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Pro Research: Wall Street dives into Dollar General’s outlook

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Pro Research: Wall Street dives into Dollar General's outlook
© Reuters.

Explore Wall Street’s expert insights with this ProResearch article, which will exclusively be available to InvestingPro subscribers soon. Enhance your investment strategy with ProPicks, our newest product featuring strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by up to 700%. This New Year, enjoy up to 50% off on a subscription to InvestingPro. In addition, take an extra 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription with the code SFY24 or claim an extra 10% off a 1-year InvestingPro+ subscription with the code SFY241. To ensure ongoing access to valuable content like this, step up your investment game with InvestingPro.

Company Overview

Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:), a prominent player in the discount retail sector in the United States, has been the subject of various analyses by financial experts. Known for its wide array of merchandise including consumables, seasonal items, home products, and apparel, the company has recently been navigating through a challenging market environment. With a strategic focus on offering value to customers, Dollar General has maintained its presence as a key competitor in the retail space.

Financial Performance and Analyst Ratings

In recent assessments, Dollar General has received mixed reviews from analysts, with ratings ranging from “Market Perform” to “Neutral.” The consensus seems to reflect a cautious optimism, acknowledging the company’s efforts to rebound from a tough fiscal year. Price targets have been adjusted, considering various factors such as comparable store sales (comp) expectations and margin pressures. For instance, a recent adjustment saw the price target lowered to $130, based on a revised expectation of higher third-quarter comps but lower ones for the fourth quarter.

Competitive Landscape and Market Trends

The retail sector is highly competitive, with Dollar General facing off against giants like Walmart (NYSE:), which has shown potential in comp and gross margin percentage improvements, and Costco (NASDAQ:), anticipated to benefit from softer laps starting in November. However, challenges are also present, as seen with Target, which is grappling with moderating grocery comps and potentially high gross margin percentage expectations.

Strategy and Operational Focus

Dollar General’s strategy, particularly its “Back to Basics” approach under CEO Todd Vasos, has been a focal point. The strategy aims to maintain lower inventory levels and improve delivery times, which has shown early signs of success. Despite this, the company is bracing for another down year for earnings per share in 2024, with factors such as normalization of incentive compensation and ongoing shrink headwinds being of concern.

External Factors and Industry Outlook

The retail industry is sensitive to various external factors, including economic trends and regulatory changes. For Dollar General, the impact of reduced SNAP benefits has been a looming concern, although its adverse effects have not yet materialized. Analysts keep a close eye on such factors, understanding that they can significantly influence the company’s performance.

Future Projections and Analyst Outlooks

Looking ahead, analysts have highlighted the importance of sales improvement for Dollar General to counterbalance margin pressures and achieve projected financial results. There’s a recognition of early stabilization in the company’s performance, which could pave the way for growth. However, margin transition and additional headwinds expected in the fiscal year 2024 remain areas of concern.

Bear Case

Is Dollar General’s growth sustainable?

Analysts express caution over Dollar General’s future, pointing to the need for significant sales improvement to sustain growth. Margin pressures are ongoing, and with the company expected to face another down year for EPS in 2024, profitability could be impacted. The lowered expectations for fourth-quarter comps have led to reduced price targets, signaling a conservative stance on the company’s near-term outlook.

Can Dollar General overcome operational challenges?

Operational challenges, such as the anticipated normalization of incentive compensation and ongoing shrink headwinds, are expected to weigh on Dollar General’s earnings in the coming year. The company’s strategy and operational focus are under scrutiny, with its success hinging on the effective implementation of its “Back to Basics” strategy and the ability to adapt to evolving market conditions.

Bull Case

Will Dollar General’s margin improvement drive success?

Analysts see potential in Dollar General’s narrative of margin improvement for the next year. With no further investments anticipated and efforts to streamline operations, particularly in inventory management, the company could be well-positioned for a positive market reception. This could be a pivotal factor in driving the company’s performance forward.

Is Dollar General poised for a sales inflection?

