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Pro Research: Wall Street eyes Tesla’s strategic roadmap

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Pro Research: Wall Street eyes Tesla's strategic roadmap

Explore Wall Street’s expert insights with this ProResearch article, which will exclusively be available to InvestingPro subscribers soon. Enhance your investment strategy with ProPicks, our newest product featuring strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by up to 700%. This New Year, enjoy up to 50% off, plus an extra 10% off a 2-year subscription with the code research23, reserved for the first 500 quick subscribers. To ensure ongoing access to valuable content like this, step up your investment game with InvestingPro.

Market Performance and Strategy

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:), the electric vehicle (EV) and clean energy leader, has continued to demonstrate robust performance in 2023. Despite facing a challenging landscape, Tesla’s stock has remained resilient, with a closing price of $256.61 as per the latest Wedbush analysis. The company’s U.S. market share has seen a decline, slipping below 50% for the first time, amidst intensifying competition and shifting market dynamics. Wedbush Securities maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for Tesla and retains the 12-month price target at $350, reflecting strong delivery data, especially from China, and expectations of market share gains and margin stabilization in 2024. Tesla’s delivery estimates for 2023 are projected at 1.8 million units, with a potential increase to 2.2 to 2.3 million units in 2024, driven by a 25%-30% year-over-year growth, largely attributed to robust Model Y sales in China and Europe.

Tesla’s strategic pricing decisions, including earlier price cuts, have successfully driven volumes and are expected to contribute to improved margins. Auto Gross Margin (GM) is anticipated to return above the 20% threshold during 2024. The company’s vertical integration and rapid growth are central to its strategy, and while Tesla may face pressure on sales and margins without a new high-volume offering until 2026, the expected stabilization of battery raw material prices could help maintain flat margins year-over-year in 2024. Wedbush also highlights Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and AI training as additional value drivers for the company’s growth story.

Product Breakdown and Launches

Tesla’s product lineup continues to evolve, with the Cybertruck and a potential sub $30k vehicle announcement expected within the next 6 to 9 months, signaling the company’s commitment to expanding its product offerings in the longer term. The Cybertruck, while seen as a “halo” product with a small addressable market, is not expected to significantly impact gross margins but aims to attract consumers to Tesla’s mainstream vehicles. The refreshed Model 3, known as Project Highland, has received positive initial feedback and is expected to boost demand, while the development of the Model 2 is on track. By 2030, approximately 20% of autos are estimated to be EV-based, with Tesla poised to lead this transformation.

Regulatory and Macro Factors

The regulatory environment continues to be a significant factor for Tesla, with the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in the United States anticipated to benefit the company. However, macroeconomic uncertainties, such as rising interest rates and geopolitical issues, have led Tesla to adopt a cautious approach to ramping up production at its Austin and Berlin Gigafactories, reflecting a strategic response to the current market conditions.

Analyst Outlooks and Projections

Analyst outlooks for Tesla remain varied. Bernstein maintains an Underperform rating with a price target of $150.00, citing demand issues and skepticism regarding future volume growth and margin improvement. Morgan Stanley holds an Overweight rating with a price target of $380.00, emphasizing Tesla’s diverse revenue streams and strong long-term Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth potential. RBC Capital Markets has adjusted its price target to $300.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting a conservative adjustment to delivery estimates and a valuation influenced by long-term growth prospects in autonomous driving technologies. Piper Sandler has upgraded Tesla to Overweight with a new price target of $295.00, highlighting record production and delivery estimates for Q4, with expected annualized production exceeding 2M vehicles. Wedbush Securities upholds a $350 price target, citing Tesla’s potential for market share gains and margin stabilization.

Bear Case

Can Tesla maintain its market dominance amid growing competition?

