Economy
France, Germany shares hit record highs; U.S. inflation data in focus
© Reuters. The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 6, 2023. REUTERS/Staff/File Photo
By Ankika Biswas and Khushi Singh
(Reuters) – France and Germany’s benchmark stock indexes hit record highs and led gains in Europe on Tuesday ahead of crucial U.S. inflation report, in a week packed with interest-rate decisions by major central banks.
France’s CAC-40 index rose 0.1% to 7,582.47 points intraday, as steelmaker ArcelorMittal (NYSE:) gained 1.5% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to “overweight”.
gained as much as 0.3% and touched a fresh record high of 16,837.18 points, led by Hannover Re’s 1.5% advance as the reinsurer expects a 24% surge in 2024 net profit over its current-year guidance.
The pan-European was up 0.1% as of 1025 GMT, holding its highest level since February 2022.
All eyes will now be on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 1330 GMT. The Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting will also begin during the day.
With data pointing to inflation and economic growth slowing down, investors are ramping up bets of a peak in rate hikes and an eventual start to rate cuts ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday.
British wage growth slowed by the most in almost two years, but pay is probably still rising too fast for the BoE to relax its stance against cutting interest rates. UK’s benchmark index, however, gained 0.4%.
“I’m expecting all the central banks to remind markets they could still hike if they want to,” said Giles Coghlan, chief market analyst at brokerage GCFX.
“The last thing they want to do is to signal they’ve won the inflation battle prematurely, because that will just allow markets to run positive on risk.”
Carl Zeiss Meditec jumped 8.5% after the medical technology firm reported higher annual revenue and a more optimistic forecast.
Italy’s Banco BPM gained 2% after pledging to moderately grow profits through 2026.
Novo Nordisk (NYSE:), the producer of blockbuster obesity drug Wegovy, fell 1.6% after a study showed patients regained weight after stopping rival Eli Lilly (NYSE:)’s weight-loss drug. Copenhagen’s OMX 20 slipped 1.3%.
Meanwhile, AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:) gained 1.5% on plans to buy US-based vaccine developer Icosavax in a $1.1 billion deal.
Hargreaves Lansdown slumped 7.4% after Britain’s market watchdog expressed concerns about the amount of interest and fees charged by some investment platforms.
BT Group (LON:) fell 3%, with traders linking the drop to British communications regulator Ofcom proposing a ban on mid-contract price hikes linked to inflation.
Telefonica (NYSE:), which owns British telecom services provider O2 UK, was down 5.5%, as its shares traded ex-dividend in Madrid.
Meanwhile, Warsaw’s WIG 20 eased 0.7%, a day after Donald Tusk was appointed as the country’s prime minister.
Economy
Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo
MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.
The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.
Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.
“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.
Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.
“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.
The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.
The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.
Economy
China identifies second set of projects in $140 billion spending plan
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers walk past an under-construction area with completed office towers in the background, in Shenzhen’s Qianhai new district, Guangdong province, China August 25, 2023. REUTERS/David Kirton/File Photo
SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s top planning body said on Saturday it had identified a second batch of public investment projects, including flood control and disaster relief programmes, under a bond issuance and investment plan announced in October to boost the economy.
With the latest tranche, China has now earmarked more than 800 billion yuan of its 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion) in additional government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, as it focuses on fiscal steps to shore up the flagging economy.
The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in a statement on Saturday it had identified 9,600 projects with planned investment of more than 560 billion yuan.
China’s economy, the world’s second largest, is struggling to regain its footing post-COVID-19 as policymakers grapple with tepid consumer demand, weak exports, falling foreign investment and a deepening real estate crisis.
The 1 trillion yuan in additional bond issuance will widen China’s 2023 budget deficit ratio to around 3.8 percent from 3 percent, the state-run Xinhua news agency has said.
“Construction of the projects will improve China’s flood control system, emergency response mechanism and disaster relief capabilities, and better protect people’s lives and property, so it is very significant,” the NDRC said.
The agency said it will coordinate with other government bodies to make sure that funds are allocated speedily for investment and that high standards of quality are maintained in project construction.
($1 = 7.1315 renminbi)
Economy
Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo
MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.
The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.
Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.
“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.
Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.
“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.
The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.
The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.
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