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Crypto market forecast 2022: The next few months will be crucial for the crypto market

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crypto market forecast 2022

The crypto market experienced another week of consolidation around the supposed “bottom”. The total capitalization index was at $999.28 billion at the beginning of the week. Then we saw growth to a local peak of $1.06 trillion (the index was again above $1 trillion for the first time in a month and a half). The index then declined to $959.1 billion by the end of the period under review. Thus, the final decrease in the total capitalization index was 4.02%. Against this background, we can try to make a crypto market forecast for 2022. 

What will be the crypto market forecast this week? After breaking through the corridor of 20,000-22,000 for the first time in a long time, the bitcoin price returned to this corridor again during the previous week. The period we are considering started for bitcoin at 23,712. On the first day, a local high of 24,208 was reached. Then, until the end of the week, the rate was systematically falling to the level of 21 300. The final decline at the end of the period was 8.5%.

Etherium, during the past period, demonstrated slightly different dynamics. Starting from 1551, the rate of the asset did not go out of the corridor of 1640-1528 till the end of the period, dropping down to the level of 1457. The fall at the end of the week amounted to 6.06%.

Even though one of the largest public owners of Bitcoin – Tesla, sold a significant part of its accumulation, other owners, who bought at similar levels, continue to hold. According to analytical service Glassnode, there are now three main levels of buying within past cycles – about 20,000/30,000/40,000. And the level of 20,000 was formed quite recently, in the last few months. Such dynamics additionally confirm the psychological value of “round” figures and also indicate many buyers in the current market ready to redeem BTC at a price slump.

Crypto market forecast this week

After the rapid growth in the spot market, the dominance of call options remains equally high for both BTC and ETH. The level of open interest rose strongly due to block trades – call spreads and “butterflies” with an execution date at the end of this year. The current price levels showed a fairly large volume of accumulation; most of the negative events are already in the price; respectively, traders have an appetite for risk, and expectations for a more successful end of the year. 

However, this cautious optimism is very different in its targets, if we compare the Bull Run period of last year. At that time, levels were actively traded several times higher than the current ones on the spot market. Now the target growth levels for BTC are 25,000-30,000, which is too far from last year’s highs. On the backdrop of this we can build a crypto market cap forecast.

Is a crypto bear market coming? The market is accumulating liquidity ahead of the Fed meeting this week, and is avoiding active directional choices until the decision is made, remaining cautiously optimistic. The next few months will be decisive regarding macro statistics and will allow for more accurate forecasting of funding conditions in global markets, which will add certainty and liquidity for future growth in cryptocurrency prices.



Cryptocurrency

Old XRP Coins Cause Stir Indicating Potential ‘Buy the Dip’ Interest

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Dormant tokens in the XRP Ledger have begun to stir, setting the stage for May’s market activity.

New data suggest the blockchain is seeing another “huge blast” in dormant XRP movement, alongside increasing open interest (AI).

Surge in Old XRP Coin Movement

According to Santiment’s Token Age Consumed metric, there has been a significant surge in the movement of old XRP coins on the ledger, similar to the spike observed just before the market downturn on April 13th, during which the cryptocurrency plummeted by 16%.

However, in this particular case, there’s a compelling argument suggesting that this movement is tied to potential “buy the dip” interest from influential stakeholders, the crypto-analytic platform said in its latest findings.

“This time around, however, there is an argument that this old coin movement is related to potential #buythedip interest from key stakeholders, and prices have been climbing mildly since this May spike occurred. Also, keep in mind the increasing open interest on exchanges, which has just reached a 3-week high.”

Interestingly, despite this movement, XRP prices have shown a mild climb since the May spike occurred. Moreover, the increasing open interest in exchanges, which hit $483.4 million, reaching a 3-week high, also needs to be taken into account. As such, investors rushing to rake in XRP coins amidst the asset’s ongoing relief rally could potentially increase confidence among market players.

The latest development follows XRP Ledger developers’ recent proposal which suggested implementing direct lending to users through the blockchain.

They propose a system for offering fixed-term loans with interest, using pooled funds, and without the need for on-chain collateral. This method depends on off-chain underwriting and risk management, as well as what developers call a “First-Loss Capital protection scheme” to safeguard the protocol.

Introducing XRPL Solutions in Japan

Last month, Ripple, which uses XRP Ledger for its cross-border payment settlement, announced a strategic partnership with HashKey DX to introduce XRPL-based blockchain solutions to the Japanese market.

With this joint venture, SBI Group will become the first Japanese corporation to leverage this supply chain finance solution.

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Crypto Price Analysis May-03: ETH, XRP, ADA, SHIB, and DOT

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This week, we take a closer look at Ethereum, Ripple, Cardano, Shiba Inu, and Polkadot.

Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum broke under $3,000 and closes this week with a 5% loss. This latest crash in the price made a lower low which shows bears are still in control of the price action.

The current support is at $2,900 and buyers have to protect this level at all costs. If they fail, then the next major support will be found at $2,500.