There’s a sense of optimism around the early signs of stabilization in Dollar General’s performance. Sales comparisons are expected to become more favorable starting from the third quarter, indicating a potential inflection point. If the company can capitalize on this trend and drive real sales improvement, it could mark a turn in its fortunes.

SWOT Analysis

Strengths:

  • Established market presence as a leading discount retailer.
  • Early signs of successful strategy implementation with “Back to Basics.”
  • Potential for margin improvement without further investments.

Weaknesses:

  • Concerns over margin pressures and operational challenges.
  • Need for significant sales growth to drive performance.
  • Anticipation of a down year for EPS in 2024.

Opportunities:

  • Favorable sales comparisons expected in the upcoming quarters.
  • Streamlining operations could lead to improved market reception.

Threats:

  • Ongoing economic uncertainties and external factors like SNAP benefit changes.
  • Competitive pressures from other retail giants.

Analysts Targets

  • BMO Capital Markets Corp. on Tuesday, November 07, 2023: Market Perform with a price target of $130.
  • Barclays Capital Inc. on Monday, December 11, 2023: Equal Weight with a price target of $124.

The timeframe used for this analysis spans from November to December 2023.

InvestingPro Insights

Dollar General Corporation’s financial metrics and market behavior provide a comprehensive picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. With a market capitalization of $29.02 billion and a P/E ratio of 15.14, the company showcases a solid valuation in the market. The P/E ratio has remained relatively stable, with a slight adjustment to 15.11 when considering the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This stability in valuation is further reinforced by a Revenue Growth of 7.56% during the same period, indicating a healthy expansion in the company’s business operations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Dollar General’s management has been actively engaged in share buybacks, a sign of confidence in the company’s value and future performance. Furthermore, the company’s strong return over the last three months, with a 15.26% price total return, suggests a positive reception from investors and a potential momentum in its stock performance. Analysts have also taken note of this trend, with 11 of them revising their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a bullish sentiment on Dollar General’s financial outlook.

Despite the cautious tone of some analysts, the data suggests a company that is not only a prominent player in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry but also one that is navigating market challenges with strategic financial maneuvers. With liquid assets that exceed short-term obligations, Dollar General appears to be in a strong liquidity position, which could be reassuring to investors concerned about the company’s ability to meet its immediate financial commitments.

For readers interested in gaining deeper insights and additional InvestingPro Tips for Dollar General, a subscription to InvestingPro is now on a special New Year sale with a discount of up to 50%. Use coupon code SFY24 to get an additional 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription, or SFY241 to get an additional 10% off a 1-year InvestingPro+ subscription. With a total of 8 additional tips available on InvestingPro, subscribers can access a wealth of information to guide their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Stock Markets

14 lessons from 2024 to remember in 2025: BofA

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Investing.com — In a recent note, Bank of America outlined 14 key lessons from 2024 that investors should keep in mind as they head into 2025, warning that market momentum and stretched valuations could face headwinds in the year ahead.

While this year resembled the steady gains of 1996-97, rather than the bubble peaks of 1998-99, risks are mounting—from geopolitical tensions and rising debt to market fragility highlighted by the VIX.

BofA points to opportunities in Europe, China, and Japan but cautions that volatility, trade disputes, and macroeconomic uncertainty will shape the next leg of the market cycle.

Below are the 14 lessons that BofA highlighted.

1. 2024 was a strong year for markets, but it might only be the beginning.

2. The market’s performance in 2024 looked more like the steady gains of 1996-97 than the bubble peaks of 1998-99.

3. In a bubble environment, market leadership can persist for longer than investors can afford to stay underweight.

4. However, the combination of strong momentum and high valuations is already too stretched to avoid a potential bust.

5. The has shown that markets remain fragile, and a major shock may be overdue.

6. August 2024 suggests buying market dips and locking in volatility spikes; using smarter strategies like skewed delta positioning may be key for 2025.

7. Rising debt levels and persistent inflation mean bond vigilantes remain the most visible macroeconomic tail risk.

8. Market fragility, faster reactions, and elevated valuations suggest a repeat of the calm volatility seen in 2017 is unlikely.

