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Bitcoin’s correlation with S&P 500 falls to a 2-year low

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Bitcoin’s correlation with S&P 500 falls to a 2-year low
Bitcoin’s correlation with S&P 500 falls to a 2-year low

Crypto.news – According to Coin Metrics’ State of the Network report for Q2 2023, there has been a notable reduction in the 90-day correlation between the cryptocurrency market and equities represented by the S&P 500 index. This marks a deviation from the trend observed in 2022. In H1 2023, bitcoin rose 82%, ranking it third in terms of growth among assets with a market capitalization exceeding $1 billion. Only lido (LDO) and bitcoin cash (BCH) outperformed bitcoin in percentage gains.

Regulatory scrutiny subdued the markets in Q2

Per the researchers, the global cryptocurrency markets started the year on a solid footing, with bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) posting outsized gains of 83% and 55% in Q1, respectively, fueled by risk-on investor sentiment in Jan.

However, that bullish momentum was effectively subdued during the year’s second quarter due to increased regulatory scrutiny from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), with BTC and ETH managing gains of 7% and 4%, respectively.

The study notes that ETH staking activities via Lido was primarily responsible for 95% surge in LDO prices. On the other hand, BCH’s listing on EDX, an exchange recently launched by Fidelity, Citadel and others, propelled BCH price higher.

In contrast, it was observed that established crypto assets like polygon (MATIC), cardano (ADA), and solana (SOL) were suppressed in Q2 2023, as the SEC named them among the 67 crypto assets it considers securities.

Ripple’s rallied 41% in Q2 2023 as the firm’s legal battle with the SEC nears its conclusion.

Crypto loses correlation with the S&P 500

While bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies significantly correlated with traditional financial instruments last year, CoinMetrics’ latest report shows that that phenomenon is quickly changing.

Using BTC as a proxy for the global cryptocurrency market, the researchers found that the 90-day correlation against instruments in the $&P 500 index has decreased to 0.09, its lowest point since June 2021.

The researchers have attributed this steep decline in correlation between crypto and the traditional financial markets to the effects of the increased regulatory scrutiny from the SEC and the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes to tackle inflation in the past months.

“This declining correlation signifies a shift between the tech-heavy S&P 500 and digital assets, diverging from the trend witnessed in 2022 when these markets were in closer alignment due to the Federal Reserve’s rate hike cycle.”

CoinMetrics’ State of the Network: Issue 214.

On the other hand, Bitcoin’s correlation with gold rose from 0.03 points during the United States banking crisis last March to 0.16 in the last quarter, once more underscoring investors’ affinity for safe-haven assets during times of uncertainty in the traditional financial markets.

Renewed institutional interest

Additionally, BTC maintained its inverse correlation with the Dollar Index (DXY) and the Volatility Index (), posting -0.21 and -0.22 points in the last quarter.

Moreover, the report highlights the revival of institutional interest in crypto, with Fidelity and BlackRock (NYSE:), a $9 trillion asset management firm, filing bitcoin ETF applications.

Moreover, researches also found that the launch of the BRC-20 token standard and the subsequent rise of Ordinals and Inscriptions on Bitcoin boosted miners’ revenue in Q2 2023.

Of the total $2.4 billion earned by miners in Q2, $184 million came from ordinals-related transaction fees.

The report further notes that though the pace of payouts has slowed significantly in the last few weeks due to decreased activity, much excitement still surrounds the BRC-20 token standard as it “does unlock experimental new use cases for Bitcoin’s core transaction types,” while accelerating the push to scale the mainnet via the Lightning Network.

This article was originally published on Crypto.news

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Bank regulator gives BlackRock new deadline on bank stakes, Bloomberg reports

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(Reuters) – The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation gave a fresh deadline of Feb. 10 to BlackRock (NYSE:) to resolve an issue regarding oversight into the firm’s stock in banks, Bloomberg News reported on Sunday, citing three people with knowledge of the matter.

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Israel to use withheld Palestinian tax income to pay electric co debt

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By Steven Scheer

JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Israel plans to use tax revenue it collects on behalf of the Palestinian Authority to pay the PA’s nearly 2 billion ($544 million) debt to state-run Israel Electric Co (IEC), Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said on Sunday.

Israel collects tax on goods that pass through Israel into the occupied West Bank on behalf of the PA and transfers the revenue to Ramallah under a longstanding arrangement between the two sides.

