Will the US economy collapse? U.S. economy will avoid recession next year
Will the US economy collapse? The US economy, unlike the European Union and the UK, will avoid the risk of going into recession during 2023. The success of the United States in combating the worsening energy crisis will be due to the stable state of the U.S. labor market, said Reuters, citing the forecast of analysts at Morgan Stanley Bank.
Is the U.S. economy in a recession? The leading countries of the world will enter or approach an economic recession next year. At the same time, developing countries will also be unable to demonstrate high rates of production growth, showing a modest pace of recovery of national economies. For this reason the overall recovery in the global market will be in 2023, difficult to achieve, the material says.
According to analysts at the American Bank, the world economy will grow in the next 12 months only by 2.2%. At the same time, experts at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) earlier assumed that the figure in 2023 will increase by 2.7%. At the same time, the IMF earlier estimated the growth of global GDP at 2.9%, the article specifies.
About half of the member countries of the European Union won’t be able to avoid a recession in 2023. This will be caused by the intensification of the energy crisis and a decline in the economic production of a lot of European countries.
Earlier, we reported that Elon Musk predicted that bitcoin would be a long crypto winter in which the digital currency would survive.
Startups under threat worldwide after Silicon Valley Bank collapse
High-tech startups have been hit. Companies around the world are facing a fight for survival after the collapse of a major US investment bank, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). There was a “huge disruption” in the industry globally, Bloomberg reported, citing market participants. The entire stock market, and the S&P 500 in particular, plummeted.
Startups under threat
The bankruptcy of the lending institution, in particular, affected the co-founder of startup Birdly Inc. Quang Hoang. The entrepreneur invested about $10 million in SVB and is still unable to repay the money four days after the bank was shut down by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation. However, the entrepreneur is far from the only one who has faced similar problems, the article specifies.
“Hoang was one of thousands of founders around the world this week trying to track down their money after days of chaos and who are completely rethinking the way they run their own businesses. Startups from Silicon Valley to London to Tel Aviv to tech hubs across Africa have depended on SVB as a one-stop store for everything from storing their fortunes to personal mortgages,” the story says.
Now investors and technology companies are predicting a complicated financial future for themselves, even if the bankrupt bank begins to attract deposits from customers under a new name. Many market participants faced a “financial payback” for their overreliance on the credit institution’s risky investment assets, the memo said.
On March 11, the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation closed Silicon Valley Bank, a large investment bank based in Santa Clara County. All insured deposits from SVB were transferred to Deposit Insurance National Bank of Santa Clara. Depositors were expected to have access to their accounts by March 13.
Earlier we reported that the U.S. Department of Justice has begun an investigation into the circumstances of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
U.S. Justice Department Opens Investigation into Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
The U.S. Justice Department is set to investigate the circumstances surrounding the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which was the largest since the global crisis in 2008. The entire stock market collapsed, in particular the S&P 500. This was reported by The New York Times (NYT), citing two people familiar with the situation.
The sources of the newspaper noted that the investigation is at a very early stage, and it is not yet very clear what the focus of federal investigators and prosecutors will be.
Lawyers believe that the main point that may attract investigators is that a few weeks before the crash of SVB, several top managers sold their shares. The sale of securities brought the sellers millions of dollars.
Market experts pointed out that some top managers sold their shares by previously announced plans, so that such sales would not seem illegal. For this purpose, the date of sale of securities and their volume are chosen in advance. However, some politicians have already said that all of the bank’s top managers should return the money received from the sale of shares.
Earlier on Wednesday, the Wall Street Journal, citing its sources, wrote that creditors of the bankrupt bank SVB joined to make profits after the collapse of the financial institution.
Earlier, we reported that an American billionaire declared the collapse of American capitalism.
U.S. Billionaire Says ‘Collapse of American Capitalism’
Is the collapse of the U.S. economy coming? The Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) bailout package released by American regulators shows that American capitalism is “crumbling before our eyes”. Ken Griffin, founder of the hedge fund Citadel, told The Financial Times.
“There has been a loss of financial discipline because the government bailed out depositors completely. It would have been a great lesson in moral hazard. The loss to depositors would have been insignificant, and it would have increased the importance of risk management,” he said.
In Griffin’s view, the U.S. government should not have taken such drastic action. Griffin’s position contrasts with that of another senior hedge fund manager, Bill Eckman, who on March 13 urged the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to “clearly guarantee all deposits now,” warning that “hours matter.”
Eckman wrote on Twitter that “our economy will not function effectively without our community and regional banking system.”
The situation is already affecting the Euro / U.S. Dollar exchange rate.
We previously reported that The Fed announced an emergency bailout of the U.S. banking sector.
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