9. A Trump election victory has reignited concerns around tariffs, with European companies favored by dollar strength potentially becoming the next trade targets.

10. European equities remain cheap and unloved—investors should be cautious about being caught short, as fewer crowded trades mean less volatility pain.

11. China’s outperformance over Japan in 2024 could continue if U.S. interest rates decline.

12. VIX options data indicates that positioning risks in the market have not gone away.

13. Eurozone bank dividends have outperformed the for much of the past year; investors may need to hedge against a different outcome in 2025.

14. The risk of sharp movements in the Japanese yen, driven by volatility, could cause instability for the in 2025.

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Stock Markets

Class Action Lawsuit Reminder WOLF: Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP Reminds Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) Investors – A Securities Fraud Class Action Lawsuit Has Been Filed

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RADNOR, PA. – (NewMediaWire) – December 21, 2024 – The law firm of Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP (www.ktmc.com) informs investors that a securities class action lawsuit has been filed against Wolfspeed (NYSE:), Inc. (Wolfspeed) (NYSE: WOLF) on behalf of those who purchased or otherwise acquired Wolfspeed securities between August 16, 2023, and November 6, 2024, inclusive (the Class Period). The lead plaintiff deadline is January 17, 2025.

CONTACT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:

If you suffered Wolfspeed losses, you may CLICK HERE or go to: https://www.ktmc.com/new-cases/wolfspeed-inc?utm_source=PR&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=wolf&mktm=r

You can also contact attorney Jonathan Naji, Esq. by calling (484) 270-1453 or by email at info@ktmc.com .

DEFENDANTS ALLEGED MISCONDUCT:

The complaint alleges that, throughout the Class Period, Defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Wolfspeeds optimistic claims of potential growth of its Mohawk Valley fabrication facility and general demand for Wolfspeeds 200mm wafers in the electronic vehicle market fell short of reality; and (2) Wolfspeed had overstated demand for its key product and placed undue reliance on purported design wins while the Mohawk Valley facilitys growth had begun to taper before recognizing the $100 million revenue per quarter allegedly achievable with only 20% utilization of the fabrication, let alone the promised $2 billion revenue purportedly achievable by the facility.

Please CLICK HERE to view our video or copy and paste this link into your browser: https://youtu.be/zMLfnSRjg2Y

THE LEAD PLAINTIFF PROCESS:

Wolfspeed investors may, no later than January 17, 2025, seek to be appointed as a lead plaintiff representative of the class through Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP or other counsel, or may choose to do nothing and remain an absent class member. A lead plaintiff is a representative party who acts on behalf of all class members in directing the litigation. The lead plaintiff is usually the investor or small group of investors who have the largest financial interest and who are also adequate and typical of the proposed class of investors. The lead plaintiff selects counsel to represent the lead plaintiff and the class and these attorneys, if approved by the court, are lead or class counsel. Your ability to share in any recovery is not affected by the decision of whether or not to serve as a lead plaintiff.

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP encourages Wolfspeed investors who have suffered significant losses to contact the firm directly to acquire more information.

ABOUT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP prosecutes class actions in state and federal courts throughout the country and around the world. The firm has developed a global reputation for excellence and has recovered billions of dollars for victims of fraud and other corporate misconduct. All of our work is driven by a common goal: to protect investors, consumers, employees and others from fraud, abuse, misconduct and negligence by businesses and fiduciaries. The complaints in this action were not filed by Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP. For more information about Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP please visit www.ktmc.com .

CONTACT:

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP

Jonathan Naji, Esq.

(484) 270-1453

280 King of Prussia Road

Radnor, PA 19087

info@ktmc.com

May be considered attorney advertising in certain jurisdictions. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

View the original release on www.newmediawire.com

Copyright 2024 JCN Newswire . All rights reserved.

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Starbucks workers’ union strikes across US as talks hit impasse

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By Savyata Mishra, Gursimran Mehar and Renee Hickman

(Reuters) -Some members of the Starbucks (NASDAQ:) workers’ union that represents more than 10,000 baristas walked off their jobs in multiple U.S. cities on Friday, citing unresolved issues over wages, staffing and schedules.

