal volumes from H2 2022 to H2 2023 in the DeFi
category. However, the market share plunged from 16% to 11%.

Yield Farming assets were the most traded within the DeFi category, followed by Oracles, Lending, and DEX tokens.

The UK-based crypto market maker found that the dominance of Yield Farming assets stayed strong throughout the year, maintaining around 35% of DeFi volumes.  Over the same period, notional volumes traded increased over ninefold. Meanwhile, Oracle assets rebounded strongly after experiencing a slight drop in both volumes, representing 26% of all traded DeFi category volumes in H2 2023.

Additionally, DEX assets also experienced a substantial decrease in DeFi market share during the same period but saw more than a 3.4x increase in notional volumes traded. Lending-related assets, on the other hand, gained an additional 10 percentage points in market share from H1 to H2 of 2023, growing from 13% to 23%.

Last year, Wintermute was hacked for $160 million. Experts later alleged that the exploit could have been an insider job, a claim that was dismissed by the platform.

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Top Ripple (XRP) Price Predictions as of Late

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TL;DR

  • XRP recovered to $2.18 after dropping below $2 last week, with analysts predicting a potential rally.
  • While some foresee the asset reaching $100 in the future, achieving this would require an unrealistic market cap exceeding $5 trillion.

XRP Rally Incoming?

The cryptocurrency market correction, which started last week, negatively affected numerous leading digital assets. Ripple’s XRP is one of those, with its price plunging from $2.70 on December 17 to under $2 a few days later. Recently, the bulls recovered some lost ground, pushing the asset’s valuation to the current $2.18.

XRP Price
XRP Price, Source: CoinGecko

Despite the fluctuations, multiple analysts on crypto X continue to predict new peaks for XRP in the short term. Mikybull Crypto, for instance, claimed that XRP’s chart “is looking spicy on its current retest,” expecting a rise to a new all-time high of $4. 

For their part, EGRAG CRYPTO presented two possible scenarios. The analyst assumed XRP could head toward lower targets if it tumbled below $2. On the other hand, breaking above $2.65 could mean that “fireworks will ignite.” 

The X user with moniker Coach, JV also chipped in. Several days ago, they claimed that XRP would be one of those cryptocurrencies that investors will regret not buying now:

“XRP will be one of these assets where people will say, “I could have bought XRP at $2, $5, or $7, and will FOMO in at $100.” The beauty in this. Everyone will win in the long run! It’s the short-term mindset that destroys portfolios!”

It is important to note that reaching a whopping target of $100 will require XRP’s market cap to skyrocket above $5 trillion. As of this writing, the entire capitalization of the crypto sector is less than $3.5 trillion, making the forecast quite unplausible (to say the least).

Previous Predictions

Other industry participants who weighed in recently include the X users Crypto Bitlord and CrediBULL Crypto. The former believes “the final pump for 2024 is loading,” speculating that the price might rally to as high as $12 next month.

CrediBULL Crypto told his 450,000 followers on X that “the XRP/BTC chart looks absolutely fantastic” and “the most bullish-looking chart in the entire space.” As such, the analyst said they will look to open a long position in the coming days.

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Vivek Ramaswamy’s Strive Asset Management Files for Bitcoin Bond ETF with SEC

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Strive Asset Management, led by billionaire entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, has filed a request with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch an exchange-traded fund (ETF) focused on Bitcoin-linked convertible bonds.

The proposed Strive Bitcoin Bond ETF is designed to offer exposure to bonds issued by corporations that use the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin as part of their treasury strategies.

The Bitcoin Bond ETF

In a December 27 post on X, the firm stated, “Strive’s first of many planned Bitcoin solutions will democratize access to Bitcoin bonds, which are bonds issued by corporations to purchase Bitcoin.”

The announcement further noted that these bonds offer attractive risk-return characteristics associated with Bitcoin but are currently out of reach for most investors. The ETF aims to bridge this gap by providing everyday Americans and institutional investors with easier access to BTC-related financial instruments.

