Forex
Is the US about to enter a recession? BofA predicts a recession in 2023 in the U.S., the U.K., and the eurozone
Is the US about to enter a recession? Recession in the U.S., the U.K. and the eurozone next year “appears inevitable,” according to Bank of America (NYSE:BAC). This is inevitable after global markets have been subjected to “two significant shocks” this year: inflation and interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the report said.
The economy will fall into a “soft” Recession in the U.S. in the first half of 2023, which is likely to have a negative impact on corporate earnings, and an economic slowdown in Europe is expected this winter, bank analysts predicted.
Inflation is likely to fall in 2023, but “it will take time for central banks to declare victory” over it, according to Candace Browning, head of global research at BofA. So we should also expect the S&P 500 Index, as well as other important indices, to decline.
U.S. interest rates are expected to remain elevated for most of next year. They are not expected to fall until late 2023, MT Newswires quotes experts as saying. The Fed has been raising rates since March to curb inflation.
“Weaker economic growth prospects and higher rates are forcing corporate executives to shift priorities toward reducing debt, moving away from stock buybacks and capex,” the report notes.
As inflation slows, Americans will get “some price relief,” but they may become “less willing to spend” as the unemployment rate is expected to peak at 5.5 percent in the first quarter of 2024, BofA forecasts. By comparison, the nation’s unemployment rate was at 3.7% in November.
Analysts at the bank expect the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index to end 2023 near 4,000 points lower. It was 3,990.56 points at Monday’s close of trading.
Bonds will look more attractive in the first half of next year, while stocks should do better in the latter part of the year, experts believe.
Earlier we reported that the ECB expects the average wholesale gas price in the euro area to remain unchanged.
U.S. stock index futures are rising Thursday, trading data showed. Markets are assessing the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures rose 0.22% to 32,329 points, the NASDAQ high-tech index rose 0.96% to 12,828.5 points and the S&P 500 broad market index rose 0.48% to 3,989.75 points.
The Fed on Wednesday expectedly raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.75-5% per year. The regulator noted that it does not expect the rate reduction this year, but allows it next year. U.S. exchanges were down 1.6% in Wednesday trading.
According to the CME Group, 55.8% of analysts now expect the Fed’s discount rate to remain unchanged in May, while 44.2% expect it to rise another 25 basis points. Thus, markets concede that the Fed may interrupt the cycle of hikes that began last March.
At the same time, shares of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase were down 10.6% in pre-bid trading. The exchange this week received notice from U.S. authorities of an impending charge of violating laws.
Later in the trading, statistics on initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week through March 18 will be released. Analysts forecast that the figure would increase by 5 thousand to 197 thousand applications.
Earlier we reported that the US budget deficit was $262bn in February.
(Mahe, Seychelles-March 08, 2023) – ITB BROKER, LLC, an international forex broker, has announced that with our community growing, we believe that this will be the most effective medium to communicate with and so, we’re proud to announce the launch of ITB YouTube channel .
When a picture speaks a thousand words, How about a video?
- Throughout our community building initiative, we strongly believe in video as our means of communication. Video has played a pivotal role in describing our futuristic services to our audience and in communicating our disruptive vision to potential traders or investors.
- Over the next few weeks, we will be launching interesting videos on upcoming ITB features, bonuses, partnership or IB announcements and financial market expert interviews.
- YouTube is a great place to pick up forex trading tips and learn how to use them in the real world.
There are a number of YouTubers that make great educational videos, perfect for beginners or those considering taking up forex trading. ITB group with over 10 years of financial experience provides you with useful tips and hints of forex trading via its YouTube channel.
About ITB
ITB Broker or ITBFX is a leading provider of online foreign exchange (FX) trading, CFD trading, and related services.
Founded in 2017, the company’s mission is to provide enthusiastic traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid market by offering innovative trading tools, applying excellent trading platform, meeting strict financial standards, and striving for the best online trading experience in the market.
In addition, ITB offers educational courses on FX trading and Cryptocurrencies on academy section of ITBFX website.
According to a report from the U.S. Treasury Department, the U.S. budget deficit in February was $262,434 billion compared to a $38.8 billion deficit in January. The Dow 30 also had problems.
Analysts at DailyFX suggested that the nation’s budget deficit for February was expected to be $256 billion. A year earlier, in February, the U.S. posted a budget deficit of $216,590 billion.
According to the GAO report, U.S. government spending rose 3.5 percent year over year last month to $524.548 billion, while revenue, in contrast, declined 9.5 percent to $262,114 billion.
Earlier, the U.S. edition of the Washington Post published an editorial stating that the new draft budget proposed by the Biden administration undermines U.S. national security and its ability to invest in the future, because it suggests a further growth of the U.S. national debt.
The WP editorial board noted that the new draft budget assumes a $2 trillion budget deficit, including due to the high cost of providing health insurance to the elderly of the baby boomer generation.
Earlier we reported that the EU has agreed to reduce energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030.
-
Forex8 months agoForex Today: the dollar is gaining strength amid gloomy sentiment at the start of the Fed’s week
-
Forex4 months agoUnbiased review of Pocket Option broker
-
World5 months agoWhy are modern video games an art form?
-
Forex8 months agoHow is the Australian dollar doing today?
-
Cryptocurrency8 months agoWhat happened in the crypto market – current events today
-
Stock Markets3 months agoAmazon layoffs news: company announces record layoffs
-
Stock Markets8 months agoMorgan Stanley: bear market rally to continue
-
Forex7 months agoDollar to pound sterling exchange rate today: Pound plummeted to its lowest since 1985