Tesla’s market dominance is increasingly challenged as competition in the EV space intensifies. The company’s share of the U.S. EV market has dropped significantly, raising concerns about slowing demand for Tesla’s products and increased competition. Tesla also faces the loss of half of the US Federal Tax Credit for some models, which could impact demand. Additionally, production targets for Model 3/Y are critical; any bottlenecks could have negative impacts, as highlighted by the potential risks of production bottlenecks at Fremont/Shanghai and regulatory or production issues in Gigafactory 3.

Will macroeconomic headwinds derail Tesla’s growth trajectory?

Macroeconomic headwinds continue to pose concerns for Tesla, potentially impacting its production and sales. The strategic plant expansions and modifications may be affected by these headwinds, potentially impacting Tesla’s growth trajectory. There is also uncertainty due to potential significant push in the last two weeks of the quarter, influenced by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) pull-forward.

Bull Case

How will Tesla’s cost reduction strategies impact its profitability?

Ongoing cost reduction strategies are expected to improve Tesla’s profit margins, despite the recent necessity for price cuts. Tesla’s gigacasting technology and the anticipated benefits from the IRA are likely to enhance production efficiency, providing a competitive edge in manufacturing.

What is the potential impact of Tesla’s upcoming product launches?

While the Cybertruck and other growth initiatives are on the horizon, the small addressable market for the Cybertruck and no new high-volume offering until 2026 may limit Tesla’s growth potential. Tesla Energy, particularly stationary batteries, is expected to contribute to the company’s long-term growth. Additionally, Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and AI advancements are seen as incremental value drivers for Tesla’s growth story.

SWOT Analysis

Strengths:

– Dominant position in the EV market, though recently challenged.

– Strong demand and pricing power for products, with strategic price adjustments indicating robust demand.

– Technological advancements, including AI and supercomputing capabilities.

Weaknesses:

– Investor wariness around broad EV adoption and demand constraints.

– Production challenges and uncertain margin trajectory with potential negative EPS revisions.

Opportunities:

– Expansion into more capital-light businesses and regulatory benefits from the IRA.

– Growth initiatives such as Cybertruck and Model 2, with the latter potentially being a sub $30k vehicle.

Threats:

– Intense competition from other automakers and macroeconomic uncertainties.

– Risks associated with new technologies and product ramps.

Analyst Targets

– Morgan Stanley: Overweight, $380 (December 14, 2023).

– Bernstein: Underperform, $150 (December 08, 2023).

– Deutsche Bank: Buy, $275 (November 14, 2023).

– RBC Capital Markets: Outperform, $300 (December 18, 2023).

– Baird: Outperform, $300 (September 26, 2023).

– Barclays: Equal Weight, $260 (December 18, 2023).

– Piper Sandler: Overweight, $295 (December 26, 2023).

– Goldman Sachs: Neutral, $235 (October 19, 2023).

– Citi Research: Neutral, $255 (October 20, 2023).

– Evercore ISI: In Line, $180 (October 19, 2023).

– Wedbush Securities: Outperform, $350 (December 27, 2023).

The timeframe used for this article ranges from September to December 2023.

InvestingPro Insights

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a standout in the electric vehicle industry, not only for its innovative products but also for its financial performance. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Tesla has shown impressive revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q3 2023, with a 28.13% increase, outpacing many competitors in the Automobiles industry. The company’s market capitalization stands at a robust $815.74 billion, reflecting investor confidence in its business model and future prospects.

Two notable InvestingPro Tips for Tesla include its high return on invested capital, indicating efficient use of capital to generate profits, and its strong liquidity position, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. These factors are critical for investors considering Tesla’s ability to sustain its growth and navigate the competitive landscape of the EV market.

InvestingPro subscribers can access a wealth of additional insights to inform their investment decisions. There are currently 18 additional InvestingPro Tips listed for Tesla, covering various aspects from stock volatility to analyst profitability predictions. For those looking to deepen their research, an InvestingPro subscription is now on a special New Year sale, offering up to 50% off. Plus, use the coupon code research23 to get an additional 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription.

