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Metal lead price as of today: lead not heavy enough to rise in price

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london metal exchange lead price

Heavy metal prices rose by 4% only during the last trading session, but even that is not enough to offset the 14% decline since the beginning of 2022. At the end of the previous trading session, the London metal exchange lead price rose by 3.57% to $1,993 per ton. 

At the same time, according to TradeEconomics, lead has fallen by $322.75/ton, or 13.81% since the beginning of 2022. The outlook for the metal is heavily influenced by expectations of a recession in the global economy, which will reduce consumption of industrial metals in general. There was also a rise in lead metal prices in India. 

Metal lead price adjustment

80% of modern lead is used in the manufacture of batteries. Lead is also often used to clad tanks where corrosive liquids are stored, and as protection against X-rays and gamma rays. Australia, China and the United States are the largest producers of lead, followed by Peru, Canada, Mexico, Sweden, Morocco, South Africa and North Korea. 

Lead is also used in the construction industry and in the manufacture of munitions, fuel tanks, and pipelines. Because of its catalytic properties, lead is also used to convert chemical energy into electrical energy. However, in addition to all these advantages, lead has one significant disadvantage: It is very harmful to human health.

Lead will remain under pressure

After plummeting in June, the price dynamics on the market stabilized. Since early July, the price of LME lead futures has risen by 4.8% m/m to $1,998.5 per ton.

June saw an improvement in the Chinese auto market, which supported the lead market. Auto sales rose 23.8% YoY to 2.502 million units. Production was up 28.2% y/y to 2.499 million (CAAM data). This boosted demand for batteries and the secondary supply of lead.

In Europe and the U.S., the market for the metal remains tight – influenced by declining production due to expensive energy. Also, lower car production is limiting consumption. Auto sales in the EU fell 15.4% in June to a record low for the month (ACEA). Supply chain problems continue to limit car production.

At the same time, lead premiums in the European and American markets remained high and consumption in Europe showed a slight rebound –

Metal inventories at the LME are down 0.8% since the beginning of July, while lead prices at the Shanghai metal exchange are up 14.1%. 

In the coming months, the lead market will remain under selling pressure due to the mass exodus of investors from the commodity markets because of changes in regulatory policies and expectations of a slowdown of the global economy. We can expect a small recovery in prices by the end of the year due to seasonal factors. 

Metal lead price adjustment: Market is waiting for macroeconomic signals

Conditions were not too positive on Tuesday, July 19, before the opening of lead trading in London. Copper prices are down 0.5%, and European stock indices are also down 0.6-0.7%. All this suggests that the three-day bounce in lead prices of 8.5% from 1840 to 1998 dollars per ton we’ve seen since last Thursday will be interrupted today by a sensitive 0.5-0.7% drop in prices.

The main negative sentiment in the lead market continues to be fears of a global recession, exacerbated by persistent outbreaks of SOVID-19 in China. Given the zero tolerance policy of the Chinese authorities, this leads to expecting a double decrease in demand – both because of the global economic slowdown and, additionally, because of the epidemiological stoppages in the economy of the world’s largest consumer of lead (China accounts for 40% of global consumption of this metal).

Likely the reduction of lead prices will continue at least to the level of $1,600 per ton. This is another minus 20% from the current level of 1998 dollars per ton. This week, we can expect quotations to test last week’s lows of $1,850-1900 a ton again, and next week, in case this zone is broken down, the fall to the mid-term target will go on.



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Oil set for third weekly decline, pressured by Gaza ceasefire hopes

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By Laila Kearney and Georgina McCartney

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices slipped on Friday and were on track for a third consecutive weekly decline, pressured by muted demand in China and hopes of a Gaza ceasefire deal that could ease Middle East tensions and accompanying supply concerns.

futures for September dipped 56 cents to $81.81 a barrel by 1250 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for September fell 40 cents to $77.88.

For the week, Brent is trading down almost 1% while WTI is down more than 2%.

Recent data, such as July 20 figures showing that China’s total fuel oil imports dropped 11% in the first half of 2024, have raised concern about the wider demand outlook in China.

In the Middle East, hopes of a ceasefire in Gaza have been gaining momentum.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows oil tanks of Transneft oil pipeline operator at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo

A ceasefire has been the subject of negotiations for months, but U.S. officials believe the parties are closer than ever to an agreement for a six-week ceasefire in exchange for the release by Hamas of female, sick, elderly and wounded hostages.

