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Economy

US Stocks Poised For Rebound On Tech Support — But Analyst Says ‘Young Bull Probably Needs A Breather’

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Market sentiment appears to be improving after the pullback witnessed in the previous two sessions. Beaten-down tech stocks are expected to lead the recovery, as indicated by the outperformance of Nasdaq 100 futures. Traders will likely focus on economic data related to the housing market, consumer confidence, and manufacturing sectors to gain better insight into the economic and rate outlook.Key Highlights From Monday’s Trading:The subdued sentiment observed on Friday carried over into Monday’s session, as uncertainties led to risk aversion and resulted in traders selling growth stocks, particularly in the big tech sector.The major indices opened lower but quickly reversed course and showed early morning gains. However, the upward momentum weakened, and stocks traded in a lackluster manner for the rest of the session, closing lower.The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Industrials ended the day near two-week lows.In contrast, small-cap stocks maintained a relatively positive sentiment and mostly traded above the flat line. Towards the end of the afternoon, they relinquished some of their gains but still closed marginally higher.Communication services, information technology, and consumer discretionary stocks experienced the most significant declines during the session. Conversely, real estate, materials, and energy stocks made gains. U.S. Indices’ Performance on MondayIndex Performance (+/-)ValueNasdaq 100-0.41%14,829.17S&P 500 Index-0.06%4,345.66Dow Industrials-0.06%33,706.34Russell 2000-0.58%1,848.76Analyst Color:Thanks to a strong rally off the October lows, the S&P 500 entered a new bull market on June 8, 2023, and “this young bull probably needs a breather,” said LPL analysts Jeffrey Buchbinder and Adam Turnquist.”A look at the charts suggests this market may be due for a pause,” the analysts said adding that bull markets are not linear.”However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective.”Futures TodayFutures Performance On TuesdayFuturesPerformance (+/-)Nasdaq 100 -0.44%S&P 500-0.39%Dow-0.39%R2K -0.63%In premarket trading on Tuesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY rose 0.20% to $432.31 and the Invesco QQQ ETF QQQ gained 0.48% to $359.41, according to Benzinga Pro data.Upcoming Economic Data:The Commerce Department is scheduled to release its durable goods orders report for May at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Durable goods orders may have slipped 1% month-over-month in May following a 1.1% increase in April. Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation orders, are expected to have edged down 0.1%, slower than the 0.2% drop in April.The S&P/Case-Shiller house price index for April is due at 9 a.m. EDT. The seasonally adjusted 20-city composite house price index may have increased by 0.5% month-over-month, the same pace of growth as in March.The Federal House Finance Agency’s data is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase and 3.1% year-over-year growth in house prices in April. This compares to increases of 0.6% and 3.6% in March. The report is due for release at 9 a.m. EDT.The Commerce Department is scheduled to release its new home sales data for May at 10 a.m. EDT. Economists, on average, expect new home sales of 675,000 units in May compared to 683,000 units in April.The Richmond Fed is due to release its manufacturing and services index for June at 10 a.m. EDT. The manufacturing index is expected to improve slightly from -15 in April to -10 in June, while the services index is likely to have improved from -10 in April to 7 in June.The Conference Board is set to release its consumer confidence index for June at 10 a.m. EDT. The index may have increased from 102.3 in May in 104 in June.The Dallas Fed is set to release its regional services index for June at 10:30 a.m. EDT. The consensus estimate calls for a decline in the index from 6.9 in May to 6 in June.The Treasury will auction five-year notes at 1 p.m. EDT.See also: Best Futures BrokersStocks In Focus:Commodities, Bonds, Other Global Equity Markets: Crude oil futures slumped 1.34% to $68.44 in early European trading on Tuesday. The commodity fell 0.83% in the previous session.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 0.018 percentage points to 3.737%.The major Asian markets ended Tuesday’s session on a mixed note, with the Japanese, Indonesian, Malaysian, Taiwanese and South Korean markets moving to the downside. On the other, the Hong Kong and Chinese markets rallied strongly, as Chinese officials continued to talk up the economy.European stocks opened Tuesday’s session solidly higher, as traders sought bargains following the market’s six-session losing streak. The major averages in the region have given back much of the gains and traded flat in late-morning trading.Read Next: Taking Powell At His Word: Wall Street Analysts Foresee Further Rate Hikes, US GDP Growth

Economy

Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC

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Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.

The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.

Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.

“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.

Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.

“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.

The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.

The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.

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China identifies second set of projects in $140 billion spending plan

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China identifies second set of projects in $140 billion spending plan
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers walk past an under-construction area with completed office towers in the background, in Shenzhen’s Qianhai new district, Guangdong province, China August 25, 2023. REUTERS/David Kirton/File Photo

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s top planning body said on Saturday it had identified a second batch of public investment projects, including flood control and disaster relief programmes, under a bond issuance and investment plan announced in October to boost the economy.

With the latest tranche, China has now earmarked more than 800 billion yuan of its 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion) in additional government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, as it focuses on fiscal steps to shore up the flagging economy.

The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in a statement on Saturday it had identified 9,600 projects with planned investment of more than 560 billion yuan.

China’s economy, the world’s second largest, is struggling to regain its footing post-COVID-19 as policymakers grapple with tepid consumer demand, weak exports, falling foreign investment and a deepening real estate crisis.

The 1 trillion yuan in additional bond issuance will widen China’s 2023 budget deficit ratio to around 3.8 percent from 3 percent, the state-run Xinhua news agency has said.

“Construction of the projects will improve China’s flood control system, emergency response mechanism and disaster relief capabilities, and better protect people’s lives and property, so it is very significant,” the NDRC said.

The agency said it will coordinate with other government bodies to make sure that funds are allocated speedily for investment and that high standards of quality are maintained in project construction.

($1 = 7.1315 renminbi)

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Economy

Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC

letizo News

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Russian central bank says it needs months to make sure CPI falling before rate cuts -RBC
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.

The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.

Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.

“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.

Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.

“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.

The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.

The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.

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