With a P/E Ratio (Adjusted) as of the last twelve months of Q3 2023 at 75.59, Tesla is trading at a high earnings multiple, which might be a point of consideration for value-oriented investors. However, the company’s strong return on assets of 12.76% during the same period suggests that Tesla is effectively converting its asset base into profits. The forward-looking nature of the EV market, coupled with Tesla’s consistent performance, makes it a company to watch closely in the investment community.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs charged with sex trafficking, racketeering

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By Luc Cohen and Jonathan Stempel

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Sean “Diddy” Combs used his fame as one of the biggest names in hip-hop to coerce women into engaging in demeaning sex acts as part of a long-running scheme of sex trafficking and racketeering, according to a three-count federal indictment unsealed on Tuesday.

Combs, 54, used the business empire he controlled, including his record label Bad Boy Entertainment, to transport women, as well as male sex workers, across state lines to take part in recorded sexual performances called “Freak Offs” in which the music mogul would watch and masturbate, prosecutors said.

The rapper and producer, arrested in Manhattan on Monday night, is expected to appear in court before U.S. Magistrate Judge Robyn Tarnofsky at 2:30 p.m. EDT (1830 GMT) on Tuesday.

Combs faces a mandatory minimum 15-year prison sentence and up to life behind bars if convicted of the three felony counts: racketeering conspiracy, sex trafficking and transportation to engage in prostitution.

The office of Manhattan U.S. Attorney Damian Williams, which brought the charges, said in a court filing that the stiff potential sentence could give Combs incentive to flee.

Prosecutors have asked Tarnofsky to order Combs to remain detained pending trial. Defense lawyers are asking to have him released on $50 million bond secured by his Miami home.

Prosecutors accused Combs of running a criminal enterprise to facilitate his exploitation of women, dating back at least 16 years.

According to the indictment, Combs enticed women by giving them drugs such as ketamine and ecstasy, financial support, or promises of career support or a romantic relationship. Combs then used surreptitious recordings of the sex acts as “collateral” to ensure that the women would remain silent, and sometimes displayed weapons to intimidate abuse victims and witnesses, prosecutors said.

“The victims did not believe they could refuse Combs without risking their security or facing more abuse,” Williams told a press conference. “This office is determined to investigate and prosecute anyone who engages in sex trafficking, no matter how powerful or wealthy or famous you may be.”

The indictment did not specify how many women were alleged victims. It contained no allegation that Combs himself directly engaged in unwanted sexual contact with women, though he was accused of assaulting them by punching, kicking, dragging and throwing objects.

Also known during his career as P. Diddy and Puff Daddy, Combs founded Bad Boy records and is credited with helping turn rappers and R&B singers such as Mary J. Blige, Faith Evans, Notorious B.I.G. and Usher into stars in the 1990s and 2000s.

‘NOT A CRIMINAL’

Marc Agnifilo, a lawyer for Combs, did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Tuesday. Agnifilo on Monday expressed disappointment with the “unjust” prosecution of his client, calling Combs “an imperfect person” but “not a criminal.”

Combs is the highest-profile music industry figure charged with sexual misconduct since R&B singer R. Kelly was sentenced to a combined 31 years in prison after being convicted in New York in 2021 and Chicago in 2022 sex trafficking, racketeering, child sex crimes and other counts.

His career and reputation have been marred over the past year. Last November, his former girlfriend Casandra Ventura, an R&B singer known as Cassie, accused him in a lawsuit of serial physical abuse, sexual slavery and rape. She agreed to an undisclosed settlement one day after suing. Combs denied her allegations.

New York Mayor Eric Adams asked Combs to return a commemorative “key to the city” after a video showing him attacking Cassie surfaced in May.

BABY OIL, AR-15 RIFLES

Prosecutors said Combs and his associates used bribery and violence such as arson and kidnapping to try to keep his conduct secret.

In a March 2016 incident that resembles Cassie’s description of his alleged attack, prosecutors said Combs was captured on a hotel security video striking and dragging a woman trying to leave a “Freak Off.” Combs then offered a stack of cash to a hotel security officer who intervened, prosecutors said.

