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Is the US dollar going down in anticipation of U.S. inflation data

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is the US dollar going down

Is the US dollar going down and is taking losses on Tuesday ahead of U.S. inflation data that may show some signs of slowing price growth. The euro has gained above parity due to hawkish comments from officials about the need for further rate hikes.

The dollar index to a basket of major currencies fell 0.15% to 108.169. The euro rose 0.11% to $1,013 after hitting a nearly one-month high of $1.0198 in the previous session.

The Japanese yen rose 0.29% against the dollar to 142.41 yen, helped by comments from Japanese officials about interventions.

Why is the dollar going down?

According to analysts’ consensus forecasts, core inflation in August was 0.3% monthly, the same as in July. The dollar’s rise has slowed as the market waits for inflation to pass its peak to entail a less aggressive rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

“CPI values will be very important to the Fed … it will probably take an acceleration, a strong CPI reading, for the Fed to raise rates by 75 basis points,” said Christine Clifton of Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

“If we get data broadly in line with the consensus forecast, we assume they will go for a 50 basis point hike.”

Germany’s Ifo Institute for Economic Research, reversing its forecast made three months ago, said Monday that Germany’s economy will contract next year because of rising energy prices.

“We certainly see a decline in the euro rather than an appreciation … expect the euro to fall below parity and stay there for quite some time, especially while all these energy supply problems persist,” Clifton said.

Earlier we reported that Wall Street rose for the fourth straight day ahead of the consumer price report.

Forex

History low for the pound British

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history low for the pound british

Today we can observe history low for the British pound. The British pound has fallen in the international forex market by almost 5% against the dollar – to a record low of $1.0384. The pound fell 0.85% against the U.S. dollar to $1.0762.

The British currency depreciated after the Ministry of Finance of the country promised to continue cutting taxes, raising fears that the new policy will lead to a sharp rise in inflation and the national debt, Bloomberg wrote. The pound’s collapse was the biggest intraday drop since March 2020, when markets were panicked by the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the publication estimated.

The sell-off in the currency began on Friday, after the government announced a plan for a massive tax cut in the U.K., which will affect individuals and businesses and increase the budget deficit.

“History low for the British pound shows that markets do not trust the UK,” said Saxo Capital Markets strategist Jessica Amir. – The pound is one step away from parity with the dollar, and things will only get worse from here.”

The British currency has already fallen 20% against the dollar this year. According to Bloomberg, the fall in the British pound sterling in 2022 surpassed the collapse seen after the vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) in 2016. At that time, the U.K. currency depreciated by about 16% in one year.

Earlier we reported that the dollar is getting cheaper against most currencies after rising the day before.

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The dollar is getting cheaper against most currencies after rising the day before. Global money is getting cheaper

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money getting cheaper

The dollar is getting cheaper against the euro, the yen and the pound sterling today after a solid rise in the previous session on the background of the fact that all the world’s money’s getting cheaper. 

The dollar is correcting because investors are trying to fix profits after its significant strengthening, said Trading Economics. Experts believe that the U.S. currency will continue to strengthen on the background of a rapid tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (FRS). Also, the dollar is supported by reducing the appetite for risk in world markets.

Further growth in volatility in the financial markets will strengthen the dollar because of its status as a “safe haven” currency, said an analyst on the currency market, CBA Carol Kong.

The euro rose 0.53% to $0.9660 against the dollar, up from $0.9609 at the close of the previous session. The day before, European currencies were cheaper against the dollar by 0.8%.

The pound rose by 1.07% to $1.0803 during the trading session, compared to $1.0689 the day before. The exchange rate of the dollar against yen decreased by 0.30% – down to 144.31 yen against 144.75 yen by the end of the previous session. On Monday the American currency grew by 1.5% against the pound and by 1% against the yen.

The index, calculated by ICE, which shows the dollar trend against six currencies (euro, Swiss franc, yen, Canadian dollar, pound sterling and the Swedish krone), was losing 0.5% during trading. The day before, the indicator had updated its 20-year high.

Earlier we reported that the Nasdaq is on the plus side amid signs that growth stocks are recovering.

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Nasdaq index rises again amid signs growth stocks are recovering

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current Nasdaq index

The Nasdaq index rises again early in Monday’s session as growth stocks try to recover from a sharp sell-off sparked by fears that Fed action will lead to a recession.

The S&P 500 also showed signs of stabilizing after briefly falling below its mid-June closing low of 3.666 on Friday, nearly wiping out the sharp rebound it had achieved over the summer.

The Fed’s announcement that high interest rates could hold out until late 2023 sent the three major U.S. stock indexes down 4-5% last week, with the Dow Jones index near bear market territory on Friday.

Growth was led by sectors that included securities of mega-capitalization companies, including technology S5INFT, communications services S5TELS, and consumer discretionary S5COND.

Shares of Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, amazon.com Inc, and Tesla Inc, rose 0.9 percent to 2.0 percent, supporting the current Nasdaq index.

“We’re just seeing gains driven by a sense of relief after a very tough period for the Nasdaq and growth stocks,” said Jeffrey Schulze of ClearBridge Investments.

“Obviously, the last month has been very tough for growth stocks as investors re-evaluate higher Fed rates and, ultimately, the ultimate rate of this cycle of monetary policy tightening.”

Earlier we reported that Wall Street closed in the negative; the Dow confirmed a bear market.

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