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U.S. stock market index to hit new lows in 2023 

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U.S. stock market index

Investors are showing weak confidence in the U.S. stock market index even after a rally this month, with most believing the market has yet to bottom out because of concerns about corporate earnings, Bloomberg reported.

That’s the view of about 70% of the agency’s 383 respondents. At the same time, 35% said that the market will fall to a minimum in the second half of this year. Less than a quarter of respondents believe that the bottom has already been reached.

The survey results indicate that investors remain in deep turmoil after last year’s stock collapse. At the same time, they expect corporate earnings to deteriorate due to an expected slowdown in the global economy.

Almost half of respondents said the key factor for the U.S. stock market today will be quarterly reports from several companies, rather than the Federal Reserve’s decision or a speech by its head, Jerome Powell. The Fed is expected to raise the benchmark rate by just a quarter of a percentage point on Feb. 1, the smallest increase in almost a year.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index is up 6% since the start of 2023. That’s the best reading for January since 2019, as signs of slowing inflation and economic growth spurred expectations that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle. But the most aggressive rate hikes in decades, combined with rising prices and wages, have created a challenging environment for corporations to ramp up profits.

About 90% of respondents expect inflation to continue to weaken this year but remain above the Fed’s target of 2%. Analysts expect U.S. economic activity to decline in the second and third quarters.

Traders in the bond market expect the economic picture to be so disappointing that the Fed will have to cut rates later this year. At the same time, based on futures quotations, it will be raised to about 5% per annum by the middle of the year.

That contrasts with statements by Fed officials that the central bank would raise rates above 5% rather than lower them this year.

Earlier, we reported that Adani Group’s losses were gaining catastrophic momentum.

Stock Markets

Rogers Sugar Inc.: Conference Call “ 2nd Quarter 2024 Results

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VANCOUVER, British Columbia, April 19, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Rogers (NYSE:) Sugar Inc. (RSI) will be holding a conference call to discuss their 2024 second quarter results on Thursday, May 9, 2024, at 17h30 (Eastern Time).

The conference call will be chaired by Mr. Michael Walton, Chief Executive Officer and Mr. Jean-Sébastien Couillard, Chief Financial Officer.

If you wish to participate, please dial 1-800-717-1738. A recording of the conference call will be accessible shortly after the conference, by dialing 1-877-674-7070, access code 36162#. This recording will be available until June 9, 2024.

For further information:

Jean-Sébastien Couillard Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary Tel.: (514) 940-4350 www.lanticrogers.com

Source: Rogers Sugar Inc.

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IMF says Latam, Caribbean economies resilient but more growth is needed

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By Rodrigo Campos

(Reuters) – Stronger macroeconomic policy is partly behind the resilience of economies across Latin America and the Caribbean, the International Monetary Fund said Friday in its regional review of the Western Hemisphere.

The fund however warned that growth rates remain lackluster and investment levels remain historically low.

And even as unemployment across the region is also at historically low levels, “with most economies operating near potential… activity in the region has been generally moderating in recent quarters,” said in prepared remarks the IMF’s director for the Western Hemisphere, Rodrigo Valdes.

“We see risks around this baseline projection as broadly balanced, reflecting also more balanced global risks,” Valdes said.

The global lender sees inflation continuing to recede across the region, partly due to swift past action from central banks. In that view, the fund considers monetary policy easing should continue, though .

“It will be important to carefully calibrate the pace of easing to strike a balance between durably bringing inflation back to target, in the final stretch, and avoiding an undue economic contraction,” said Valdes.

Earlier this week, the IMF slightly lifted its 2024 view on economic output growth for Latam and the Caribbean to 2.0% from its 1.9% January forecast, in both cases calling for a deceleration compared with last year’s 2.3% growth rate.

The overall slowdown in growth is due in part to smaller rates of growth in the region’s largest economies, Mexico and Brazil.

PUBLIC DEBT AN ISSUE

Even as most economies in the region have withdrawn the stimulus brought by the pandemic’s economic shock, the fund is concerned that fiscal consolidation plans are now being put on hold.

“With public debt at high levels, fiscal policy should focus on rebuilding policy space,” Valdes said. “Timely fiscal tightening will also allow for faster normalization of monetary policy.”

Valdes referred to the “urgency” to speed up growth in the region, which at an average 2% in the medium term is not enough a pace to allow or spread-out prosperity.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks past the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, U.S., May 10, 2018. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas/File Photo

With the region’s “high levels of poverty and inequality,” Valdes said, “maintaining social cohesion should be a centerpiece of fiscal consolidation plans.”

Last week, the World Bank downgraded its 2024 economic growth forecast for Latin America and the Caribbean to 1.6% from its previous 2.3% estimate, saying the region continues to lag growth rates registered in other parts of the world.