In 2011, Combs and a co-conspirator kidnapped a person at gun point to facilitate a break in, prosecutors said. Two weeks later, Combs’ co-conspirators set a car on fire, and he later bragged about his role in the arson, prosecutors said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Rapper Sean Diddy Combs arrives at the 2016 MTV Video Music Awards in New York, U.S., August 28, 2016.  REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

Prosecutors said Combs’ employees helped arrange the “Freak Offs” by booking hotel rooms and buying controlled substances and other items used during sex, according to the indictment.

During raids of his homes in Los Angeles and Miami Beach, Florida six months ago, authorities found drugs and 1,000 bottles of baby oil and lubricant, along with AR-15 rifles with defaced serial numbers, the indictment said.

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Wysh Collaborates with Jack Henry to Enhance Financial Protection for Credit Union Members

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Community and regional financial institutions can offer account holders embedded life insurance, increased financial security, and innovative deposit products

New York, New York–(Newsfile Corp. – September 17, 2024) – Wysh Life and Health Insurance Company, an AM Best A- rated insurance carrier offering innovative financial protection solutions, today announced that its embedded Life Benefit product is now accessible through the Jack Henry™ digital banking platform.

Wysh leveraged the Banno Digital Toolkit™, the same set of APIs the Banno Digital Platform™ is built on, to embed its technology into the digital experiences offered by community and regional financial institutions. Access to Jack Henry’s API, design, and authenticated frameworks has enabled Wysh to directly integrate Life Benefit into the digital banking platform, providing a seamless banking experience. This integration contributes to Jack Henry’s growing ecosystem of over 1,000 fintechs, providing approximately 7,500 financial institutions with relevant financial products and services for their account holders.

Life Benefit is a groundbreaking solution that embeds micro life insurance coverage equal to 10% of an account holder’s deposits, up to $10,000, providing protection directly to their account upon the holder’s death. With no opt-in, sign-up, or underwriting required, Life Benefit extends life insurance protection to demographics that have been historically overlooked due to pre-existing conditions or adverse financial histories. This innovative product helps banks and credit unions attract diverse, younger members, address net interest margin compression, and create new revenue streams through embedded affiliate programs.

“We’re thrilled to join Jack Henry’s fintech ecosystem and bring Life Benefit to more banks, credit unions and their members,” said Alex Matjanec, CEO of Wysh. “Our experience with the Banno Digital Toolkit has been excellent, allowing us to seamlessly integrate our solution into the digital banking platform. This collaboration will enable community and regional financial institutions to offer a truly innovative and inclusive financial protection product that aligns with their values while improving deposit economics.”

About Jack Henry™

Jack Henry™ (NASDAQ: JKHY) is a well-rounded financial technology company that strengthens connections between financial institutions and the people and businesses they serve. We are an company that prioritizes openness, collaboration, and user centricity – offering banks and credit unions a vibrant ecosystem of internally developed modern capabilities as well as the ability to integrate with leading fintechs. For more than 48 years, Jack Henry has provided technology solutions to enable clients to innovate faster, strategically differentiate, and successfully compete while serving the evolving needs of their account holders. We empower approximately 7,500 clients with people-inspired innovation, personal service, and insight-driven solutions that help reduce the barriers to financial health. Additional information is available at www.jackhenry.com.

About Wysh Life and Health Insurance Company

Wysh Life and Health Insurance Company is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Northwestern (NASDAQ:) Mutual. Wysh offers innovative embedded protection solutions, including Life Benefit, which helps financial institutions attract, retain, and differentiate deposits while providing valuable coverage to members. By integrating seamlessly with financial platforms, Wysh is revolutionizing the way financial institutions approach member protection and deposit growth. To learn more about Wysh, visit wysh.com or contact press@wysh.com.

