Stock Markets
Expect slower oil-production growth in 2025: Wells Fargo
Investing.com — Wells Fargo analysts anticipate a deceleration in global oil-production growth for 2025, pointing to persistent cost pressures and supply constraints.
The analysts said that although prices have seen fluctuations in 2024, they remain largely unchanged from the start of the year.
This volatility reflects a tug-of-war between concerns about the global economy and shrinking production capacity, with the latter expected to dominate next year.
One critical factor cited is the rising cost of drilling new wells, which is expected to further constrain production.
As per Wells Fargo, the average breakeven cost for new wells in the U.S. now hovers around $65 per barrel—an increase of 6% from 2023.
With current prices, such as West Texas Intermediate trading near $72 per barrel, barely above breakeven levels, the incentive to ramp up drilling remains limited.
This economic reality is likely to inhibit production growth in the U.S., the world’s largest producer, and other key regions, leading to tighter supply conditions in the coming year.
On the demand side, the report points to expectations of economic recovery, spurred by monetary easing cycles undertaken by global central banks.
As interest rates decline and liquidity increases, demand for energy, including oil, is expected to rebound. Wells Fargo argues that these combined supply and demand dynamics could result in higher oil prices throughout 2025.
This forecast reflects broader challenges within the oil sector, where structural issues have limited production capacity.
Despite technological advances, oil-producing countries continue to struggle with scaling output, and production increases remain incremental rather than transformative.
These constraints suggest that even if demand surges, meeting it through increased production could prove difficult.
As Wells Fargo concludes, the convergence of higher costs, supply constraints, and a recovering global economy points toward tighter market conditions and elevated oil prices ahead.
Stock Markets
Catalent acquisition by Novo Holdings gets EC nod
SOMERSET, N.J. & COPENHAGEN, Denmark – The European Commission has unconditionally approved the acquisition of Catalent, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:), a prominent player in the development and supply of pharmaceutical treatments, by Novo Holdings A/S, a global investment firm specializing in life sciences. This regulatory clearance marks a significant step towards the completion of the transaction, which is anticipated to finalize by the end of 2024.
Catalent’s President and CEO, Alessandro Maselli, expressed gratitude for the Catalent team’s commitment, indicating the company’s bright future as a private entity with Novo Holdings’ backing. Jonathan Levy, Senior Partner at Novo Holdings, echoed the sentiment, looking forward to supporting Catalent’s continued value creation for stakeholders and improved patient outcomes.
The closure of the deal is contingent on other customary closing conditions, including the receipt of all necessary regulatory clearances.
Catalent, with headquarters in Somerset, New Jersey, is recognized for its extensive capabilities in development sciences, delivery technologies, and manufacturing across various modalities. The company boasts a global footprint with over 50 sites and an approximate annual revenue of $4.4 billion for the fiscal year 2024, maintaining a healthy current ratio of 2.51. InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional key insights and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides deep-dive analysis of Catalent’s financial health and market position. Catalent supports the development and launch of numerous partner programs and products each year.
Novo Holdings, owned by the Novo Nordisk (NYSE:) Foundation, manages a diverse investment portfolio, including life sciences companies across all development stages. As of the end of 2023, Novo Holdings reported total assets of EUR 149 billion.
The financial advisors for Catalent in this transaction were Citi and J.P. Morgan, with Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Jones Day providing legal counsel. Novo Holdings enlisted Morgan Stanley (NYSE:) & Co. LLC for financial advice and Goodwin Procter LLP and Linklaters LLP for legal matters.
This news announcement is based on a press release statement and does not include any speculative or promotional content. It presents the factual details of the European Commission’s approval of the acquisition of Catalent by Novo Holdings, a transaction that holds significance for both entities and their stakeholders within the life sciences industry. For investors seeking deeper insights, InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis of Catalent’s market position, including detailed financial metrics and expert-curated ProTips that help inform investment decisions.
In other recent news, Catalent, a contract drug manufacturer, reported a first-quarter revenue of $1.02 billion, falling short of Wall Street expectations. The Biologics segment of the business underperformed, generating $461 million compared to the anticipated $470.57 million. Jefferies maintains a hold rating on Catalent with a $63.50 target, following disappointing first-quarter results, particularly in the Biologics revenue and margin. The firm revised its fiscal year 2025 revenue and EBITDA estimates for Catalent downwards. Meanwhile, the company is in the process of being acquired by Novo Holdings in a deal valued at $16.5 billion, expected to finalize by the end of 2024. Catalent CEO, Alessandro Maselli, affirmed his commitment to continue leading the company post-acquisition. These are some of the recent developments concerning Catalent.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
Stock Markets
Syrian rebel advances tear at Assad’s control as Iran races to send support
By Maya Gebeily, Suleiman Al-Khalidi and Parisa Hafezi
BEIRUT/AMMAN/DUBAI (Reuters) -Syrian rebel forces advanced on the central city of Homs and Kurdish fighters seized effective control of the eastern desert on Friday, jolting President Bashar al-Assad’s grip on power and triggering local revolts against his rule in the south.
If Islamist insurgents captured Homs in their lightning new offensive, it would cut off the capital Damascus from the coast, a longtime redoubt of Assad’s minority Alawite sect and where his Russian allies have a naval base and air base.
In a parallel setback for Assad, a U.S.-backed alliance led by Syrian Kurdish fighters took Deir el-Zor, the government’s main foothold in the vast desert in the east of the country, three Syrian sources told Reuters on Friday.
It was the third major city, after Aleppo and Hama in the northwest and centre, to fall out of Assad’s control in a week.
