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Navigating Private Equity as backdrop improves

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Investing.com — Private equity, which faced challenges amid the economic downturn and elevated interest rates since 2022, is showing signs of stabilization and recovery. 

As per Wells Fargo analysts, the sector is navigating this turbulent environment by focusing on more selective investments and secondary strategies, creating pathways for future growth as the macroeconomic outlook improves​.

The private equity landscape has faced headwinds that led to extended timelines for fundraising, dealmaking, and exits. 

In 2024, the median time to raise funds lengthened to 18 months, compared to 11 months just two years ago. 

Additionally, the holding period for private equity exits has stretched to a median of seven years, reflecting the cautious pace fund managers adopted while markets were under pressure​. 

This slow pace, however, has also allowed firms to recalibrate their strategies and position themselves for long-term growth.

One major shift has been the growing reliance on secondary markets, where fund managers can return capital to investors through alternative liquidity channels. 

Simultaneously, companies have focussed on allocating capital to high-quality companies with established business models, demonstrating a clear focus on “quality over quantity.” 

Investors, too, are increasingly selective, gravitating toward experienced managers with proven expertise and reliable networks in an effort to mitigate risk​.

Certain segments of private equity have outperformed others during the downturn. Buyout strategies, particularly in the small- and mid-cap space, are recovering faster than venture capital. 

In the first three quarters of 2024, buyout deal and exit values climbed 24% and 14% respectively, compared to the same period last year. 

Venture capital, in contrast, has struggled under the weight of high interest rates, public market volatility, and geopolitical concerns, resulting in declining valuations and subdued activity​.

Wells Fargo analysts also flag the increasing appeal of small- and mid-cap buyout deals. These investments, which typically require less debt financing, have become more accessible despite tighter credit conditions. 

Additionally, middle-market companies, the common targets of these strategies, offer more attractive valuations than larger firms. 

Growth equity strategies have also gained traction, as they rely on smaller capital commitments and focus on companies with proven business models, reducing exposure to speculative risk.

Wells Fargo expects private equity to regain momentum, driven by expectations of easing monetary policy and improved economic conditions in 2025. 

The Federal Reserve’s potential shift toward interest rate cuts, combined with a forecast for higher economic growth, should help unlock more investment opportunities and catalyze private equity’s recovery​.

Another area poised for growth within the sector is artificial intelligence. 

Private equity managers are increasingly drawn to AI-related ventures, anticipating that advancements in this field will create robust opportunities for investment and expansion over the next several years. 

This focus aligns with broader market trends, suggesting that private equity will play a critical role in fueling innovation and growth across industries​.

While the challenges of the past two years have reshaped the private equity landscape, they have also underscored the sector’s resilience. 

Investors and fund managers alike are adopting more cautious, strategic approaches to capital deployment. 

The sector may not be the top performer in the short term, but Wells Fargo analysts remain optimistic about its potential for long-term asset appreciation. 

Stock Markets

US stocks slightly lower after Christmas holiday

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Investing.com– U.S. stocks were slightly lower on Thursday, though trading volumes were thin a day after the Christmas holiday.  

At of 12:58 ET (17:58 GMT), the  fell 0.10%, the was down 0.1%, while the declined 0.01% or 6 points.

Jobless claims in U.S. dip to one-month low

The weekly U.S. jobless claims data released before the market opened on Thursday and saw a one-month low dip. 

The Labor Department reported a decrease of 1,000 in initial applications for state unemployment benefits, bringing the seasonally adjusted figure to 219,000 for the week that ended on December 21. This figure is lower than the 224,000 claims that economists had predicted for the same week.

Meanwhile, the number of individuals receiving benefits after their first week of aid, which serves as an indication of hiring, increased by 46,000. This brought the seasonally adjusted total to 1.910 million for the week that ended on December 14, the highest since November 2021. Economists had previously anticipated the number of these continued claims to be 1.880 million. 

“We do not think that this week’s data will move the needle for any of them, but more prints in line with the tone of this week’s data may motivate the doves on the Committee to speak up,” Jefferies said in a recent note.

Tech stocks flat despite Apple upgrade   

The major tech giants were mostly down after the markets opened, with Apple marginally higher despite an upgrade from tech-bull Wedbush. 

Apple Inc (NASDAQ:) gained 0.2% affter Wedbush raised its price target on Apple to $325 from $300 banking on transformative AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycle poised to fuel growth into 2025. 

“We believe Apple is heading into a multi-year AI driven iPhone upgrade cycle that is still being underestimated by the Street,” Wedbush said in a recent note.

Crypto-related stocks slip as bitcoin skids, but KULR Technology surges on BTC purchase 

Crypto-related stocks including MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ:), Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ:), and Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:) followed bitcoin lower as the most valuable cryptocurrency fell more than 2%. 