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To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/223633

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Fifth Third Community Development Corp. President Susan E. Thomas Named Co-Chair of National Housing Crisis Task Force

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CINCINNATI–(BUSINESS WIRE)–A new bipartisan task force is tackling one of America’s most pressing problems “ the national housing crisis “ and is seeking to elevate the most innovative solutions from across the country to produce and preserve housing across all income levels in every part of the country.

This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240917284773/en/

Fifth Third Community Development Corporation President Susan E. Thomas (Photo: Business Wire)

This work will be led in part by Fifth Third Community Development Corporation President Susan E. Thomas, a national leader in community development banking and development. Of the four bipartisan National Housing Crisis Task Force co-chairs, Thomas is the only co-chair from the private sector.

The other co-chairs are Utah Governor Spencer Cox, Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens, and Cleveland Mayor Justin M. Bibb.

The solutions are out there, but they are being deployed piecemeal, in individual communities, Thomas said. The task force will identify the best examples of innovative financing and land disposition tools, policies to streamline market-rate and subsidized-affordable housing development and help replicate them in communities across the country.

Thomas has seen firsthand the impact of innovation in housing through her work with Fifth Third’s Empowering Black Futures Neighborhood Program, which creates and implements innovative place-based strategies to effect positive change in nine historically disinvested neighborhoods across the Bank’s 11-state footprint.

Affordable housing is a cornerstone of Fifth Third’s Neighborhood Program, which is pioneering a new way to do community development by partnering with local organizations to build ecosystems that drive real change through both financial and social investments. This collective ecosystem approach is focused on identifying solutions to key challenges in partnership with the community, with the goal of creating lasting, transformative change.

At Fifth Third, we view safe, affordable housing as a basic human right, and helping to solve this crisis is one of our top priorities, said Kala Gibson, chief corporate responsibility officer for Fifth Third. As a regional bank, we are deeply embedded within the communities we serve, and we see firsthand every day how housing security is connected to economic mobility, financial stability, improved health outcomes and economic mobility.

Fifth Third’s Community Development Banking Group is actively helping to create housing inventory and remove barriers to affordability across the Bank’s footprint. This includes investing in low-income housing tax credits, new markets tax credits, community development financial institutions, and investment funds, as well as community-based lending for projects that create housing and provide other supportive services.

In 2023, Fifth Third provided $722 million in loans and investments to support 3,684 units of housing “ and we’re just getting started, Thomas said.

The National Housing Crisis Task Force is an ambitious, two-year project to bring the most promising innovations in housing production, preservation, and finance to communities across the country. Supported by the Nowak Metro Finance Lab at Drexel University and Accelerator for America (AFA), the bipartisan task force includes 28 government, non-profit, and business leaders who will create a platform to share and replicate what’s working locally, nationally and internationally. The task force’s work was launched Tuesday, July 23 at an in-person meeting in Washington, D.C. Its first report is expected this fall.

About Fifth Third

Fifth Third is a bank that’s as long on innovation as it is on history. Since 1858, we’ve been helping individuals, families, businesses and communities grow through smart financial services that improve lives. Our list of firsts is extensive, and it’s one that continues to expand as we explore the intersection of tech-driven innovation, dedicated people and focused community impact. Fifth Third is one of the few U.S.-based banks to have been named among Ethisphere’s World’s Most Ethical Companies ® for several years. With a commitment to taking care of our customers, employees, communities and shareholders, our goal is not only to be the nation’s highest performing regional bank, but to be the bank people most value and trust.

Fifth Third Bank, National Association is a federally chartered institution. Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:) is the indirect parent company of Fifth Third Bank and its common stock is traded on the NASDAQ ® Global Select Market under the symbol “FITB.” Investor information and press releases can be viewed at www.53.com. Deposit and credit products provided by Fifth Third Bank, National Association. Member FDIC.

Amanda Nageleisen (Media Relations)
amanda.nageleisen@53.com

Matt Curoe (Investor Relations)
matt.curoe@53.com | 513-534-2345

Source: Fifth Third

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