Connect with us
  • tg

Commodities

Current situation on the gas market: a gas war breaks out in the world

letizo News

Published

on

natural gas market price

There is discord in Europe: some countries urgently want to reconcile with Russia; others want to buy gas from Nigeria. All this has a strong impact on the European gas market. 

Natural gas market news – market situation

The European gas market has been shaking for many months now, but as we approach autumn the panic is getting worse. While Russia is sorting out problems with the delivery of the turbine for Nord Stream, the EU countries are actively looking for an opportunity to fill their storage facilities and at the same time convince their citizens that they should heat their apartments less in winter. And while citizens will be left with no alternative, the industrial enterprises still need energy to operate. 

Against this background, European politicians are actively looking for a way out of the situation they have created. They realize that they will not be able to reduce gas consumption. This is the opinion of a lot of countries, which demand preferences and do not want to meet the requirements of the EU authorities to voluntarily reduce gas consumption by 15%. According to the Financial Times, it is necessary to cancel such a requirement for at least five countries of the bloc. 

Most countries of the European Union have already begun to save money on everything. In France, they are intensifying measures to save electricity – they will restrict light advertising and prohibit stores with air conditioners to keep their doors open, said Minister of Energy Transformation Agnès Pannier-Runache. 

All new proposals to diversify supplies, even the most exotic ones, are in circulation. For example, Matthew Baldwin, deputy director general of the European Commission’s energy department, said that the EU is looking to arrange additional gas supplies from Nigeria. Baldwin said that the EU imports 14% of its total LNG supplies from Nigeria, and there is the potential to more than double this figure. 

Oil and gas production in Nigeria is limited by theft and pipeline vandalism, leaving the terminal of gas producer Nigeria LNG Ltd. on Bonny Island operating at 60% capacity. But if supplies rise to at least 80 percent, it will make Europe feel more secure. 

Hot and cold weather will continue to weigh on the natural gas market

Gas market prices in Europe rose to $1,700 per 1,000 cubic meters last week. The Nord Stream 1 pipeline is up, and running, but it is pumping about 40 percent of its operating capacity, roughly the same as before the shutdown for maintenance. The Siemens turbine has not yet arrived in Russia, which leaves some risk of further low pumping. 

Europe’s UGS capacity was 66.24% as of July 23, increasing by 3.7% over the week. EU members oppose the EU’s demand for a 15% reduction in gas consumption. Germany raised its gas storage target to 95% for the Nov. 1 state. 

In the US, the Henry Hub (CME futures) gas price continued to rise to $8.299/mmbtu ($297 per 1,000 cubic meters) amid a supply shortfall due to accidents, seasonally higher consumption and high export demand. Natural gas inventories in U.S. natural gas storage facilities continued to grow, but the rate of growth slowed significantly due to rising consumption. On a year-over-year basis, storage inventories as of July 15 remained 10.1% below year-ago levels and 12.09% below the level of the past five years. 

The price of natural gas in Asia on a JKM basis fell slightly to $38.09/mmBTU, or $1,460 per 1,000 cubic meters. Japanese and Taiwanese buyers are once again entering the spot natural gas market with purchases for the coming winter. Japan’s LNG imports for the first six months of 2022 were 3.5% lower than in the same period in 2021. China has also reduced purchases due to coronavirus restrictions. 

The oil and gas markets will remain tight in the near term. Prices will directly depend on the supply situation, but they are not expected to ease any time soon. Demand will continue to rise with the coming hottest summer month (August), and gas pumping into storage facilities will increase pressure on the market. 

Pressure from both sides will stabilize the price 

The European gas market showed a slight increase on Monday, from $1,690 to 1715 per 1000 cubic meters. It continues the recent technical correction after a slight drop from $1,900 to $1,500 at the start of last week. 

The natural gas market price is under pressure from opposing strong factors. Its marked “descent” for energy carriers after the June panic is connected not only with the current conjuncture, but also with the growing fears of the impending recession in Europe and the USA. At the same time, high inflation (8.6% in the eurozone and 9.1% in the United States) and higher central bank interest rates are hindering economic growth. 

The eurozone is in a tricky situation, with prices rising from 8.6% to 8.7%. This could be perceived as an increase in inflationary expectations, which would also affect the growth of gas prices. Its price, by the way, is also supported by previous fears of a physical shortage of gas for autumn-winter in Europe due to insufficient supplies. 

Thus, the combination of multidirectional, strong and little predictable drivers of gas quotations will keep them in the same established range of $1,500-1,900 this week. 


Commodities

Gold prices edge up, remains pressured by strong dollar after hawkish Fed

letizo News

Published

on

Investing.com– Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday, extending their tepid performance as investors still remained cautious with the rising dollar following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt.

Traders also refrained from placing large bets ahead of a shortened trading week due to the Christmas holiday.

inched up 0.2% to $2,616.95 per ounce, while expiring in February ticked up 0.2% to $2,633.89 an ounce.

The yellow metal had inched up 0.3% on Monday, after losing more than 1% in the previous week, reflecting uncertainty about the metal’s outlook.

Bullion under pressure on Fed rate outlook

Gold prices had hit a one-month low on Wednesday, as the Fed meeting indicated that rates will remain higher for a longer period after Wednesday’s cut. 

Prices have failed to fully recover from it and have seen subdued moves as investors still assessed the implications of the Fed’s rate outlook. 

Higher interest rates put downward pressure on gold as, as the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds.

Traders are now expecting only two quarter-point reductions in 2025 amid continued economic resilience and still-elevated inflation. This compares to expectations of four rate cuts before the Fed meeting.