Piling on the pressure, two Syrian army sources said the alliance known as the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) had swept through the nearby Albu Kamal border crossing with Iraq.
In southern Deraa province, Syrian local fighters and former rebels overran one of the main army bases, known as Liwa 52, near Herak town as fighting spread to the southern border with Jordan, two rebel sources told Reuters on Friday.
They also seized parts of the Nassib border crossing with Jordan near the customs section where dozens of trailers and passenger cars were stranded, sources added.
After years locked behind frozen front lines, rebel forces have burst out of their northwestern Idlib bastion to achieve the swiftest battlefield advance by either side since a street uprising against Assad mushroomed into civil war 13 years ago.
Assad regained control of most of Syria after key allies – Russia, Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah group – came to his rescue. But all have recently been weakened and diverted by other crises, giving Sunni Muslim militants a window to fight back.
A senior Iranian official meanwhile said Tehran, which has been focused on tensions with arch-foe Israel since the Gaza war began, would send missiles, drones and more advisers to Syria.
“It is likely that Tehran will need to send military equipment, missiles and drones to Syria … Tehran has taken all necessary steps to increase the number of its military advisers in Syria and deploy forces,” the senior Iranian official said on condition of anonymity.
“Now, Tehran is providing intelligence and satellite support to Syria.”
The head of the Syrian faction leading the sweeping assault told CNN that his group – a former Al-Qaeda affiliate now known as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) – aimed to “build Syria” and bring Syrian refugees back home from Lebanon and Europe.
It was Abu Mohammed Al-Golani’s first interview since his group began seizing territory from Assad’s forces on Nov. 27. Rebels have captured two major cities so far and are now thrusting toward the key crossroads city of Homs.
HTS broke from Al-Qaeda in 2016, says it poses no threat to the West and has spent years trying to moderate its image, presenting itself as a viable alternative to the Assad family’s 54-year authoritarian rule.
SURPRISE OFFENSIVE
The rebels’ sweep has taken the region by surprise and emboldened other opponents of Assad. Syrian rebel commander Hassan Abdul Ghany urged top military officers to defect, in a video statement aired on Friday.
At least three people were killed in clashes between Druze militias and security forces in the southern Syrian city of Sweida on Friday, two witnesses and a local activist said.
They said anti-government fighters also seized the main police station and the biggest civilian prison hours after hundreds of people protested in a square demanding Assad’s downfall.
The Israeli military said it was reinforcing aerial and ground forces in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights in southwest Syria and was prepared for all scenarios.
Iran-backed Hezbollah, meanwhile, sent a small number of “supervising forces” from Lebanon to Syria overnight to help prevent anti-government fighters from seizing Homs, two senior Lebanese security sources told Reuters.
But Israel has seriously weakened Hezbollah in fighting in Lebanon this year, assassinating its top officials and devastating its military infrastructure.
HTS rebels said they had also taken over the towns of Talbisa and Rastan, bringing them within miles (km) of Homs.
The Syrian military said there was no truth to reports it had withdrawn from Homs, saying in a statement it was deployed along “steady and solid defence lines” there.
A resident of Homs earlier said the offices of Syria’s main security branches there had emptied, with members exiting the city.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a UK-based monitoring group, said thousands of people had begun fleeing from Homs on Thursday night towards the Mediterranean coastal regions of Latakia and Tartus, strongholds of the government.
A coastal resident said thousands of people had begun arriving there from Homs, fearing the rebels’ rapid advance.
Wasim Marouh, a Homs resident who decided not to leave, said most of its main commercial streets were largely deserted while pro-government militia groups patrolled the area.
ISLAMIC STATE
In another alarming development for Assad, the head of the U.S.-backed Syrian Kurdish force said the Islamic State group, which imposed a reign of terror over swathes of Iraq and Syria before its defeat by a U.S.-led coalition in 2017, had now taken control of some areas in eastern Syria.
“Due to the recent developments, there is increased movement by Islamic State mercenaries in the Syrian desert, in the south and west of Deir Al-Zor and the countryside of al-Raqqa,” Mazloum Abdi told reporters, referring to areas in Syria’s east.
Rebels led by HTS have sought to capitalise on their swift takeover of Aleppo in the north and Hama in west-central Syria by pressing onwards to Homs, another 40 km (24 miles) south.
A rebel operations room urged Homs residents in an online post to rise up, saying: “Your time has come.”
Russian bombing overnight destroyed the Rastan bridge along the M5 highway, the main route to Homs, to prevent rebels using it to advance, a Syrian army officer told Reuters.
Aron Lund, a fellow at think-tank Century Foundation, said the government was “fighting for their lives at this point”.
It was possible the government could hold Homs “but given the speed at which things have moved so far, I wouldn’t count on it”.
Stock Markets
Novo Holdings’ $16.5 billion Catalent buy wins EU antitrust approval
By Foo Yun Chee
BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Novo Holdings on Friday gained unconditional EU antitrust approval for its $16.5 bln acquisition of U.S. contract drug maker Catalent (NYSE:) after EU regulators said they did not see any competition issues.
Novo Holdings, the controlling shareholder of Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk (NYSE:), which makes the blockbuster weight-loss drug Wegovy, had announced the deal in February.
“The proposed merger would not raise competition concerns on any of the markets examined in the EEA (European Economic Area) or on any substantial part of it,” the European Commission said in a statement, confirming a Reuters story.
The EEA refers to the 27 EU countries, Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway.
The EU antitrust watchdog said there are sufficient competing alternatives in the market.
Soaring sales of Wegovy have made Novo Nordisk Europe’s most valuable company by market value.
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