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JP Morgan predicts the U.S. market is going down 30% because of the recession. Why is the US market going down?

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The head of one of the largest banks in the world, JPMorgan Chase Jamie Dimon said that amid a severe recession, the U.S. stock market will fall by another 20-30%, writes Bloomberg. Why is the U.S. market going down?

Interest rates in the U.S. are likely to rise more than previously thought, said the head of JPMorgan. The Fed will have to raise rates above the 4-4.5% range expected by many economists because of a run-up in inflation to its highest level in decades, he explained.

The U.S. economy is unlikely to have a soft landing, Dimon said.

“I don’t know if it could be a soft landing for the economy. I don’t think so, but it’s not out of the question,” the JPMorgan chief said at an industry conference in Washington.

Since the beginning of the year, the S&P500 index has fallen by about 23%. “In a tough recession, we can expect the U.S. stock market decline to be another 20 to 30 percent,” Dimon predicted.

In September, the U.S. core inflation rate (which excludes food and energy prices) jumped to a 40-year high of 6.6% from a year ago. The value was much higher than in August, when the index reached 6.3%. The index exceeded market expectations. Meanwhile, the overall U.S. consumer price index (CPI) was up 8.2% year-over-year, also above expectations.

U.S. inflation remains high despite five Fed rate hikes this year, including three consecutive hikes of 75 bps. To rein in rising prices, the U.S. Fed has raised interest rates this year by 300 bps. — to 3-3.25%, the highest since 2008. The next Fed meeting is scheduled for November 1-2.

Earlier, we reported that European stock markets declined for the sixth consecutive session.

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Adidas seals turnaround year with strong fourth-quarter sales

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LONDON (Reuters) -Adidas reported what it said were better than expected preliminary fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, with strong sales and profitability for the important holiday shopping period, sealing a successful turnaround year.

The German sportswear brand focused in the past year on fuelling a trend for its retro multicoloured, three-striped shoes like the Samba and Gazelle to reboot its brand and boost sales, and has benefited from weaker performance at its bigger rival Nike (NYSE:).

It said revenue was up 19% year on year in currency-neutral terms in the fourth quarter, while its gross margin increased by 5.2 percentage points to 49.8%.

Adidas (OTC:) reported sales of 5.956 billion euros ($6.2 billion), up from 4.812 billion a year ago.

For the full year, revenue was up 12% in currency-neutral terms, hitting 23.683 billion euros ($24.7 billion). Profitability improved with the gross margin rising by 3.3 percentage points to 50.8%.

The results mark a significant recovery for Adidas from an annual loss in 2023 for the first time in more than 30 years, bruised by cutting ties with disgraced rapper Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, leading to the abrupt ending of its lucrative Yeezy shoe line.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An Adidas shoe is seen in a store at the Woodbury Common Premium Outlets in Central Valley, New York, U.S., February 15, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

Operating profit for 2024 increased to 1.337 billion euros, from 268 million euros in 2023.

($1 = 0.9593 euros)

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ABB increasing U.S. investment to raise local production, CFO says

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DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) – ABB (ST:) is increasing its investments in the United States as a way to deal with tariff hikes expected from the new Trump administration and to benefit from the country’s economic growth, Chief Financial Officer Timo Ihamuotila said on Tuesday.

“We will be investing more to compensate for this,” Ihamuotila told Reuters when asked about the impact of higher import duties.

“We will be investing more because it’s a good growth market,” the CFO said in an interview on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

During his election campaign, new U.S. President Donald Trump vowed to impose steep tariffs of 10% to 20% on global imports into the U.S. and 60% on goods from China to help reduce a U.S. trade deficit that now tops $1 trillion annually.

Ihamuotila said local production for local customers was the best way to deal with the situation, noting that ABB currently produces around 80% of its products completely in the U.S., the engineering company’s biggest market.

“We have about 30 manufacturing locations in the U.S. and we will continue to expand these and probably even add something,” Ihamuotila said.

As well as spending more on its factories and facilities, ABB would also consider U.S.-based acquisitions, although many potential targets had high valuations at present, he said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of ABB is pictured at the Global Industrie exhibition in Villepinte near Paris, France, March 26, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo

Outside the United States, Ihamuotila said about 90% of ABB’s products sold in Europe are produced there, while China has about 85% local production.

“It doesn’t fully insulate you, but it helps a lot,” Ihamuotila said. “In general, we are for free trade; we would like to see no tariffs, but it is what it is.”

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US SEC forms cryptocurrency task force

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The seal of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is seen at their headquarters in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 12, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

(Reuters) – The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said on Tuesday it was forming a new cryptocurrency task force “dedicated to developing a comprehensive and clear regulatory framework for crypto assets.”

The task force’s focuses “will be to help the Commission draw clear regulatory lines, provide realistic paths to registration, craft sensible disclosure frameworks, and deploy enforcement resources judiciously,” the SEC said in a statement.

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