Commodities
Scholz confirms Germany’s intention to buy 30% of Uniper shares
Gas crisis forces EU governments to use this mechanism more and more often.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz at a press conference in Berlin, said that the German government will buy 30% of the shares of the energy concern Uniper to save the company during the financial crisis amid falling gas supplies from Russia, reports the German newspaper Hadelsblatt.
According to him, the shareholders and the Finnish government have informed the German authorities about the agreement. Uniper shares will be bought back at a face value of 1.7 euros per share, he said. In total, the government will buy back about 157 million common shares worth 267 billion euros.
It is also specified that the German government will finance the company for 7.7 billion euros as part of aid to Uniper in the financial crisis. Also, the state development bank (Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau, KfW) will have to increase the amount of loans from 2 billion to 9 billion euros.
The government also noted that 90% of the additional costs for the company to purchase more expensive energy from other suppliers will be distributed among consumers. The mechanism will come into force on October 1. According to the chancellor, the fee will cost each family of four about 200-300 euros a year.
In early July, Uniper, in which the Finnish company Fortum owned a 78 percent stake, asked the German government for help. After Gazprom cut its gas through Nord Stream by 60%, the company began buying hydrocarbons from alternative suppliers at prices significantly higher than those specified in its contract with the Russian supplier.
Fortum of Finland will hold 56% of the shares and will maintain its status as the power concern’s blocking shareholder upon completion of the deal.
Uniper is the majority owner of the Russian power generating company Unipro, owning 83.73% of its shares. Uniper started the process of selling its stake in Unipro at the end of last year, but it was halted this spring. The company said it would continue the process of selling its stake in the Russian asset as soon as possible.
Uniper is Germany’s largest importer of Russian gas
July 18, Reuters reported that the concern has received a letter from Gazprom with a message of force majeure circumstances on the supply of gas from June 14. The agency specified that Gazprom explained the inability to meet contractual obligations to export gas “extraordinary circumstances beyond its control”. Uniper said the statement was unfounded and officially denied force majeure.
According to Reuters, Gazprom has also sent a similar letter to RWE. In mid-June, exports of Russian gas through the pipeline Nord Stream (55 billion cubic meters of gas per year) decreased by 40% because of problems with the equipment being repaired in Canada. On July 21, Nord Stream resumed its flow, but only 40 percent of the pipeline was used.
The German government is implementing a “soft” nationalization scenario for Uniper
The German government agreed on a project for the nationalization of energy companies back on July 5, which, however, did not point to Uniper directly at that time. Now we are talking about nationalization of the stake in the company with compensation of its value to shareholders. De jure, the transfer of shares in state ownership is formalized as a market transaction, but Uniper could not fail to sell its shares.
Against the background of the energy crisis, similar mechanisms of nationalization of the infrastructure of oil and gas companies may be used in other EU countries in relation to other market players.
In late June, the German Finance Ministry came up with the initiative to nationalize the German part of the gas pipeline Nord Stream – 2 (designed capacity – 55 billion cubic meters per year), reported Spiegel, citing sources.
But the acquisition of Uniper by the German government should be seen more as an anti-crisis management than as a new, deliberate change in state policy. The energy market in the EU in general and Germany in particular is in crisis not only because of the decline of gas supplies from Russia: it is also affected by a sharp increase in spot prices, to which long-term contracts were tied, the lack of available volumes on the market, the decline of own production in the EU and a lot of other factors.
In Europe, spot gas prices remain high. On July 22, the TTF hub in the Netherlands had an August futures price of about $1,700 per 1000 cubic meters.
Commodities
Gold prices edge up, remains pressured by strong dollar after hawkish Fed
Investing.com– Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday, extending their tepid performance as investors still remained cautious with the rising dollar following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt.
Traders also refrained from placing large bets ahead of a shortened trading week due to the Christmas holiday.
inched up 0.2% to $2,616.95 per ounce, while expiring in February ticked up 0.2% to $2,633.89 an ounce.
The yellow metal had inched up 0.3% on Monday, after losing more than 1% in the previous week, reflecting uncertainty about the metal’s outlook.
Bullion under pressure on Fed rate outlook
Gold prices had hit a one-month low on Wednesday, as the Fed meeting indicated that rates will remain higher for a longer period after Wednesday’s cut.
Prices have failed to fully recover from it and have seen subdued moves as investors still assessed the implications of the Fed’s rate outlook.
Higher interest rates put downward pressure on gold as, as the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds.
Traders are now expecting only two quarter-point reductions in 2025 amid continued economic resilience and still-elevated inflation. This compares to expectations of four rate cuts before the Fed meeting.
Strong dollar creates downward pressure on gold, other metals
The Fed’s hawkish shift provided renewed strength to the U.S. dollar, as higher interest rates make the greenback more attractive due to increased returns on dollar-denominated assets.
The rose 0.1% in Asia hours on Tuesday and hovered near a two-year high it reached last week.