Oil price declines were capped, however, by threats to production from Canadian wildfires, a large stocks draw and continued hopes of a September cut to U.S. interest rates after strong economic data, said PVM oil analyst Tamas Varga.

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Oil prices fall; set for weekly losses on demand concerns

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Investing.com– Oil prices fell Friday, on course for a third consecutive losing week as concerns over sluggish demand conditions in Asia weighed.

At 09:00 ET (13:00 GMT), fell 0.9% to $81.62 a barrel, and dropped 0.8% to $77.66 a barrel.

Crude set for third straight week of losses

Both benchmarks are on course for another losing week, the third in succession, with down just under 1% and WTI nearly 3% lower.

Persistent concerns over slowing growth and demand in top importer China have been the dominant factor, part triggered by GDP data from last week, which showed the Chinese economy grew less than expected in the second quarter.

Additionally, more data this week showed the country’s apparent oil demand fell 8.1% to 13.66 million barrels per day in June.

Beijing unexpectedly cut a swathe of lending rates this week, further trying to loosen monetary policy amid growing concerns over sluggish growth. 

Apart from China, uncertainty over Japan also grew following middling , while weak activity data in Europe also pointed to economic woes.  

Gaza ceasefire in focus

Also weighing on the crude market have been increasing hopes of a ceasefire in Gaza.

The leaders of Australia, New Zealand and Canada called for an immediate ceasefire in a joint statement on Friday, while U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris has pressed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to help efforts at reaching a deal, striking a tougher tone than President Joe Biden.

A ceasefire has been talked about for months, but if it was to occur then some of the risk premium could be removed from the market.

Strong US GDP, rate cut hopes offer some support 

On the flip side,  data, released on Thursday, showed that the U.S. economy grew more than expected in the second quarter, despite pressure from high rates and relatively sticky inflation.

The reading drove up hopes that the world’s biggest fuel consumer was headed for a “soft landing,” where economic growth remained steady while inflation eased. 

These hopes were also lifted by the data showing overall U.S. inflation cooled as expected in June.

According to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the  (PCE) price index slipped to 2.5% in June, from 2.6% the prior month. .

Stripping out volatile items like food and fuel, the year-on-year “core” gauge, widely known as the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, remained at 2.6%, only marginally above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

This sparked increased optimism over a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

Data showing steady drawdowns in U.S. also offered some positive cues to oil markets, as fuel demand in the country remained robust amid the travel-heavy summer season. 

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

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Canadian wildfire reaches Jasper, firefighters battle to protect oil pipeline

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(Reuters) -A wildfire reached the Canadian town of Jasper, Alberta on Wednesday, one of hundreds ravaging the western provinces of Alberta and British Columbia, as firefighters battled to save key facilities such as the Trans Mountain Pipeline, authorities said.

Wildfires burning uncontrolled across the region include 433 in British Columbia and 176 in Alberta, more than a dozen of them in the area of Fort McMurray, an oil sands hub.

The pipeline, which can carry 890,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil from Edmonton to Vancouver, runs through a national park in the Canadian Rockies near the picturesque tourist town, from which about 25,000 people were forced to evacuate on Tuesday.

“Firefighters … are working to save as many structures as possible and protect critical infrastructure, including the wastewater treatment plant, communications facilities, the Trans Mountain Pipeline,” Parks Canada said in a post on Facebook (NASDAQ:).

The pipeline operator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment, but said earlier it was safely operating the pipeline and had deployed sprinkler protection as a preventive measure.

In the day’s last update, Jasper National Park said it could not report on the extent of damage to specific locations or neighbourhoods, and that it would provide further updates on Thursday.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said his government approved Alberta’s request for federal assistance.

“We’re deploying Canadian Armed Forces resources, evacuations support, and more emergency wildfire resources to the province immediately – and we’re coordinating firefighting and airlift assistance. Alberta, we’re with you.”

The town, and the park, which draws more than two million tourists a year, were evacuated on Monday night, at a time when officials estimated there were 15,000 visitors in the park.

© Reuters. Smoke rises from the Lower Campbell Creek wildfire (K51472) wildfire northwest of Beaverdell, British Columbia, Canada July 24, 2024.   BC Wildfire Service/Handout via REUTERS.

Deteriorating air quality forced firefighters and others lacking breathing equipment to evacuate to the town of Hinton, about 100 km (62 miles) away, park authorities said on Facebook on Wednesday evening.

Officials of Parks Canada earlier said they expected rain to arrive overnight.

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