Cryptocurrency
Rose crypto market cap on the back of the Fed’s prime rate decision: views and forecasts
We are now witnessing a temporary rose crypto market cap. As part of the fight against inflation, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised the prime rate by 75 bps during the next meeting. – to a range of 2.25-2.5% per annum. The crypto market reacted to the news with positive dynamics. How long can the rise in the crypto industry last, and what other consequences of the Fed’s decision risk investors?
Crypto market tips – what should investors do?
It’s difficult to give specific crypto-market tips. One would assume that the crypto market is responding to the fact that the Fed’s rate hike was softer than many expected. That said, experienced traders point out that cryptocurrency investors are too early to get excited.
“People are celebrating the 75 bps as if the change opens up the prospect of growth for the crypto market. Twitter users have completely lost their minds,” was the opinion shared by a trader popular in the cryptocurrency community who runs a microblog under the nickname Psycho.
The fact is that the U.S. government abandoned its policy of quantitative easing as part of the fight against inflation, which implies printing more money and then pouring it into the market. Against the backdrop of the changes, the crypto market faced a liquidity crisis. Therefore, many crypto-industry participants believe that the Fed’s fight against inflation and an increase in the prime rate could put pressure on the cryptocurrency rate.
No reason for optimism
Is the crypto market going to crash? Analyst Lark Davis drew attention to the market’s positive reaction to the Fed’s decision. Many of his subscribers think that prices won’t rise for a long time. In their opinion, the next wave of fall may hit cryptocurrencies this week.
A popular analyst in the cryptocommunity, who runs a microblog under the nickname Profit Blue, holds a similar point of view. In his opinion, bitcoin is preparing for a fall. This is indicated by the results of technical analysis. Profit Blue drew attention to the fact that the cryptocurrency repeats the figure of late May – early June, which led BTC to the renewal of the local minimum at $17,708. This time, Profit Blue is sure, history may repeat itself.
As a reminder, earlier, similar results of technical analysis were shared by Peter Brandt, a trader and analyst popular in the crypto community, who managed to correctly predict the cryptozyme of 2018. He saw a technical analysis figure on the bitcoin chart, which, in his opinion, foretells the BTC’s imminent exit to new lows.
Some experts do not exclude the decrease in BTC to $10-12 thousand and lower. Many of them are sure that the current growth of the cryptocurrency market is nothing more than a correction after a protracted fall.
Crypto market rose analysis: crypto investors should look ahead
Many members of the crypto community believe that investors should not be intimidated by the prospects of a market decline. In their opinion, sooner or later, investments in cryptocurrency will bear fruit. For example, Changpen Zhao, head of the largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance, holds this view.
“Learn about recession and inflation, and then explore [the possibilities of] bitcoin and Binance Coin,” the Binance head wrote amid an online discussion about the impact of the Fed’s decisions on the market.
For his part, analyst Joe Burnett pointed out that cryptocurrency market movements are cyclical. In his microblog, he reminded readers that decadence always goes with cryptozymes. The current period of falling prices was no exception.
Authors of the Twitter channel Wicked Smart Bitcoin shared a similar opinion. They think that the decisions of the Fed and other regulators are just “dust” that loses any significance in the context of talks about bitcoin’s global future.
Wicked Smart Bitcoin explains their point of view with the fact that BTC’s growth is programmed by halvings, which corrects the rate of new coins coming into the market. Many are also convinced that the financial market has already passed the main phase of the crisis. According to this logic, there is a recovery ahead for the industry.
Cryptocurrency
‘Normal’ Correction or Bull Market End for Bitcoin and Crypto?
The landscape in the cryptocurrency space can change drastically in days. Recall that bitcoin tapped a new all-time high of over $108,000 on Tuesday, but its price has slumped to $94,500 since then.
This came after a few remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who warned that the central bank could not purchase BTC despite Trump’s promises and that there might not be any more key interest rate reductions in 2025.
With bitcoin reacting the way it did to those comments, this has led to speculations among the crypto community about whether this is just another ‘normal’ correction during a bull market cycle or whether the asset’s post-Trump-victory honeymoon is over.
Bull Market’s End Side
Even before Donald Trump’s decisive victory, BTC’s price had already started to appreciate after the US Federal Reserve pivoted from its previous monetary strategy and started lowering the interest rates. In fact, the first cut was the deepest, as they say, when the central bank reduced the rates by 50 basis points.
Riskier assets such as bitcoin reacted with immediate price increases. However, the Fed’s policy seems to have a bigger impact on the asset’s price movements than many anticipated.
After all, the expected 25 basis point reduction from Wednesday didn’t lead to another price increase. Just the opposite, the central bank’s warning about another potential reversal in its strategy resulted in a bloodbath for BTC and the entire crypto market.
Consequently, those who argue that the bull market might have ended received some validation. In case the Fed indeed stops cutting the rates, BTC’s bull market might come to a screeching halt. Powell’s actions have already changed US investors’ behavior toward the cryptocurrency, as the spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their worst day in terms of net outflows since their inception nearly a year ago.
Some analysts believe the $94,000 support zone is crucial for bitcoin, which is close to being tested now. If lost, the asset could plummet to $90,000 and even $80,000.