A stronger dollar often weighs on gold prices as it makes the yellow metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Other precious metals were largely muted. inched up 1.2% to $960.15 an ounce, while gained 0.3% to $30.265 an ounce.
Copper subdued on strong dollar, seasonal factors
Among industrial metals, copper prices were subdued and moved within tight ranges on Tuesday as a strong greenback weighed on the red metal.
Analysts attributed the weakness in copper to seasonal sluggishness as industrial production and construction projects often slow down as businesses and projects prepare for year-end closures and holidays.
Benchmark on the London Metal Exchange were largely unchanged at $8,954.50 a ton, while one-month were 0.5% higher at $4.1045 a pound.
Commodities
Oil prices extend gains on fresh China stimulus measures, declining US inventories
Investing.com– Oil prices continued their uptrend in Asian Trade on Thursday after the Christmas holiday, bolstered by new stimulus measures in China and a drop in inventories.
At 06:01 ET (05:01 GMT), traded 0.5% higher to $73.97 a barrel, and also gained 0.5% to $70.01 a barrel.
Volumes were expected to be thin for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week.
Oil had risen more than 1% on Tuesday, and extended gains on Thursday after reports emerged around fresh stimulus measures from China.
China’s fresh stimulus measures support oil prices
Chinese authorities have decided to issue a record-breaking 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, in an intensified fiscal effort to stimulate a struggling economy, Reuters reported on Tuesday.
Moreover, China is allowing local officials to broaden investments with key government bonds and simplifying approvals, permitting projects unless restricted by a cabinet-published list, to better utilize public funding for economic growth, a government document showed on Wednesday.
China’s economic growth is a key factor influencing global oil prices due to its status as the largest oil importer. When China’s economy thrives, its demand for crude oil rises to fuel industries, transportation, and other energy-intensive activities, often driving up oil prices.
China’s economic recovery post-COVID-19 has faced significant hurdles, including weakening consumer confidence, faltering export demand, and a beleaguered property sector.
To counter the slowdown, Beijing has implemented several stimulus measures aimed at reviving growth.
Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst at Rakuten Securities, noted that oil prices are also being supported by anticipation of higher fossil fuel production and demand once U.S. President-elect Donald Trump assumes office next month.
US crude inventories shrink- API
US oil inventories fell by 3.2 million barrels during the week ended Dec. 20, media reports showed on Wednesday, citing the (API) data.
Gasoline inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels last week, while distillate inventories—which include diesel and heating oil—fell by about 2.5 million barrels.
The figures come ahead of data from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, due on Friday.
A Reuters poll on Tuesday projected that crude oil inventories likely declined by approximately 1.9 million barrels in the week ending December 20, with gasoline stocks expected to drop by 1.1 million barrels and distillate inventories by 0.3 million barrels.
Ayushman Ojha contributed to this report.
Commodities
Gold prices rise on slightly weaker dollar, geopolitical tensions
Investing.com– Gold prices were higher in premarket trade on Thursday due to a slightly weaker dollar as markets returned to trading after the Christmas holiday, while gains were limited as investors remained cautious following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt.
Traders also refrained from placing large bets in a holiday-shortened week, resulting in thin trade volumes.
rose around 0.4% to $2,626.53 per ounce, while expiring in February ticked up 0.2% to $2,641.6 an ounce by 07:55 am ET (12:55 GMT).
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also contributed to bullion’s gains.
The Palestinian militant group Hamas and Israel accused each other on Wednesday of hindering a ceasefire deal, with Hamas blaming Israel for imposing additional conditions and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu alleging Hamas reneged on prior understandings.
Gold is seen as a safe haven asset amid uncertainties in the market.
US dollar weakens but remains nears 2-yr high
The has edged higher on Thursday but hovered near a two-year high it touched last week.
The Fed’s hawkish shift last week provided renewed strength to the dollar, as higher interest rates make the greenback more attractive due to increased returns on dollar-denominated assets.
A stronger dollar often weighs on gold prices as it makes the yellow metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Gold prices fell sharply last week after the Fed policy meeting indicated that rates will remain higher for a longer period.
Higher interest rates put downward pressure on gold as, as the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds
The yellow metal has seen marginal moves this week, after losing more than 1% in the previous week, reflecting uncertainty about the metal’s outlook
Other precious were mixed on Thursday. declined 0.3% to $957.70 an ounce, while rose by 0.1% to $30.31 an ounce.
Copper edges up on China stimulus, strong dollar caps gains
Among industrial metals, prices gained after a Reuters report showed that Chinese authorities plan to issue a record-breaking 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, in an intensified fiscal effort to stimulate a struggling economy.
The red metal failed to fully capitalize on this news, as a strong dollar weighed.
Analysts also attributed the weakness in copper to seasonal sluggishness as industrial production and construction projects often slow down as businesses and projects prepare for year-end closures and holidays.
The most-traded January copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) rose 0.2% to 74,220 yuan a ton.
Benchmark copper contracts on the London Metal Exchange were closed on Thursday for the holiday.
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