Forex
Dollar drops to two-month low after U.S. inflation slows


© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK (Reuters) – The dollar sank to a new two-month low on Wednesday after data showed the rise in U.S. consumer prices eased in June, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may have to raise interest rates just one more time this year.
The dropped as low as 101.04, the lowest in two months, after the data, and was last down 0.4% at 101.27.
The greenback also hit its lowest against the Swiss franc since early 2015 after the inflation report. It was last down 0.6% at 0.8750 francs, having fallen to a session low of 0.8735 earlier, its weakest since the Swiss National Bank removed the peg from the Swiss currency in January 2015.
Core U.S. consumer prices rose just 0.2% in June, compared with forecasts for a gain of 0.3%.
On an annual basis, U.S. CPI advanced 4.8%, lower than market expectations for a 5% increase. That was also the smallest annual increase in more than two years.
U.S. rate futures still show traders overwhelmingly expect the policy rate to rise a quarter point, to a 5.25%-5.5% range, at the Fed’s July 25-26 meeting, but now see about a 25% chance of another rate hike before year’s end, down from about 35% before the report.
“The Fed may have talked itself into a corner with a July 26th rate hike. The data don’t confirm that they need to actually hike,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist, at Annex Wealth Management, in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
“Since they’re stubborn, they’ll probably do it anyways. Thankfully the market has been expecting that hike. The end is near for hikes.”
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Currency bid prices at 8:58AM (1258 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index 101.1900 101.6000 -0.40% -2.222% +101.6100 +101.0400
Euro/Dollar $1.1059 $1.1010 +0.45% +3.21% +$1.1072 +$1.1008
Dollar/Yen 139.2500 140.3800 -0.80% +6.21% +140.3400 +138.7700
Euro/Yen 154.01 154.49 -0.31% +9.77% +154.5200 +153.5200
Dollar/Swiss 0.8745 0.8794 -0.51% -5.38% +0.8793 +0.8735
Sterling/Dollar $1.2951 $1.2931 +0.12% +7.05% +$1.2975 +$1.2905
Dollar/Canadian 1.3219 1.3230 -0.08% -2.43% +1.3233 +1.3197
Aussie/Dollar $0.6733 $0.6687 +0.67% -1.25% +$0.6751 +$0.6683
Euro/Swiss 0.9672 0.9679 -0.07% -2.25% +0.9695 +0.9663
Euro/Sterling 0.8537 0.8511 +0.31% -3.47% +0.8542 +0.8506
NZ $0.6231 $0.6198 +0.42% -1.98% +$0.6246 +$0.6183
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 10.2140 10.3530 -1.24% +4.19% +10.3490 +10.1940
Euro/Norway 11.2984 11.3868 -0.78% +7.67% +11.4120 +11.2620
Dollar/Sweden 10.5439 10.6608 -0.54% +1.30% +10.6696 +10.5152
Euro/Sweden 11.6613 11.7241 -0.54% +4.59% +11.7573 +11.6390
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