Commodities
Gold prices slide as dollar surges on easing rate cut expectations
© Reuters.
Investing.com– Gold prices fell in Asian trade on Monday, extending losses from the prior week as a mix of strong labor market data and hawkish Federal Reserve signals saw markets dial back expectations for early interest rate cuts.
The yellow metal fell sharply from highs above $2,050 an ounce, as the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates heralded more near-term pressure. The dollar shot up to a near two-month high on Monday, while Treasury yields also advanced in Asian trade.
In contrast, fell 0.4% to $2,031.60 an ounce, while expiring in April fell 0.3% to $2,047.75 an ounce by 00:27 ET (05:27 GMT).
Gold loses ground after nonfarm payrolls, Powell comments
Losses in gold were initially triggered by a substantially stronger-than-expected reading for January, which showed continued resilience in the world’s largest economy- which gives the Fed more headroom to keep rates higher for longer.
Then, said in a late-Sunday interview that the bank will remain prudent in considering any monetary loosening this year, and that resilience in the U.S. economy gives it more room to keep rates higher for longer.
His comments largely reiterated the Fed’s stance that it was in no hurry to begin loosening policy, and saw traders further scale back bets on early interest rate cuts.
The showed traders having now almost entirely negated bets on a March rate cut, and were sharply paring bets on a May rate cut. Several analysts also said that they only expect the bank to begin trimming rates by June.
The prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates bodes poorly for gold, given that higher rates push up the opportunity cost of buying bullion.
Still, the yellow metal has seen some support in recent sessions from increased safe haven demand, especially amid a worsening conflict in the Middle East.
Gold has so far largely retained the $2,000 an ounce level, and spot prices are still within sight of record highs hit in late-2023.
Copper buoyed by Chilean supply concerns
Among industrial metals, copper prices rose slightly on Monday, amid concerns over potential supply disruptions in Chile, stemming from deadly wildfires in the South American country.
expiring in March rose 0.3% to $3.8293 a pound.
Chile is the world’s largest producer of copper, with any potential disruptions in supply from the country serving to potentially tighten global copper markets. But the worst of the forest fires appeared to situated well away from the country’s biggest copper mines, raising questions over just how much supply disruption would come from the fires.
Any further gains in copper were also held back by persistent concerns over slowing demand in top importer China, as the country struggles with a sluggish post-COVID economic recovery.
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US oil and gas rig count falls to lowest since Dec 2021, Baker Hughes says
By Scott DiSavino
(Reuters) – U.S. energy firms this week cut the number of oil and rigs operating for a third week in a row to the lowest since December 2021, energy services firm Baker Hughes (NASDAQ:) said in its closely followed report on Friday.
The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, fell by four to 576 in the week to Jan. 24.
Baker Hughes said this week’s decline puts the total rig count down 45, or 7% below this time last year.
Baker Hughes said oil rigs fell by six to 472 this week, their lowest since December 2021, while gas rigs rose by one to 99.
In the Permian Basin in West Texas and eastern New Mexico, the nation’s biggest oil-producing shale basin, the rig count fell by six in the week to 298, the lowest since February 2022.
That six-rig decline in the Permian was the biggest weekly drop since August 2023.
The oil and gas rig count declined by about 5% in 2024 and 20% in 2023 as lower U.S. oil and gas prices over the past couple of years prompted energy firms to focus more on paying down debt and boosting shareholder returns rather than raising output.
Even though analysts forecast U.S. spot crude prices could decline for a third year in a row in 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projected crude output would rise from a record 13.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024 to around 13.6 million bpd in 2025.
On the gas side, the EIA projected a 43% increase in spot gas prices in 2025 would prompt producers to boost drilling activity this year after a 14% price drop in 2024 caused several energy firms to cut output for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic reduced demand for the fuel in 2020. [NGAS/POLL]
The EIA projected gas output would rise to 104.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2025, up from 103.1 bcfd in 2024 and a record 103.6 bcfd in 2023.
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