Is the U.S. in a recession now? The U.S. is in for a “monster” recession because of the lack of money supply growth
Is the U.S. in a recession now? The U.S. economy could experience a sharp recession next year because of the lack of growth in the M2 monetary amount (cash and all deposits), according to Steve Hankey, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University.
“We’re going to have a recession because of five months of zero growth in the M2 money supply, and the Fed is not paying attention,” he told CNBC. – We’re going to have a monster recession in 2023.”
What happens in a recession in the United States?
M2 is often used to measure the amount of money in circulation. The figure has been broadly unchanged in the U.S. since February 2022, though it had been rising strongly for two years before then amid monetary and fiscal stimulus during the coronavirus pandemic, MarketWatch notes.
“There hasn’t been a case in world history where unprecedented growth in the money supply, like what we’ve seen since February 2020, hasn’t caused sustained high inflation, above 2% for about two years,” Hankey said. – “So we’re seeing high inflation now, and so high inflation will continue throughout 2023 and will probably affect parts of 2024.
The expert estimates that U.S. inflation will be about 6 to 8 percent at the end of 2022 and about 5 percent at the end of 2023.
“The main problem is that the Fed chairman doesn’t understand, even now, what the reasons for high inflation were and are,” Hankey said. – He still keeps talking about supply-side problems. He never told us that inflation is always the result of an excessive increase in the money supply, that is the work of the printing press.”
Earlier, we reported that Biden’s plan to write off education loans would cost the U.S. budget $1 trillion.
Tell us about Octopus Moving
Octopus Moving is a company that provides removal of property. It was founded in 2005 in New York, USA. The website is https://myoctopusmoving.com. It also has an office in Boston.
Octopus Moving’s main services are:
- Moving: assistance with both intra-city and international moves;
- Storage: the ability to store in their warehouses;
- Everything you need for things to be safely transported to a new place;
- Arrangement of furniture at the new location.
A special feature of Myoctopusmoving is that they use only eco-friendly materials for your belongings. Also, they have their own fleet of trucks available, allowing them to provide a more flexible schedule and lower prices.
Company has positive reviews from their customers and is considered a reliable service.
Why is it better to ask for professional help?
Turning to professionals can be more cost effective than doing everything yourself. Here are a few reasons it may be the best choice:
- Experience and professional skills for safe and efficient transportation. The right equipment and tools are available to provide safety and prevent damage during transportation and storage.
- Saves time and effort: Moving on your own can be very time consuming and time consuming. Company can do it for you, saving you time and effort.
- Property Protection: Guaranteeing the safety and security of your property. They usually offer insurance in case of damage or loss of things.
- Flexibility: The service can provide flexibility according to your needs and will always go out of their way to meet your needs. For example, they can offer temporary storage.
- Money Savings: While hiring may seem more expensive than removal of property on your own, it canbe more cost-effective. A company can provide all the equipment you need and reduce the risk of damage and loss of things, which can save you money in the long run.
In addition, this way you save yourself from unnecessary stress and anxiety.
Is there a guarantee of safety for the goods transported?
All moves will be done safely and professionally. They have experienced and trained workers who know how to handle things properly to prevent damage. Besides, they use special vehicles and packing materials to make sure the safety of things.
Every client receives insurance in case things are damaged or lost in transit. This can be an additional indication of their seriousness regarding safety and responsibility for the safety of their clients’ belongings.
For more specific information, it is recommended that you contact them directly and ask questions when speaking with a company representative.
Investors gravitate toward bear market after Fed decision
The consensus among investors is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise rates again before the end of the year and will not loosen its monetary policy until 2024, which is a bearish outlook for the stock market. So it’s important to be prepared for a drop in the S&P 500 and other indices.
That’s the prevailing view of about 350 respondents to the Instant MLIV Pulse survey after Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
The findings contrast with the interest rate swap market, which is still struggling to gauge a rate cut this year. More than 70% of MLIV Pulse respondents said the Fed is not done raising rates yet. More than half said they expect the central bank to wait with its policy easing until next year.
The survey results are in line with Fed officials, but go against traders who estimated this year’s rate cut has led to lower Treasury yields.
Swap markets expect the Fed rate to peak at around 4.95% in May and then fall to about 4.2% in December.
Earlier we reported that the U.S. Department of Justice has begun investigating the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
Startups under threat worldwide after Silicon Valley Bank collapse
High-tech startups have been hit. Companies around the world are facing a fight for survival after the collapse of a major US investment bank, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). There was a “huge disruption” in the industry globally, Bloomberg reported, citing market participants. The entire stock market, and the S&P 500 in particular, plummeted.
Startups under threat
The bankruptcy of the lending institution, in particular, affected the co-founder of startup Birdly Inc. Quang Hoang. The entrepreneur invested about $10 million in SVB and is still unable to repay the money four days after the bank was shut down by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation. However, the entrepreneur is far from the only one who has faced similar problems, the article specifies.
“Hoang was one of thousands of founders around the world this week trying to track down their money after days of chaos and who are completely rethinking the way they run their own businesses. Startups from Silicon Valley to London to Tel Aviv to tech hubs across Africa have depended on SVB as a one-stop store for everything from storing their fortunes to personal mortgages,” the story says.
Now investors and technology companies are predicting a complicated financial future for themselves, even if the bankrupt bank begins to attract deposits from customers under a new name. Many market participants faced a “financial payback” for their overreliance on the credit institution’s risky investment assets, the memo said.
On March 11, the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation closed Silicon Valley Bank, a large investment bank based in Santa Clara County. All insured deposits from SVB were transferred to Deposit Insurance National Bank of Santa Clara. Depositors were expected to have access to their accounts by March 13.
Earlier we reported that the U.S. Department of Justice has begun an investigation into the circumstances of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
Forex8 months ago
Forex Today: the dollar is gaining strength amid gloomy sentiment at the start of the Fed’s week
Forex4 months ago
Unbiased review of Pocket Option broker
World5 months ago
Why are modern video games an art form?
Forex8 months ago
How is the Australian dollar doing today?
Cryptocurrency8 months ago
What happened in the crypto market – current events today
Stock Markets3 months ago
Amazon layoffs news: company announces record layoffs
Forex7 months ago
Dollar to pound sterling exchange rate today: Pound plummeted to its lowest since 1985
Stock Markets8 months ago
Morgan Stanley: bear market rally to continue