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Homeownership just got 5% cheaper as mortgage rates fall off a cliff
U.S. mortgage rates fell sharply and for the second straight week as monetary policies meant to slow the economy take hold of the housing market.
The rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage hasn’t fallen this much since December 2008, a new report shows.
Though rates have been rising for most of this year, the recent dips provide a sliver of hope for buyers.
Purchasing a home is now about 5% more affordable than it was a week ago, says Nadia Evangelou, senior economist for the National Association of Realtors.
That translates to savings of about $100 on a typical monthly mortgage payment.
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30-year fixed-rate mortgages
The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 5.30% this week, down from 5.70% a week ago, mortgage finance giant Freddie Mac reported on Thursday. A year ago, the 30-year rate was averaging 2.90%.
“Over the last two weeks, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped by half a percent, as concerns about a potential recession continue to rise,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.
The Federal Reserve, which is trying to lower inflation by cooling the economy, hiked its benchmark interest rate three-quarters of a percentage point in June.
The central bank is likely to make another hike of the same magnitude when it meets again later this month, according to the minutes from last month’s Fed meeting.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages
The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.45% this week, down from 4.83% last week, Freddie Mac says. Last year at this time, the 15-year rate averaged 2.20%.
Higher borrowing costs have been tempering demand for homes, and the market is recalibrating.
“Home price growth has started to soften and price cuts are becoming more common, as sellers are finally being challenged and begin to reconsider their expectations,” Matthew Speakman, senior economist with Zillow, said in a recent interview.
Indeed, homeowners are being forced to shift their mindsets.
While many new listings are still selling within days, multiple-offer situations are fewer and farther between, says Corey Burr, a Washington D.C. real estate agent.
A seller should be prepared to make adjustments if a property doesn’t go under contract within two weeks of being listed.
“In these cases, we are seeing more broker commission incentives, more seller offers to help pay for buyer closing costs and outright list price reductions,” says Burr, senior vice president at TTR Sotheby’s International Realty.
5-year adjustable-rate mortgages
The five-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 4.19% this week, down from 4.50% last week. The 5-year ARM was averaging 2.52% a year ago.
ARMs, which fluctuate depending on the prime rate, start off with lower interest costs. They can surge, however, once the initial fixed-rate period expires.
Despite the recent dips in rates, fewer Americans are taking on new mortgages.
Applications fell 5.4% according the Mortgage Brokers Association’s (MBA) latest weekly survey.
“Rates are still significantly higher than they were a year ago, which is why applications for home purchases and refinances remain depressed,” says Joel Kan, the MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting.
When will home prices start to fall?
The median price of a home hit a record $450,000 in June, 17% higher than last year, according to Realtor.com.
That’s leaving little room for buyers on budgets.
While prices are expected to soften, they have yet to make any appreciable moves, according to researchers at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Florida International University.
Average prices still are rising in nearly all of the 100 largest housing markets, they found. Evidence, however, suggests the market may be nearing its peak.
“There are plenty of reports that mortgage applications and home showings are falling as interest rates rise,” Ken Johnson, an economist in FAU’s College of Business, says in a new report.
“We expect prices eventually will level off as well, particularly if a recession occurs and lending rates remain high.”
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© Reuters. French firefighters and rescue forces work after several buildings on fire following a gas explosion in the fifth arrondissement of Paris, France, June 21, 2023. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes
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PARIS (Reuters) – Six people remained in a critical condition and one person was believed still missing on Thursday, one day after a blast ripped through a street near Paris’ historic Latin Quarter, the city’s public prosecution office said. “These figures may still change,” prosecutor Maylis De Roeck told Reuters in a text message, adding that around 50 people had been injured in the blast, which set buildings ablaze and caused the front of one to collapse onto the street. Of two people initially believed missing, one has been found in hospital and is being taken care of, the prosecutor said, adding: “Searches are ongoing to find the second person.” Authorities have not yet said what caused the explosion, which witnesses said had followed a strong smell of gas at the site. The explosion led to scenes of chaos and destruction in the historic Rue Saint Jacques, which runs from the Notre-Dame de Paris Cathedral to the Sorbonne University, just as people were heading home from work. It also destroyed the facade of a building housing the Paris American Academy design school popular with foreign students. Florence Berthout, mayor of the Paris district where the blast occurred, said 12 students who should have been in the academy’s classrooms at the time had fortunately gone to visit an exhibition with their teacher.
“Otherwise the (death toll) could have been absolutely horrific,” Berthout told BFM TV. She said three children who had been passing by at the time were among the injured, although their lives were not in danger.
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4 big analyst cuts: Alcoa & DigitalOcean shares drop on downgrades
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Here is your Pro Recap of the biggest analyst cuts you may have missed since yesterday: downgrades at Alcoa, DigitalOcean, Teleflex, and Xcel Energy.InvestingPro subscribers got this news in rapid fire. Never be left in the dust again.Alcoa stock drops on Morgan Stanley downgrade Alcoa (NYSE:) shares fell more than 3% pre-market today after Morgan Stanley downgraded the company to Underweight from Equalweight and cut its price target to $33.00 from $43.00, as reported in real time on InvestingPro.The firm sees a significant decline in consensus estimates, and as negative earnings revisions materialize, it believes the stock will face downward pressure and underperform.The analyst’s estimates for EBITDA in Q2, 2023, and 2024 are substantially lower than the consensus. The stock is currently trading above its historical average. The firm said its downward revisions in earnings estimates and price target are attributed to the company’s high operating leverage to aluminum prices.DigitalOcean stock plunges on downgradePiper Sandler downgraded DigitalOcean (NYSE:) to Underweight from Neutral with a price target of $35.00. As a result, shares plunged more than 5% pre-market today.The company reported its last month, with revenue beating the consensus estimate, while EPS coming in worse than expected. Furthermore, the company provided a strong outlook, which was above the Street estimates.2 more downgradesTeleflex (NYSE:) shares fell more than 3% yesterday after Needham downgraded the company to Hold from Buy, noting that UroLift expectations may still be too high.According to Needham, their checks indicate that urologists are reducing their use of UroLift due to its retreatment rates, reimbursement cuts, and increasing use of competing procedures. This is also supported by their Google Trends data analysis, which indicates decreasing search interest in UroLift.BMO Capital downgraded Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:) to Market Perform from Outperform and cut its price target to $64.00 from $69.00 to reflect the lower-than-expected terms of the company’s regulatory settlement in Colorado.Amid whipsaw markets and a slew of critical headlines, seize on the right timing to protect your profits: Always be the first to know with InvestingPro.Start your free 7-day trial now.
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