Just a Correction Side
Captain Faibrik also outlined the $94,000 support line as crucial during this correction. They told their 100,000 followers on X that such a price drop to that line would be a “healthy reset” and it could propel the asset in the opposite direction and continue its months-long rally.
$BTC #Bitcoin Correction is almost Done..!! https://t.co/GXWt21b5o6 pic.twitter.com/4d9QPO3kuk
— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) December 20, 2024
Crypto_Rover was also on the ‘just a correction’ side, claiming that this is the ‘final bear trap’ and investors should not be shaken out.
If you survived the #Bitcoin bear market…
Don’t let this final bear trap shake you out this bull market.
Don’t give up now.
The next 3 months can truly change your life.
— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) December 20, 2024
In any case, it seems as if the $94,000 support will indeed be vital for BTC’s upcoming price movements. It was tested on a couple of occasions last week and bitcoin is close to doing it again. Recall that the cryptocurrency bounced off after the second such test on December 10 and marked a new all-time high just a week later.
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Cryptocurrency
Why is the Ripple (XRP) Price Down Today?
TL;DR
- XRP experienced a sharp decline, briefly falling below $2.20 following a broader crypto market correction.
- Despite the dip many analysts foresee the asset rebounding to targets as high as $5, with some projecting even greater peaks if a FOMO-driven rally occurs.
XRP Follows the Market Decline
Despite the enhanced volatility, the first half of December has been quite successful for Ripple’s XRP. At the start of the month, its price surpassed a multi-year high of $2.80, while at the beginning of this week, it consolidated above $2.50.
However, things took a sudden turn on December 18, with XRP plunging below $2.30. Several hours ago, the valuation dipped under $2.20. Currently, XRP is around $2.23 after a slight rebound, which represents a 6% decline on a daily scale.
Perhaps the most obvious factor that has impacted the price of the token is the severe correction of the entire cryptocurrency sector. The global crypto market capitalization is down almost 9% in the last 24 hours, currently set at around $3.42 trillion (CoinGecko’s data).
Bitcoin (BTC), which hit a new all-time high of over $108,000 on December 17, is now worth less than $96,000. Ethereum (ETH) tumbled below $3,300, while Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and many more are down by double digits.
The market started bleeding heavily shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate cut. It reduced the benchmark by 0.25%, but Jerome Powell hinted that next year, the policy might be halted due to an increase in the inflation rate.
In addition to that, the spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed their biggest outflows in a single day. As CryptoPotato reported, over $670 million were withdrawn from the financial vehicles in total on a 24-hour scale, with Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s BTC leading the pack – $208.5 and $188.6 million, respectively.
XRP’s Next Potential Targets
Despite the substantial plunge, numerous analysts remain optimistic that XPR’s bull run is far from over. The popular X user Crypto Bitlord believes the latest correction has represented a local bottom, after which XRP could surge to as high as $5.
Other market observers who recently chipped in are Dark Defender and Armando Pantoja. The former set $5.85 and $8.76 as short-term targets, while the latter assumed XRP could be headed toward $2.78 and then $3.87. Pantoja went even further, predicting a mass FOMO effect if the price reach $10-$12, and “that’s when it will get crazy.”
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Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Could Skyrocket by 25% in Days if History Repeats But There’s a Catch: Data
Bitcoin’s massive rise from under $70,000 to over $108,000 within a month and a half after Donald Trump’s landslide victory in the US presidential elections left some investors outside the circle.
However, the ever-volatile nature of BTC always leads to substantial corrections that provide opportunities for those who missed the initial train to get on board. In the past couple of days, bitcoin’s price tumbled by double-digits, which, according to Santiment, has made the crowd seek to buy the dip.
Moreover, history shows that it could send BTC flying again.
Is BTC About to Bounce?
As the analytics platform noted, the last time these discussions exploded in a similar manner was in early August when the cryptocurrency’s price tumbled below $50,000. Just a few days later, though, the asset had climbed by over 25% to beyond $62,000.
If history is to repeat itself now, even though BTC’s market cap is a lot higher, bitcoin could recover from its big retracement and head toward a new all-time high again of over $120,000.
With Bitcoin falling as low as $95.5K today, the ratio of crypto discussions that are about buying crypto’s dip has reached its highest level in over 8 months. The last time we saw the crowd nearly this enthusiastic about dip buying was the major crash on August 4th. Since… pic.twitter.com/39NlpnGMCs
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 20, 2024
Not So Fast
Although the ‘buy-the-dip’ history shows that BTC’s correction could be over, this narrative is not supported by other on-chain and technical metrics, such as one particular demand zone.
IntoTheBlock posted even before bitcoin lost the $100,000 mark decisively yesterday that such an area had formulated at around $97,500, given the large number of investors purchasing at such prices more than 1.4 million BTC. These accumulations turned that level into an ‘important’ support zone, which has now been broken to the downside.
Once such vital support lines are breached and investors who had entered recently see their positions in the red, at least on paper, many tend to dispose of their holdings, which leads to more intense selling pressure for the underlying asset.
Will Bitcoin retrace below $100k?
Interestingly, a significant demand zone has formed just under $100k.
Over 1.45 million BTC was accumulated at an average price 97.5k, making this an important potential support zone. pic.twitter.com/vDcHEl8OKV
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) December 19, 2024
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