Strong dollar creates downward pressure on gold, other metals

The Fed’s hawkish shift provided renewed strength to the U.S. dollar, as higher interest rates make the greenback more attractive due to increased returns on dollar-denominated assets.

The  rose 0.1% in Asia hours on Tuesday and hovered near a two-year high it reached last week.

A stronger dollar often weighs on gold prices as it makes the yellow metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Other precious metals were largely muted. inched up 1.2% to $960.15 an ounce, while gained 0.3% to $30.265 an ounce.

Copper subdued on strong dollar, seasonal factors

Among industrial metals, copper prices were subdued and moved within tight ranges on Tuesday as a strong greenback weighed on the red metal.

Analysts attributed the weakness in copper to seasonal sluggishness as industrial production and construction projects often slow down as businesses and projects prepare for year-end closures and holidays.

Benchmark on the London Metal Exchange were largely unchanged at $8,954.50 a ton, while one-month were 0.5% higher at $4.1045 a pound.

Continue Reading

Commodities

Oil prices extend gains on fresh China stimulus measures, declining US inventories

letizo News

Published

on

Investing.com– Oil prices continued their uptrend in Asian Trade on Thursday after the Christmas holiday, bolstered by new stimulus measures in China and a drop in inventories.

At 06:01 ET (05:01 GMT), traded 0.5% higher to $73.97 a barrel, and also gained 0.5% to $70.01 a barrel.

Volumes were expected to be thin for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week.

Oil had risen more than 1% on Tuesday, and extended gains on Thursday after reports emerged around fresh stimulus measures from China. 

China’s fresh stimulus measures support oil prices

Chinese authorities have decided to issue a record-breaking 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, in an intensified fiscal effort to stimulate a struggling economy, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

Moreover, China is allowing local officials to broaden investments with key government bonds and simplifying approvals, permitting projects unless restricted by a cabinet-published list, to better utilize public funding for economic growth, a government document showed on Wednesday.

China’s economic growth is a key factor influencing global oil prices due to its status as the largest oil importer. When China’s economy thrives, its demand for crude oil rises to fuel industries, transportation, and other energy-intensive activities, often driving up oil prices. 

China’s economic recovery post-COVID-19 has faced significant hurdles, including weakening consumer confidence, faltering export demand, and a beleaguered property sector.

To counter the slowdown, Beijing has implemented several stimulus measures aimed at reviving growth.

Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst at Rakuten Securities, noted that oil prices are also being supported by anticipation of higher fossil fuel production and demand once U.S. President-elect Donald Trump assumes office next month.

US crude inventories shrink- API

US oil inventories fell by 3.2 million barrels during the week ended Dec. 20, media reports showed on Wednesday, citing the (API) data.

Gasoline inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels last week, while distillate inventories—which include diesel and heating oil—fell by about 2.5 million barrels.

The figures come ahead of data from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, due on Friday.

A Reuters poll on Tuesday projected that crude oil inventories likely declined by approximately 1.9 million barrels in the week ending December 20, with gasoline stocks expected to drop by 1.1 million barrels and distillate inventories by 0.3 million barrels.

Ayushman Ojha contributed to this report.

Continue Reading

Commodities

Gold prices rise on slightly weaker dollar, geopolitical tensions

letizo News

Published

on

Investing.com– Gold prices were higher in premarket trade on Thursday due to a slightly weaker dollar as markets returned to trading after the Christmas holiday, while gains were limited as investors remained cautious following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt.

Traders also refrained from placing large bets in a holiday-shortened week, resulting in thin trade volumes.

rose around 0.4% to $2,626.53 per ounce, while expiring in February ticked up 0.2% to $2,641.6 an ounce by 07:55 am ET (12:55 GMT).

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also contributed to bullion’s gains. 

The Palestinian militant group Hamas and Israel accused each other on Wednesday of hindering a ceasefire deal, with Hamas blaming Israel for imposing additional conditions and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu alleging Hamas reneged on prior understandings.

Gold is seen as a safe haven asset amid uncertainties in the market.

US dollar weakens but remains nears 2-yr high

The has edged higher on Thursday but hovered near a two-year high it touched last week.

The Fed’s hawkish shift last week provided renewed strength to the dollar, as higher interest rates make the greenback more attractive due to increased returns on dollar-denominated assets.

A stronger dollar often weighs on gold prices as it makes the yellow metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Gold prices fell sharply last week after the Fed policy meeting indicated that rates will remain higher for a longer period.

Higher interest rates put downward pressure on gold as, as the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds

The yellow metal has seen marginal moves this week, after losing more than 1% in the previous week, reflecting uncertainty about the metal’s outlook

Other precious were mixed on Thursday. declined 0.3% to $957.70 an ounce, while rose by 0.1% to $30.31 an ounce.

Copper edges up on China stimulus, strong dollar caps gains

Among industrial metals, prices gained after a Reuters report showed that Chinese authorities plan to issue a record-breaking 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, in an intensified fiscal effort to stimulate a struggling economy.

The red metal failed to fully capitalize on this news, as a strong dollar weighed.

Analysts also attributed the weakness in copper to seasonal sluggishness as industrial production and construction projects often slow down as businesses and projects prepare for year-end closures and holidays.

The most-traded January copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE)  rose 0.2% to 74,220 yuan a ton.

Benchmark copper contracts on the London Metal Exchange were closed on Thursday for the holiday.

Continue Reading

Trending

©2021-2024 Letizo All Rights Reserved