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Stocks gain, Treasury yields jump as US retail data reassures

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By Koh Gui Qing and Naomi Rovnick

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -World stocks rose on Thursday and Treasury yields spiked after surprisingly strong U.S. retail sales data soothed fears about slowing economic growth, and tempered investor bets of imminent aggressive interest rate cuts.

Retail sales increased 1.0% last month, well above market forecasts for a 0.3% gain, the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau said on Thursday, suggesting that consumers have maintained spending by bargain hunting.

Some investors said the robust data did not alter bets that the Federal Reserve could begin lowering rates in September, but dimmed the chance that the central bank will start easing policy with a hefty 50 basis-point rate cut.

“This diminishes fears of a recession any time soon and it is good news in terms of stocks, but may not be good news for the bond market,” said Peter Cardillo, chief economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

“With this report, we’re back to square one, with the Fed probably cutting rates by 25 basis points in September. Chances are diminishing for a more robust 50 basis-point cut.”

Equity markets welcomed the latest sign of economic resilience. By 1535 GMT, the jumped 1.5%, the added 1.3%, and the leapt 2.2%. [.N]

MSCI’s world share index, which has moved in excess of 1% on more than half of the trading days in August so far, rose 1.1%.

Pressured by speculation that the Fed is likely to reduce rates at a more moderate pace, the benchmark jumped to 3.9321%, while the two-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.1097%. [US/]

The jump in Treasury yields offered some respite to the dollar, which gained 0.4% against other major currencies, halting a stretch of losses that took it to its lowest per euro on Wednesday since late 2023. The dollar is also down almost 15% against Japan’s yen since early July.

A firmer dollar weighed on the euro on Thursday, with the common currency down 0.3% at $1.09748. The dollar also strengthened against the yen to 149.1 yen. [USD/]

RISK APPETITE

In Europe, the pan-European index was up 1.2%, although some analysts cautioned investors against complacency.

Nordea chief market analyst Jan von Gerich said the speed of the Wall Street bounce-back was a reason to be wary of further volatility ahead.

“The tentative rebound in risk appetite has happened surprisingly fast, so I would be cautious,” he said.

Wall Street’s fear barometer, the volatility gauge, eased to its lowest point of the month, having soared to a four-year high on Aug. 5.

The Federal Reserve has held its main funds rate at 5.25%-5.5% for more than a year, helping to quell consumer price rises, but also exacerbating some market imbalances that erupted into chaos this summer.

A sustained period of high U.S. rates driving the dollar higher against Japan’s yen screeched to a halt in July, creating a wrecking-ball effect on a popular speculative trade that involved borrowing the Japanese currency to buy U.S. stocks.

A vicious unwinding of this so-called carry trade sparked a market rout last week, although many investors believe the currency-related disruption is almost over.

“I don’t this (has been) a long-term wider market correction,” said James Henderson, equity fund manager at Janus Henderson.

Elsewhere in markets, sterling rose 0.2% to $1.2853 after data showed Britain’s economy grew 0.6% in the second quarter of 2024, which was in line with economists’ expectations.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 3, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

price rose 0.3% to $2,454.21 per ounce, close to its July 17 record high, as market speculation that U.S. rates might soon be lowered lifted the non-yielding metal. [GOL/]

Oil markets were also strong on Thursday, with , the international benchmark, 1.8% higher at $81.19 a barrel as the U.S. retail report brightened the outlook for global demand. [O/R]

Stock Markets

Consumers Energy Expanding Community Solar Program with 30-Acre Solar Project in Jackson County

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JACKSON, Mich., Sept. 19, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Consumers Energy plans to break ground next spring on Blackman Solar, a new 30-acre community solar array in its home Jackson County that will provide local clean energy to customers through its Solar Gardens program.

Consumers Energy this week received approval from Blackman Township for the community solar project, which is slated to start generating electricity by the end of 2025.

“Blackman Solar is a great example of a partnership with a community to develop a project that delivers reliable, clean energy as well as local tax and economic benefits,” said David Hicks. Consumers Energy’s vice president of renewable energy development. “We’re grateful for the reception we’ve received from Blackman Township leaders and are excited to continue developing solar projects like this on our path to a carbon-neutral electric grid.”

Blackman Solar will generate power for Consumers Energy’s Solar Gardens community solar program, in which customers choose to support new solar projects without having to own solar arrays.

The new community solar facility will be the fourth that Consumers Energy owns and operates, joining other Solar Gardens projects in Cadillac, at Western Michigan University and at Grand Valley State University. Blackman Solar will include nearly 5,000 solar panels and will generate up to 2.5 megawatts of renewable electricity for 2,500 future Solar Gardens customers.

Blackman Solar also will provide new capacity to expand Consumers Energy’s income-qualified Solar Gardens program MI Sunrise. MI Sunrise is an efficient, easy, cost-effective way for municipalities, nonprofits and tribal governments to deploy federal grant dollars, providing access to clean, reliable renewable energy and measurable financial benefits to offset energy bills.

“Blackman Solar will help meet increased demand for community solar and offers shared solar infrastructure, accessibility and inclusivity, as well as financial and environmental benefits for all customers,” Hicks said.

Consumers Energy is committed to Michigan’s clean energy future. The energy provider is closing its final three coal-burning units next summer, one of the nation’s most aggressive timetables. The company is developing solar projects as part of its Clean Energy Plan to be carbon-neutral by 2040.