According to the filing submitted on December 26, the proposed ETF will invest in securities from companies like MicroStrategy, which has become a prominent player in corporate Bitcoin adoption.

Since 2020, under the leadership of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has invested approximately $27 billion in the coin. These purchases were financed through equity offerings and convertible bonds, which typically carry low or no interest but can be converted into shares under specified conditions.

The Strive Bitcoin Bond ETF will be actively managed and will achieve its exposure to BTC-linked bonds either directly or through derivatives such as swaps and options. To maintain liquidity and collateral for these instruments, the fund will invest in high-quality, short-term assets like U.S. Treasuries and money market instruments.

While details regarding the management fee have not been disclosed, actively managed funds often come with higher fees compared to passive alternatives.

Strategic Context

Since its start in 2022, Strive Asset Management has focused on addressing long-term economic risks, including the global fiat debt crisis, inflation, and geopolitical tensions.

The company stated, “We strongly believe there is no better long-term investment to hedge against these risks than thoughtful exposure to Bitcoin.”

The asset manager views the flagship cryptocurrency as an important part of a diversified investment portfolio, encouraging both individual and institutional investors to allocate funds directly to Bitcoin, BTC bonds, and companies focused on the cryptocurrency.

Ramaswamy, who launched Strive with a focus on capitalism-driven strategies, has maintained a high-profile presence in both business and politics.

Although he briefly ran against Donald Trump in the 2023 Republican presidential primary, he later endorsed the President-elect. Upon winning, Trump appointed Ramaswamy to co-lead the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.), an initiative aimed at reducing government waste, with X owner Elon Musk.

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Binance’s Bitcoin Taker Buy Volume Hits $8.3 Billion: What It Means for the Market

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Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling below the $100,000 mark despite a modest 2% surge over the past day.

However, a popular trading metric used to gauge buyer interest in Binance suggests that the cryptocurrency could revisit this crucial price level before the end of the year.

Strengthening Buying Pressure on Binance

Over the past 60 days, Binance’s Bitcoin Taker Buy Volume has reached $8.3 billion and formed three higher lows, indicative of strengthening buying pressure. This metric, which measures the total volume of buy transactions executed by market participants at current order book prices, reflects increasing investor interest in Bitcoin.

According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, the rise in Taker Buy Volume on Binance has been steady despite occasional market corrections.

This growing buying pressure often correlates with potential price increases, as it indicates that buyers are actively consuming available liquidity at market prices. While the market may appear overheated, the persistence of this trend points to a possible upward price movement in the near term.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin reserves on Binance have reached their lowest levels since early 2024, following a decline that started in August. This mirrors January’s low, which preceded a 90% rally in BTC’s price. Coupled with a 40,000 BTC drop in OTC desk inventories since November, this trend could potentially indicate rising demand and investor confidence ahead of a much-anticipated bullish reversal.

Bitcoin’s Next Move

Bitcoin has remained below the $100,000 mark since December 19, following its initial breakthrough on December 5. With its current value hovering around $96,000, the crypto asset has dropped over 12% from its record high of $108,300 reached on December 17. However, several experts foresee a bullish breakout.

The pseudonymous “xoom,” for one, recently highlighted a bullish engulfing candle with rising volume, indicating a potential price target of $110K to $130K by January’s end, with $120K as a realistic target. Despite possible short-term volatility, the trend suggests BTC could climb to $135K or higher in the coming months.

Another pseudonymous crypto analyst, “Titan of Crypto,” said that Bitcoin’s current price action appears to be similar to the correction fractal from late 2023. Interestingly, 2024’s movements are roughly three weeks ahead in the timeline. While the analyst does not guarantee the same scenario will unfold, the similarities highlight potential bullish momentum, as the cryptocurrency may replicate its previous trajectory and break toward new highs if the pattern persists.

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