Hong Kong dollar crisis: Traders increase their bets on Hong Kong dollar decline
Hong Kong dollar crisis: Traders increased their positions on the Hong Kong dollar decline. The exchange rate of this currency fell by almost 1% after an 18-month peak in December. The decline of the inter-bank loans rate resulted in the widening of the gap with rates similar to those in the U.S. to the maximum since 2008. The wide spread made it profitable to buy Hong Kong currency – traders could borrow it cheaply and sell it for U.S. dollars, which have higher rates.
Are we in for a Hong Kong dollar collapse?
The benchmark foreign exchange market in Hong Kong HIBOR (Interbank Offered Rate) has gone into a decline. Now HIBOR is 160 bps lower than LIBOR, which is calculated for several currencies, including the U.S. dollar. For comparison: in early December HIBOR was 90 bp above LIBOR. Today the Euro / U.S. Dollar rate looks more optimistic.
According to Kelvin Lau, senior economist at Standard Chartered (LON:STAN) Bank Hong Kong, the fall in the Hong Kong dollar was exacerbated by the high-base effect.
“The combination of a less tight Fed rate outlook and improved prospects for a resumption of local market operations likely fueled expectations for renewed capital inflows,” Lau said.
Banks expected limited currency liquidity after the holidays in December, but their initially pessimistic forecasts didn’t materialize. Analysts at Oversea-Chinese Banking believe the USD/HKD pair is likely to remain above the 7.80 level in the short term. The growth potential of the HIBOR – LIBOR spread is limited, experts said. The exchange rate of HKD was 7.83 on January 27.
Bill Ackman, founder of hedge fund Pershing Square (NYSE:SQ), said last November that he was betting on Hong Kong’s currency falling and ending its peg to the U.S. dollar. Hayman Capital founder Kyle Bass and billionaire George Soros shared the same pessimistic view of Hong Kong’s currency.
Earlier we reported that Brazil and Argentina want to create their own “euro”.
ITB (International Trading Brachium) Broker Announced Its YouTube channel
(Mahe, Seychelles-March 08, 2023) – ITB BROKER, LLC, an international forex broker, has announced that with our community growing, we believe that this will be the most effective medium to communicate with and so, we’re proud to announce the launch of ITB YouTube channel .
When a picture speaks a thousand words, How about a video?
- Throughout our community building initiative, we strongly believe in video as our means of communication. Video has played a pivotal role in describing our futuristic services to our audience and in communicating our disruptive vision to potential traders or investors.
- Over the next few weeks, we will be launching interesting videos on upcoming ITB features, bonuses, partnership or IB announcements and financial market expert interviews.
- YouTube is a great place to pick up forex trading tips and learn how to use them in the real world.
There are a number of YouTubers that make great educational videos, perfect for beginners or those considering taking up forex trading. ITB group with over 10 years of financial experience provides you with useful tips and hints of forex trading via its YouTube channel.
ITB Broker or ITBFX is a leading provider of online foreign exchange (FX) trading, CFD trading, and related services.
Founded in 2017, the company’s mission is to provide enthusiastic traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid market by offering innovative trading tools, applying excellent trading platform, meeting strict financial standards, and striving for the best online trading experience in the market.
In addition, ITB offers educational courses on FX trading and Cryptocurrencies on academy section of ITBFX website.
U.S. budget deficit totaled $262 billion in February
According to a report from the U.S. Treasury Department, the U.S. budget deficit in February was $262,434 billion compared to a $38.8 billion deficit in January. The Dow 30 also had problems.
Analysts at DailyFX suggested that the nation’s budget deficit for February was expected to be $256 billion. A year earlier, in February, the U.S. posted a budget deficit of $216,590 billion.
According to the GAO report, U.S. government spending rose 3.5 percent year over year last month to $524.548 billion, while revenue, in contrast, declined 9.5 percent to $262,114 billion.
Earlier, the U.S. edition of the Washington Post published an editorial stating that the new draft budget proposed by the Biden administration undermines U.S. national security and its ability to invest in the future, because it suggests a further growth of the U.S. national debt.
The WP editorial board noted that the new draft budget assumes a $2 trillion budget deficit, including due to the high cost of providing health insurance to the elderly of the baby boomer generation.
Earlier we reported that the EU has agreed to reduce energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030.
The EU has agreed to reduce energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030
The European Union has agreed to reduce the bloc’s energy consumption by 11.7 percent by 2030, Reuters reported.
“This will mean a real change in favor of the climate and to the detriment of Putin,” the Danish Niels Fulsang, the European Parliament’s lead negotiator, told the agency.
Initially, in 2021, the EU proposed to reduce consumption by 9%, but in May 2022, against the background of events in Ukraine, increased the target to 13% to quickly abandon Russian energy, writes Forbes. The European Parliament considered it necessary to reduce consumption by 14%. The DAX Index also had problems.
Some EU countries have continued to insist on a 9% cut. An all-night negotiation between the EU and the European Parliament resulted in a compromise: the energy consumption of EU end-users, such as households and businesses, must be 11.7 percent lower than expected in 2030.
The agreement must pass final approval by the European Parliament and EU countries before it can become legally binding.
Earlier, we reported that consumers expect lower inflation in the eurozone, higher wages.
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