The five-day strike, which began on Friday and closed Starbucks cafes in Los Angeles, Chicago and Seattle, will expand to Columbus (WA:), Denver, and Pittsburgh through Saturday, the union said in a statement.

This is the latest in a series of labor actions that have picked up pace across service industries following a period when workers at manufacturers in the automotive, aerospace and rail industries won substantial concessions from employers.

At Starbucks, the Workers United union, which represents employees at 525 stores across the U.S., said late on Thursday that walkouts would escalate daily, and could reach “hundreds of stores” nationwide by Christmas Eve.

“It’s estimated that 10 stores out of 10,000 company-operated stores did not open today,” Starbucks said, adding that there was no significant impact to store operations on Friday.

Around 20 people joined a picket line at a Starbucks location on Chicago’s north side, buffeted by snow and wind, but cheering in response to the honking horns of passing cars.

A few confused customers tried to walk into the closed store before strikers began chanting, but union member Shep Searl said the reaction had been mostly positive.

Searl said 100% of the unionized workers at the Starbucks location in Chicago’s Edgewater neighborhood were participating in the strike, and according to the workers, they have been subject to numerous unfair labor practices including write-ups, “captive-audience” meetings and firings.

The union member said they made about $21 an hour and added, “that would have been a great wage in 2013”.

It is an inadequate wage, the baristas said, given inflation and the high cost of living in a large city, especially since they rarely get 40-hour work weeks.

WORKERS SNUB OFFER

Negotiations between the company and Workers United began in April, based on an established framework agreed upon in February, which could also help resolve numerous pending legal disputes.

The company said on Thursday it has held more than nine bargaining sessions with the union since April, and reached more than 30 agreements on “hundreds of topics”, including economic issues.

The Seattle-headquartered firm said it is ready to continue negotiations, claiming the union delegates prematurely ended the bargaining session this week.

The union, however, said in a Facebook (NASDAQ:) post on Friday that Starbucks had yet to present a serious economic proposal with less than two weeks remaining until the year-end contract deadline.

The workers’ group also snubbed an offer of no immediate wage hike and a guarantee of a 1.5% increase in future years.

“Workers United proposals call for an immediate increase in the minimum wage of hourly partners by 64%, and by 77% over the life of a three-year contract. This is not sustainable,” Starbucks said on Friday.

In response to Starbucks’ statement on the proposals, Michelle Eisen, a Starbucks barista and bargaining delegate, said, “Starbucks’ characterization of our proposals is misleading and they know it. We are ready to finalize a framework that includes new investments in baristas in the first year of contracts”.

Separately, the baristas’ union said on Friday that it filed a new labor practice charge against the coffee house, alleging Starbucks “refused to bargain and engaged in bad faith bargaining” over economic issues.

Hundreds of complaints have been filed with the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB), accusing Starbucks of unlawful labor practices such as firing union supporters and closing stores during labor campaigns. Starbucks has denied wrongdoing and said it respects the right of workers to choose whether to unionize.

WORKING ON A TURNAROUND

Last month, the NLRB said that Starbucks broke the law by telling workers at its flagship Seattle cafe that they would lose benefits if they joined a union.

“It’s (the strike) taking place during one of the busiest times of the year for Starbucks, which could magnify its impact while bringing unwanted public scrutiny into the company’s labor practices,” Emarketer analyst Rachel Wolff said.

The coffee chain is working on a turnaround under its newly appointed top boss, Brian Niccol, who aims to restore “coffee house culture” by overhauling cafes and simplifying its menu among other measures.

“Given how much Starbucks is already struggling to win over customers, it can ill afford any negative publicity – or impact to sales – that the strike could bring,” Wolff said.

© Reuters. Baristas picket in front of a Starbucks in Burbank, California, U.S., December 20, 2024. REUTERS/Daniel Cole

The Starbucks workers’ strike comes in the same week as Amazon.com (NASDAQ:) workers at seven U.S. facilities walking off the job on Thursday, during the holiday shopping rush.

There were 33 work stoppages in 2023, the most since 2000, though far lower than in past decades, data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed.

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