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Iran signals no plan to retaliate against Israel after drone attack

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By Parisa Hafezi and James Mackenzie

DUBAI/JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Explosions echoed over an Iranian city on Friday in what sources said was an Israeli attack, but Tehran played down the incident and indicated it had no plans for retaliation – a response that appeared gauged towards averting region-wide war.

Iran’s foreign minister said the drones, which the sources said Israel launched against the city of Isfahan, were “mini-drones” and that they had caused no damage or casualties.

The limited scale of the attack and Iran’s muted response appeared to signal a successful effort by diplomats who have been working to avert all-out war since an Iranian drone and missile attack on Israel on Saturday.

Iranian media and officials described a small number of explosions, which they said resulted from air defences hitting three drones over Isfahan in central Iran. They referred to the incident as an attack by “infiltrators”, rather than by Israel, obviating the need for retaliation.

A senior Iranian official told Reuters there were no plans to respond against Israel for the incident.

“The foreign source of the incident has not been confirmed. We have not received any external attack, and the discussion leans more towards infiltration than attack,” the official said.

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian was also cautious in comments to envoys of Muslim countries in New York.

“The Zionist regime’s (Israel’s) media supporters, in a desperate effort, tried to make victory out of their defeat, while the downed mini-drones have not caused any damage or casualties,” Amirabdollahian was quoted as saying by Iranian media.

Israel said nothing about the incident and its ally Washington refused to be drawn.

Asked about it repeatedly at a press conference in Italy, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he would not comment apart from saying that the United States was committed to Israel’s security but not involved in any offensive operations.

“Israel tried to calibrate between the need to respond and a desire not to enter into a cycle of action and counter reaction that would just escalate endlessly,” said Itamar Rabinovich, a former Israeli ambassador to Washington.

Violence between Israel and Iranian proxies across the Middle East has intensified throughout six months of bloodshed in Gaza, raising fears the longstanding foes’ shadow war could spiral into a direct conflict.

Israel had said it would retaliate after Saturday’s strikes, the first ever direct attack on Israel by Iran, which caused no deaths after Israel and its allies shot down hundreds of missiles and drones.

Tehran launched those attacks in response to a presumed Israeli airstrike on April 1 that destroyed a building in Iran’s embassy compound in Damascus and killed several Iranian officers including a top general.

CALLS FOR CALM

Allies including the U.S. had pressed all week to ensure any further retaliation would be calibrated not to provoke more escalation, and Western countries tightened sanctions on Iran to mollify Israel.

There was no word from Israel on Friday as to whether further action might be planned. Apart from direct strikes on Iranian territory, it has other ways of attacking, including cyber attacks and strikes on Iranian proxies elsewhere.

In a sign of pressure within Israel’s hard-right government for a stronger response, Itamar Ben Gvir, the far-right national security minister posted a single word on X after Friday’s strikes: “Feeble”.

At the end of a meeting in Italy, foreign ministers of the Group of Seven industrialised democracies urged “all parties to work to prevent further escalation.”

They also called for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, the release of hostages held there by Hamas, an influx of aid for civilians in Gaza and for Israel to hold off from attacking Rafah, the last refuge for more than a million Gazans.

Beijing, Moscow and Arab states also called for restraint in the region.

In financial markets, oil prices initially surged but later slipped back, a move market analysts said pointed to a belief that an escalation of hostilities in the region might be avoided.

By morning, Iran had reopened airports and airspace that were shut during the strikes. But travel disruption is set to continue in the region, with some flights rerouted by international airlines and others suspended.

DRONES ‘DESTROYED IN THE SKY’

In Iran, news reports on Friday’s incident made no mention of Israel, and state television carried analysts and pundits who appeared dismissive about the scale.

Shortly after midnight, “three drones were observed in the sky over Isfahan. The air defence system became active and destroyed these drones in the sky,” Iranian state TV said.

Israeli media avoided quoting Israeli officials directly, instead referring to foreign media reports that cited Israeli sources as confirming Israel was behind the attacks.

Some Israelis suggested the aim was to demonstrate the capability to attack without causing harm. One newspaper likened it to a biblical story of the future King David snipping a piece from the robe of a foe when given a chance to kill him.

Iran had warned Israel before Friday’s strike that Tehran would deliver a severe response to any attack on its territory, and had told the U.N. Security Council that Israel must be compelled to stop further “military adventurism against our interests”.

© Reuters. Military personnel stand guard at a nuclear facility in the Zardanjan area of Isfahan, Iran, April 19, 2024. West Asia News Agency via REUTERS

Israel’s assault on Gaza began after Hamas Islamists attacked Israel on Oct. 7, killing 1,200, according to Israeli tallies. Israel’s military offensive has killed 34,000 Palestinians in Gaza, according to the Gazan health ministry.

Iran-backed groups have declared support for Palestinians, carrying out attacks from Lebanon, Yemen and Iraq, raising fears the Gaza conflict was growing into a wider regional war.

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