KULR Technology jumped 30% after the space technology company bought about 217 bitcoin and detailed plans to allocate up to 90% of its excess cash to bitcoin.

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Lichen China Limited announces $2.8 million share sale

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XIAMEN, China – Lichen China Limited (NASDAQ:LICN), a company specializing in financial and taxation services, has announced a definitive agreement with several investors for a registered direct offering. The offering involves the sale of 20 million Class A ordinary shares, or pre-funded warrants as an alternative, at a price of $0.14 per share. This transaction is expected to yield approximately $2.8 million in gross proceeds for the company. The offering comes as the company maintains strong financial fundamentals, with InvestingPro data showing an impressive gross profit margin of 61% and a healthy current ratio of 17.55x.

The closing of the sale is anticipated on or about December 27, 2024, pending the fulfillment of customary conditions. Univest Securities, LLC is the sole placement agent for the offering, which is being conducted under an effective shelf registration statement previously filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and declared effective on March 1, 2024.

Investors can access the final prospectus supplement and accompanying prospectus, detailing the offering’s terms, on the SEC’s website once filed. The offering is only valid in jurisdictions where it is lawful, and the securities cannot be sold in any jurisdiction where such an offer, solicitation, or sale would be illegal prior to registration or qualification under the applicable securities laws.

Lichen China, with over 18 years of experience, has established a reputation for providing professional and high-quality financial and taxation solutions in China. The company also offers education support services and software and maintenance services under the “Lichen” brand. Despite the stock’s significant decline of 89% year-to-date, InvestingPro analysis indicates the company is currently undervalued, with robust revenue growth of 25% in the last twelve months. Get access to 16 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis with an InvestingPro subscription.

The company’s press release contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. While Lichen China believes the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they caution that actual results may differ materially. Trading at a P/E ratio of 6.4x and with a market capitalization of $8.17 million, investors are encouraged to review factors that may affect the company’s future results in its registration statement and other SEC filings.

This news article is based on a press release statement from Lichen China Limited.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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2024 Year-End NAIC Designations  for STACR REMIC Trust, STACR Trust, and STACR Debt Notes

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MCLEAN, Va., Dec. 26, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Freddie Mac (OTCQB: OTC:) today published on its website the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) 2024 filing year designations for certain STACR REMIC Trust, STACR Trust, and STACR Debt Notes (collectively, STACR Notes).

Overall, of the 209 reviewed STACR Notes, all have achieved NAIC 1 Designation including all A1, M1 and M2 Notes offered through 2024 STACR transactions. In addition, 10 of the 2024 NAIC 1 Designations are upgrades from their 2023 NAIC 2 Designations. The below table details the upgrades:

CUSIPDeal Name2023 Year-End NAIC Designation2023 Year-End NAIC Designation Modifier2024 Year-End NAIC Designation2024 Year-End NAIC Designation Modifier
35564KB57STACR 2022-HQA2 M2B2B1E
35564KB65STACR 2022-HQA2 M22A1D
35564KE62STACR 2022-HQA3 M2B2C1F
35564KE70STACR 2022-HQA3 M22B1E
35564KP60STACR 2023-DNA1 M2B2C1E
35564KP94STACR 2023-DNA1 M22A1E
35564KT82STACR 2023-DNA2 M2B2C1E
35564KU31STACR 2023-DNA2 M22A1E
35564KY29STACR 2023-HQA1 M2B2B1E
35564KY37STACR 2023-HQA1 M22A1E

About Freddie Mac Single-Family Credit Risk Transfer

Freddie Mac’s Investment & Capital Markets Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) programs transfer credit risk away from U.S. taxpayers to global private capital via securities and (re)insurance policies, providing stability, liquidity and affordability to the U.S. housing market. The GSE Single-Family CRT market was founded when Freddie Mac issued the first STACR ® (Structured Agency Credit Risk) notes in July 2013. In November 2013, ACIS ® (Agency Credit Insurance Structure ®) was introduced. Today, the industry-leading and award-winning programs attract institutional investors and (re)insurance companies worldwide. For specific STACR and ACIS transaction data, visit Clarity Data Intelligence ®.

About Freddie Mac
Freddie Mac’s mission is to make home possible for families across the nation. We promote liquidity, stability, affordability and equity in the housing market throughout all economic cycles. Since 1970, we have helped tens of millions of families buy, rent or keep their home. Learn More: Website | Consumers | LinkedIn | Facebook| X | Instagram | YouTube

MEDIA CONTACT:
Fred Solomon
703-903-3861
Frederick_Solomon@FreddieMac.com

INVESTOR CONTACT:
Christian Valencia
571-382-4236

Source: Freddie Mac

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