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Fed plans to boost US banks’ reserve requirements; industry gripes

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Fed plans to boost US banks' reserve requirements; industry gripes
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair for Supervision, Michael Barr, testifies before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in the wake of recent bank failures, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., May 18, 2023. REUTERS/Eve

By Pete Schroeder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The Federal Reserve’s top regulatory official laid out a sweeping plan to increase capital requirements for the nation’s largest banks in the wake of recent bank failures, a move that was immediately met with criticism from the industry.

In a widely-anticipated speech, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said he planned to pursue multiple regulatory initiatives that would direct larger banks with more than $100 billion in assets to hold more in reserve, saying the recent bank failures underlined the need for regulators to bolster resilience in the system.

“Events over the past few months have only reinforced the need for humility and skepticism, and for an approach that makes banks resilient to both familiar and unanticipated risks,” Barr said in a speech at the Bipartisan Policy Center in Washington.

Barr had been expected to prescribe tighter rules on the sector since being tapped by President Joe Biden to serve as the Fed’s bank watchdog. But Monday’s remarks marked the most detailed view yet of his agenda, and confirmed industry fears he would pursue a broad set of tighter requirements and also ignore their pleas for relief in some areas.

The banking industry called the effort misguided and economically harmful.

“With the economy still processing historic shocks and a potential slowdown looming on the horizon, constraining the financial sector’s capacity to support growth and economic activity – especially at this moment – is puzzling and counterproductive,” said Tim Adams, president and CEO of the Institute of International Finance.

Barr said he did not plan to overhaul the U.S. bank capital framework, but instead build on it in several ways, including by fully implementing the globally agreed Basel bank capital agreement and expanding annual “stress tests” of banks’ health. He did not offer a specific timeline for any changes, but the effort is expected to kick off in the coming weeks.

‘HOLISTIC REVIEW’

Barr’s speech served as a comprehensive update on a “holistic” review of bank capital rules that he launched shortly after joining the U.S. central bank in 2022. He had already indicated at the time that he was considering where rules might be strengthened, but now argues the banking crisis in March and April, which saw the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and two other lenders, underlined the need to do more.

“The holistic review began well before then, of course, and the steps proposed here address shortcomings in capital standards that did not begin in March of 2023,” he said. “But in an obvious way, the failures of SVB and other banks this spring were a warning that banks need to be more resilient.”

Specifically, Barr said the crisis proved the systemic role smaller banks can play, which means they also should face stricter oversight. He said he will seek to apply stricter capital rules to banks with more than $100 billion in assets, expanding the pool of firms that must comply.

Dashing industry hopes for any rules relief, Barr also said he did not plan to weaken an existing surcharge on large global banks or leverage rules which the industry argued hampered Treasury market functions. Barr said evidence of that is “inconclusive,” and any impact should be reduced when a fuller set of rules in is place.

However, Barr did emphasize that any new requirements would go through a formal rule-writing and public comment process, and include lengthy transition periods to allow banks to raise necessary capital.

He said that most banks already have enough capital to meet the new standards he has envisioned, but firms that must raise capital would be able to do so in less than two years of retained earnings, while maintaining their investor dividends.

The Fed has itself come under criticism for its oversight of banks involved in this year’s banking crisis. The Republican-led U.S. House of Representatives Oversight Committee on Monday asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell to hand over confidential documents related to the U.S. central bank’s supervision of failed Silicon Valley Bank.

Barr also said on Monday the Fed is close to reaching the appropriate level of interest rates to bring inflation back to its 2% target but “we still have a bit of work to do.”

Economy

Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC

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Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.

The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.

Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.

“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.

Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.

“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.

The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.

The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.

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China identifies second set of projects in $140 billion spending plan

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China identifies second set of projects in $140 billion spending plan
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers walk past an under-construction area with completed office towers in the background, in Shenzhen’s Qianhai new district, Guangdong province, China August 25, 2023. REUTERS/David Kirton/File Photo

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s top planning body said on Saturday it had identified a second batch of public investment projects, including flood control and disaster relief programmes, under a bond issuance and investment plan announced in October to boost the economy.

With the latest tranche, China has now earmarked more than 800 billion yuan of its 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion) in additional government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, as it focuses on fiscal steps to shore up the flagging economy.

The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in a statement on Saturday it had identified 9,600 projects with planned investment of more than 560 billion yuan.

China’s economy, the world’s second largest, is struggling to regain its footing post-COVID-19 as policymakers grapple with tepid consumer demand, weak exports, falling foreign investment and a deepening real estate crisis.

The 1 trillion yuan in additional bond issuance will widen China’s 2023 budget deficit ratio to around 3.8 percent from 3 percent, the state-run Xinhua news agency has said.

“Construction of the projects will improve China’s flood control system, emergency response mechanism and disaster relief capabilities, and better protect people’s lives and property, so it is very significant,” the NDRC said.

The agency said it will coordinate with other government bodies to make sure that funds are allocated speedily for investment and that high standards of quality are maintained in project construction.

($1 = 7.1315 renminbi)

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Economy

Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC

letizo News

Published

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Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.

The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.

Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.

“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.

Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.

“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.

The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.

The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.

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