Looking ahead, ETH was quickly rejected at the $3,350 resistance in late April. Since then, the price has been in a downtrend. The bias remains bearish, but hopefully May can bring better news for this cryptocurrency.

ETHUSD_2024-05-03_18-01-43
Chart by TradingView

Ripple (XRP)

Ripple continues to move sideways and closes the week with a 1% loss. While this is not much, volatility was higher this week when the price briefly dropped to 48 cents before bouncing.

The resistance is found at 54 cents and the price seems unable to break this level at this time. Therefore, XRP is more likely to move sideways under the key resistance.

Looking ahead, if sellers decide to return in force, then the next key level of support is at 50 cents. While the chart is bearish, the hope is that sellers will become exhausted after they dominated in April.

XRPUSDT_2024-05-03_18-02-03
Chart by TradingView

Cardano (ADA)

ADA was rejected by the resistance at 46 cents and appears to still struggle. The price is in a downtrend and has fallen by 4% this week.

If buyers don’t return soon, then ADA may make new lows and approach the key support at 40 cents. If that also falls, then buyers could return at 37 cents where ADA had strong demand in the past.

Looking ahead, sell volume has been declining even if the price is falling. This could be an early sign that selling may subside and bulls could be provided with an opportunity to recover some of the recent losses.

ADAUSDT_2024-05-03_18-02-17
Chart by TradingView

Shiba Inu (SHIB)

Shiba Inu lost it’s support at $0.000025 which has now turned into a resistance. For that reason, the price dropped by 11% this week.

The most important support on the chart is at $0.000018, and if nothing changes in the current momentum, then this meme coin will likely test this level.

Looking ahead, SHIB’s correction does not appear to be ending any time soon and may continue well into May. As long as the overall market remains bearish, SHIB will likely follow with lower lows.

SHIBUSDT_2024-05-03_18-02-40
Chart by TradingView

Polkadot (DOT)

DOT’s price bounced on the support at $6.3 which allowed it to close the week with a 3% price increase. This is impressive considering all the other coins on our list are in red.

As long as this key support holds, Polkadot has a good chance to challenge the resistance at $7.6 which has so far stopped any attempt from buyers to move the price higher.

Looking ahead, DOT has been moving sideways since mid-April which bring optimism that this downtrend may be coming to an end. To confirm this, buyers have break the resistance at $7.6

DOTUSDT_2024-05-03_18-03-07
Chart by TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

BitMEX Founder Arthur Hayes Sees Bitcoin’s Price Slump as Market Cleansing

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Experts now suggest that bitcoin may have reached a local bottom and will gradually recover over the coming months.

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes, for one, noted that the leading cryptocurrency might see a surge in value if, as he predicts, liquidity increases in the economy next week due to Janet Yellen’s policies.

Bitcoin May Have Hit a Local Bottom

In his latest blog post, Hayes said bitcoin’s latest slump has “played out” as he anticipated, attributing it to various factors such as the US tax season, uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s actions, the halving “sell the news” event, and a slowdown in the growth of assets under management (AUM) for the spot ETFs in the US. The BitMEX founder sees these “coalesced” events as a necessary cleansing for the market.

He even implied that casual investors, or “tourists,” may opt to stay out of the market for a while, possibly enjoying the sidelines. On the other hand, the exec believes serious investors will continue to hold their positions and even accumulate more of their preferred cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, ether, and potentially high-risk altcoins such as Solana, Dogecoin, and others.

Shedding further light on the recent market activity, Hayes said bitcoin hit a local low at around $56,500 earlier this week and he even expects a rally for the asset that could drive its price above $60,000 once again. This has indeed been the case in the past few hours as BTC jumped above $60,000. Following this surge, Hayes anticipates that there could be a period of range-bound price action between $60,000 and $70,000 until August.

“I expect prices to bottom, chop, and begin a slow grind higher.”

Sideways for Now?

Bitcoin surpassed $61,800 on Friday after gaining approximately 5% over the past 24 hours, showing signs of recovery from a midweek decline that pushed its price below $57,000. The recent uptick in price and recovery suggests that bitcoin is attempting to regain its footing after a period of volatility and downward pressure. However, experts believe that the asset would trade sideways.

Pseudonymous crypto analyst Kaleo said that BTC’s sideways movement is typical following a halving event, mirroring patterns seen in previous cycles. Kaelo explained that after the halving, it’s common for bitcoin to undergo a few months of sideways price action as miners now receive essentially half the revenue they did previously.

A similar sentiment was echoed by Jeff Ross, Founder and CEO of Vailshire Capital Management, while addressing the ongoing sentiment of pessimism surrounding bitcoin. Despite the “doom and gloom,” Ross maintained his bullish stance referring to the ongoing market as a “bullcrab.”

The exec also said that predicting the end of the bitcoin bull market may be premature, indicating that the actual one has yet to start. Ross sees the upcoming weeks and months as a prime opportunity to accumulate BTC at lower prices as the cryptocurrency trades sideways.

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