Since the Hamas-led attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, triggered the war in Gaza, Smotrich has withheld sums totalling 800 million shekels earmarked for administration expenses in Gaza.

Those frozen funds are held in Norway and, he said at Sunday’s cabinet meeting, would instead be used to pay debt owed to the IEC of 1.9 billion shekels.

“The procedure was implemented after several anti-Israeli actions and included Norway’s unilateral recognition of a Palestinian state,” Smotrich told cabinet ministers.

“The PA’s debt to IEC resulted in high loans and interest rates, as well as damage to IEC’s credit, which were ultimately rolled over to the citizens of Israel.”

The Palestinian Finance Ministry said it had agreed for Norway to release a portion of funds from an account held since last January with 1.5 billion shekels, calling money in the account “a punitive measure linked to the government’s financial support for Gaza”.

The ministry said as part of the deal, 767 million shekels of the Norwegian-held funds will pay Israeli fuel companies for weekly fuel purchases over the coming months. A similar amount will be used to settle electricity-related debts owed by Palestinian distribution companies to IEC.

Smotrich has been opposed to sending funds to the PA, which uses the money to pay public sector wages. He accuses the PA of supporting the Oct. 7 attack in Israel led by the Islamist movement Hamas, which controlled Gaza. The PA is currently paying 50-60% of salaries.

Israel also deducts funds equal to the total amount of so-called martyr payments, which the PA pays to families of militants and civilians killed or imprisoned by Israeli authorities.

The Palestinian finance ministry said 2.1 billion shekels remain withheld by Israel, bringing the total withheld funds to over 3.6 billion shekels as of 2024.

Israel, it said, began deducting an average of 275 million shekels monthly from its tax revenues in October 2023, equivalent to the government’s monthly allocations for Gaza.

“This has exacerbated the financial crisis, as the government continues to transfer these allocations directly to the accounts of public servants in Gaza,” the ministry said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An Israeli power distribution plant is seen in Hebron in the Israeli-occupied West Bank January 22, 2020. REUTERS/Mussa Qawasma/File Photo

It added it was working with international partners to secure the release of these funds as soon as possible.

($1 = 3.6763 shekels)

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Romanian protesters demand cancelled presidential election should go ahead

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BUCHAREST (Reuters) – Tens of thousands of Romanians angered by the cancellation of a presidential election marched through Bucharest on Sunday to demand that the ballot should go ahead and that outgoing centrist President Klaus Iohannis should resign.

In a move that polarised voters, Romania’s top court voided the presidential election on Dec. 6, two days before the second round.

The cancellation came after state documents showed frontrunner Calin Georgescu, a critic of NATO, had benefited from an unfair social media campaign likely to have been orchestrated by Russia, accusations Moscow has denied.

The court ordered that the election be re-run in its entirety. The pro-European coalition government has yet to approve a calendar for the election, although party leaders agreed to hold the two rounds on May 4 and May 18.

Iohannis, whose term expired on Dec. 21, will stay on until his successor is elected.

On Sunday, tens of thousands of protesters, including left-wingers and those angered by the way the way the election was cancelled, joined the protest organised by the opposition hard-right Alliance for Uniting Romanians (AUR), Romania’s second-largest party.

“We ask for a return to democracy by resuming the election with the second round,” AUR leader George Simion told reporters.

Organizers said 100,000 people were at the protest, but riot police along the march estimated the numbers at around 20,000. Protesters waved flags and shouted “Freedom” and “Bring back the second round.”

“Our right to vote was broken,” said Bogdan Danila, a 43-year-old truck driver. “In addition, Iohannis was in power for ten years and did nothing for the people, while parties betrayed us, they are all corrupt. We want something else.”

Some protesters carried portraits of Georgescu or Christian Orthodox icons while street vendors sold flags and vuvuzelas.

“Authorities must say why they cancelled the election, we want to see the evidence,” said Cornelia, 57, an economist wrapped in a Romanian flag who declined to give her last name.

© Reuters. Protesters wave Romanian national flags during a demonstration organised by Romania's far-right party Alliance for Uniting Romanians (AUR), urging the government to re-run a presidential election, in Bucharest, Romania, January 12, 2025. REUTERS/Andreea Campeanu

“At this rate we won’t be voting anymore, they will impose a leader like in the old days.”

It remains unclear whether Georgescu, who opposes Romanian support for Ukraine against Russia’s invasion, will be allowed to run for president again.

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