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Goldman Sachs: Europe’s economy is in a “terrible” state. Why is the European economy failing?

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european economy vs us

Why is the European economy failing? The U.S. economy has much more incentive to grow in the coming months than the European Union. The economic situation in European countries is currently in a terrible state, Bloomberg reported, citing data from financial conglomerate Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“Analysts led by David Kostin say that while the path of economic growth in the U.S. may be ‘uncertain,’ the economic situation in Europe remains dire,” the material says.

According to experts at Goldman Sachs, the potential profitability of the U.S. stock market is now less exposed to risks than the performance of key European trading platforms. Therefore, if you compare the European economy vs. the U.S., the latter seems more resistant to modern challenges. European Union markets are currently suffering from a recession.

“In dollar terms, the Stoxx Europe 600 has underperformed the S&P 500 this year, and Goldman’s basket of U.S. companies, which have 100 percent domestic sales, has outperformed the one with high sales in Europe,” according to a Goldman Sachs research note.

According to investment strategists, U.S. firms that do most of their business in the U.S. will fare better than those operating in Europe, where a recession is virtually guaranteed, the foreign analysts concluded.

On Sept. 12, the Washington Post suggested that the U.S. could benefit from a recession in Europe to combat rising inflation. If the European Union goes into a slowdown, a lot of people will reduce demand for a wide range of goods. The U.S. could look on the bright side of this situation as it would affect inflation, the highest in 40 years.

Earlier, we reported that uranium prices reached their highest since March.

Economy

Ford Motor brands cut quarterly net profit 9.4 times

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Ford Motor brands

U.S. automaker Ford Motor Co (NYSE:F). cut net income 9.4 times to $1.3 billion, or 32 cents per share, in the fourth quarter of 2022, down from $12.3 billion, or $3.03 per Ford Motor company stock, in the comparable period a year earlier.

Ford Motor brands adjusted earnings rose to 51 cents per Ford Motor company stock from 26 cents per share a year earlier. The figure was below the 62 cents per share expectations of analysts surveyed by FactSet, the company said in a statement.

Revenue, meanwhile, rose 17% to $44 billion. Experts had forecast revenue of $41.4 billion. The company said in a statement that the results fell short of its expectations, due in part to supply chain and manufacturing instability that led to higher costs and lower-than-expected vehicle production.

For all of 2022, Ford recorded a net loss of $2 billion, compared with a profit of $17.9 billion a year earlier.

Ford is forecasting EBIT of $9 billion to $11 billion this year, but warned that factors such as the U.S. and European recession, a stronger U.S. dollar and higher customer acquisition costs could have a negative impact on the figure.

Ford said earlier this week that it will “significantly increase” production of the Mustang Mach-E electric car in 2023. At the same time, the company sees an opportunity for lower prices for these electric cars in the U.S. Ford Motor Company stocks fell 6.4 percent in additional trading in New York on Thursday. The company’s capitalization has risen 23.1 percent to $55.4 billion since the beginning of the year.

Earlier, we reported that the U.S. suspends the issuance of licenses to U.S. companies to export Huawei technology.

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News US sanctions against Huawei: US suspends licenses to US companies to export technology to Huawei

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impact of US sanctions on huawei

US sanctions against Huawei are expanding. The administration of U.S. President Joe Biden has stopped issuing licenses to U.S. companies to export technology to Huawei, the Financial Times reports.

According to the newspaper’s informed sources, the U.S. Department of Commerce has notified some companies that it will no longer issue licenses to export U.S. technology to Huawei.

Meanwhile, Bloomberg’s interlocutors reported that the Biden administration is considering a complete ban on the sale of U.S. technology to the Chinese telecommunications equipment giant. The agency notes that some officials in the Biden administration are in favor of banning all sales to Huawei, but a final decision has not yet been made.

According to knowledgeable sources, it is still unclear how soon the administration may pass a ban on all Huawei sales. According to some of them, the timing of the decision could coincide with the four-year anniversary of Huawei’s blacklisting. The impact of US sanctions on Huawei is quite serious. 

The U.S. Department of Commerce under former President Donald Trump blocked Huawei in May 2019 as a threat to national security. U.S. firms were prohibited from doing business with companies on the list without special permits.

Earlier we reported that the German economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4.

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Germany economy analysis: economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4

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Germany economy analysis

German economic analysis shows that German GDP fell by 0.2% in the fourth quarter of 2022 compared to the previous three months. according to preliminary data from the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). On an annualized basis, the economy grew by 1.1%, adjusted for the number of working days.

Analysts polled by Trading Economics on average expected no change in GDP in quarterly terms and growth of 1.3% in annual terms. At the same time, the German economy provided the country with stability, although the DAX index also fell in price due to recent events.

The main factors of the economic downturn were cuts in consumer spending and industrial production in October and December, said the report. Final data on changes in GDP in the fourth quarter will be published by Destatis on Feb. 24.

At the same time, the statistical office said that “due to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis and the situation in Ukraine, the data are subject to more uncertainty than usual. This points to the possibility of a stronger revision of the figures than initially announced.

According to revised data, German GDP rose 0.5% quarter-over-quarter and 1.3% year-over-year in the third quarter, both estimates up 0.1 percentage points.

Earlier, we reported that analysts predicted a decline in Chinese production.

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