Consumers Energy is Michigan’s largest energy provider, providing and/or electricity to 6.8 million of the state’s 10 million residents in all 68 Lower Peninsula counties. Consumers Energy’s Clean Energy Plan calls for eliminating coal as an energy source in 2025, achieving net-zero carbon emissions and meeting 90% of customers’ energy needs through clean sources, including wind and solar.

For more information about Consumers Energy, go to ConsumersEnergy.com.

Check out Consumers Energy on Social Media

Facebook (NASDAQ:): https://www.facebook.com/consumersenergymichigan
Twitter: https://twitter.com/consumersenergy
LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/consumersenergy
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First Horizon Is Now the Official Bank of the Ragin’ Cajuns

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MEMPHIS, Tenn., Sept. 19, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — First Horizon (NYSE:) Corp. (NYSE: FHN or “First Horizon“) is proud to announce that First Horizon Bank is now the Official Bank of the  University of Louisiana at Lafayette  Ragin’ Cajuns.

This five-year agreement expands First Horizon’s long-term commitment to the University  and includes a Ragin’ Cajun Visa (NYSE:) Debit card, prominent in-venue signage, entertainment and hospitality opportunities along with participation in game day fan activations and experiences, including the new Cajun Village.

“This is an exciting time to expand our partnership with ULL and ULL athletics,” said Jerry Prejean, President of Acadiana for First Horizon. “With more than $2.5 million invested in recent years towards academic and athletic excellence, First Horizon is proud to deepen our relationship with the University and work together as two long-standing community leaders dedicated to making Acadiana a great place to call home.”

“As opportunities have grown for businesses to support Ragin’ Cajuns athletics, First Horizon Bank has been right there growing with us every step of the way,” adds Brian Bille, General Manager of LEARFIELD-based Ragin’ Cajuns Sports Properties. “Jerry’s commitment to our community has never wavered, and I’m excited to help First Horizon build affinity with our fans through this enhanced partnership, and encourage our fans to add the all-new Ragin’ Cajuns branded debit card to their wallet.”

About First Horizon  
First Horizon Corp. (NYSE: FHN), with $82.2 billion in assets as of June  30, 2024, is a leading regional financial services company, dedicated to helping our clients, communities and associates unlock their full potential with capital and counsel. Headquartered in Memphis, TN, the banking subsidiary First Horizon Bank operates in 12 states across the southern U.S. The Company and its subsidiaries offer commercial, private banking, consumer, small business, wealth and trust management, retail brokerage, capital markets, fixed income, and mortgage banking services. First Horizon has been recognized as one of the nation’s best employers by Fortune and Forbes magazines and a Top 10 Most Reputable U.S. Bank. More information is available at  www.FirstHorizon.com.

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Oil prices rise on easing demand worries after jumbo Fed rate cut

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Investing.com — Oil prices jumped Thursday, riding on a wave of risk-on sentiment as the Federal Reserve’s outsized interest rate cut on Wednesday eased worries that a slowing US economy would further dent crude demand.

At 2:06 p.m. ET (1906 GMT), rose 1.6% to $74.80 a barrel and rose 1.8% to $71.12 a barrel. 

Jobless claims rise by less than expected 

The number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits rose by less than anticipated last week, with coming in at 219,000 in the week ended on Sept. 14, compared with an upwardly revised 231,000 in the prior week.

Economists had forecast a consensus figure of 230,000.

This figure was better than expected, and has allayed to a degree concerns over the health of the US economy, particularly after the Federal Reserve started its latest rate-cutting cycle on Wednesday, trimming interest rates for the first time since March 2020 by a hefty 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%.

While lower rates usually bode well for economic activity, the Fed’s aggressive cut sparked some concerns over a potential slowdown in economic growth. 

While Fed Chair Jerome Powell helped soothe some of these concerns, he also said that the Fed had no intention of returning to an era of ultra-low interest rates, and that the central bank’s neutral rate was likely to be much higher than seen in the past.

His comments indicated that while interest rates will fall in the near-term, the Fed was likely to keep rates higher in the medium-to-long term.

US inventories fall, but product stockpiles up 

Government data released on Wednesday showed a bigger-than-expected, 1.63 million barrel draw in .

While the draw was much bigger than expectations for a draw of 0.2 mb, it was also accompanied by builds in and inventories. 

The builds in product inventories sparked increased concerns that U.S. fuel demand was cooling as the travel-heavy summer season wound to a close. 

Looking ahead, some expect further draws in domestic crude stocks as exports reaccelerate. 

“We look for a significant rebound in exports across crude and products this week. Among products, our preliminary expectations point to draws in gasoline (-1.5 MM BBL) and distillate (-3.7 MM BBL) with a build in jet (+0.5 MM BBL),” Macquarie said in a recent note.

Crude deficit could boost Brent 

Still, prices could be bolstered in the near-term by demand possibly outstripping supply in the fourth quarter, according to analysts at Citi.

A reported decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to delay the beginning of a tapering in voluntary output cuts, along with ongoing supply losses in Libya, is predicted to contribute to a oil market deficit of around 0.4 million barrels per day in the final three months of 2024, the Citi analysts said.

They added that such a trend could offer some temporary support to Brent “in the $70 to $75 per barrel range.”

Meanwhile, the benchmark could be further boosted by a potential rebound in recently tepid demand from top oil importer China, the analysts said.

But they flagged that they still anticipate “renewed price weakness” in 2025, with Brent on a path to $60 per barrel due to an impending surplus of one million barrels per day.

(Peter Nurse, Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

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