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IMF predicts cold winter for Europe in 2023

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cold winter for europe

A cold winter for Europe in 2023 will be harsher than the 2022 heating season. 

“The winter forecast for Europe is disappointing. Europe has experienced a serious energy crisis, which has dramatically increased the cost of living and hindered economic activity. Gas prices in Europe have more than quadrupled since 2021. The energy crisis, especially in Europe, is not a temporary shock. The winter of 2022 will be difficult for Europe, but the winter of 2023 will probably be even worse,” said Pierre-Olivier Gourinch, chief economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

According to him, the probability of energy shortages next winter and in later years will only increase over time. The situation will worsen with a serious decrease in average temperatures in Europe. Therefore, winter forecasts for Europe are extremely pessimistic. 

“Especially low temperatures or insufficient reductions in gas demand this fall could lead to the introduction of energy rationing in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, this winter with serious consequences for industry, a strong impact on the growth prospects of the eurozone and could have negative cross-border consequences,” Gurinsch concluded.

On October 10, the heads of the World Bank and the IMF announced the risk of a global recession in 2023. According to IMF head Kristalina Georgieva, a slowdown in economic growth could affect countries accounting for a total of one-third of global GDP. Total losses on the world economy by 2026 could reach $4 trillion.

Earlier we reported that the growth of the U.S. dollar has not yet reached its peak.

Economy

Large US companies by market cap begin to think more about cutting investments and staff – survey

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The chief executive officers (CEOs) of the largest US companies by market cap are revising downward their plans for hiring and investment amid a worsening outlook for the US economy, a quarterly Business Roundtable (BRT) survey showed.

That’s because of high inflation and rising costs, said the association, which includes dozens of major U.S. corporations. The S&P 500 and U.S. 100 indices are also declining amid the developments.

The index, which gauges the economic outlook, fell 11 points this quarter, to 73 points. The indicator is still above the 50-point mark, indicating that the economy is growing. However, it fell below the long-term average of 84 points for the first time since the third quarter of 2020.

The index of planned investments fell 7 points to 68 points and expected sales fell 8 points to 91 points, according to the BRT report.

What will the biggest U.S. companies do by market cap?

About 39% of CEOs plan to increase the number of employees at their companies in the next six months, while 28% of respondents intend to downsize. Last quarter, those numbers were 47% and 19%, respectively.

Nearly half (49%) said that labor costs are a major expense at their company. Twenty-one percent of CEOs plan to reduce capex in the next six months and 40% plan to increase it. In the third quarter these proportions were 18% and 43%, respectively.

U.S. CEOs on average forecast that U.S. GDP will increase by 1.2% in 2023. 142 CEOs participated in the BRT survey, which ran from October 31 to November 28.

Earlier, we reported that Saxo Bank presented “shocking predictions” for the next year.

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Saxo Bank predictions 2023: Saxo Bank presents “shocking predictions” for the next year

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Analysis Saxo Bank

Saxo Bank predictions 2023: The Danish Bank has published ten “shocking predictions” for 2023. They concern a series of unlikely and underestimated events because of which, however, “the world markets can be covered with a powerful shock wave”..

Saxo Bank analysis – what’s going to happen next year?

Against the backdrop of rising energy prices, leading U.S. technology companies and “billionaire technophiles” will create a multi-billion dollar project aimed at exploring new opportunities in the energy sector, the bank predicts. According to the bank, this project will be comparable to the “Manhattan Project” to study atomic energy and the creation of the nuclear bomb, and investments in the new project will be about $1 trillion.

Inflationary pressures and geopolitical instability will continue to affect not only the global economy but also the financial markets, says the Danish bank. Against this background, states will take a more conservative policy, reducing investments in more complex financial instruments, and investing in traditional assets such as gold. And traders at the same time are considering Gold Futures.

Increased demand for gold in 2023 will, according to Saxo Bank, cause its price to rise from the current $1,800 to $3,000 per ounce.

Earlier, we reported that Apple has postponed the release date of an unmanned electric car for a year.

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Apple postponed the release date of Apple’s electric car by a year

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Apple's electric car

U.S. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has pushed back the release date of Apple’s unmanned electric car by a year to 2026 and somewhat tempered its ambitions about the extent of its self-driving capability, Bloomberg reported, citing sources.

Earlier, Apple announced electric cars. According to the sources, the Titan project has been in limbo for the past few months because top executives at Apple have concluded that their vision of a fully self-driving car with no steering wheel and no pedals can’t be realized with existing technology. The APPLE Price Chart showed a slight decline amid this news. 

In this regard, the company has decided to adjust the project and now plans to create a less autonomous car, with a steering wheel and pedals, with the possibility of fully unmanned driving on highways, sources said.

The driver of the car is expected to be able to do his or her own thing while driving on the highway, such as watching a movie or playing a game, and will receive advance notifications to switch to manual control when approaching city streets or deteriorating weather conditions.

Apple shares fell 2.5 percent in trading Tuesday. Since the beginning of this year, their value has fallen by 19.5%.

We previously reported on World Economic News now through the morning of Dec. 6.

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