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Bitcoin (BTC) Miner Capitulation Minimal: Hash Ribbon Analysis Offers Hope Amid Dip

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Before the green light for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the crypto sphere anticipated a bullish surge. Even with the leading asset surpassing the $49,000 mark after the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) green signal for 11 spot BTC ETFs, prices took a downturn following the trading debut of eight of them.

Hovering below $43,000, Bitcoin appears to have been trapped within a tight trading range for more than two weeks now. As such, miners resorted to offloading a significant amount of their BTC holdings. Despite this, data suggest that concerns regarding capitulation appear to be minimal.

No Death Cross Detected

Mining rewards represent the main income stream for miners, making up over 80% of their earnings. If the price of Bitcoin drops or the hash rate goes up, leading to higher mining expenses such as electricity and time, miners could encounter significant difficulties. As a result, they are generally more responsive to market changes than investors, yet they also exhibit stronger resilience.

CryptoQuant’s Hash Ribbon, which analyzes the Hashrate 30DMA and 60DMA to detect miner capitulation and market rebound, hasn’t shown a death cross despite the recent downward adjustment.

By examining previous bear market lows and bottoms where miner capitulation selling occurred at an MPI index level of 4.0, the on-chain intelligence platform concluded that the current adjustment doesn’t indicate miner capitulation.

BTC Miners Hash Ribbons. Source: CryptoQuant
BTC Miners Hash Ribbons. Source: CryptoQuant

However, the MPI experienced a notable uptick in 2023, largely due to mining industry efforts to sell the leading asset to ease financial strain during the bear market. Alongside the Bitcoin ETF rally, miners offloaded significant amounts of BTC in January 2024, possibly as a proactive measure ahead of future halving events.

Based on the Hash Ribbon analysis, CryptoQuant found that worries about capitulation seem insignificant. Moreover, it appears that miners have already raked in sufficient profits and bolstered their financial standing. This implies that miners are equipped to endure possible further corrections in the Bitcoin market down the line.

Offloading Bitcoin Stash

Bitcoin miners witnessed substantial profits in 2023 due to a surge in transaction fees, which have reached their highest levels since April 2021, primarily driven by increased demand for Ordinals inscriptions.

The positive market momentum throughout this year has provided a significant recovery for miners, offsetting the challenges faced during the unfavorable conditions of 2022. With the market recovery in the latter part of 2023, miners offloaded a significant amount of their stash.

Leading up to the much-anticipated introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs, the sell-off by Bitcoin miners continued. This increased selling activity was expected to have notable effects on the market. Even short-term Bitcoin investors joined in the selling. However, unlike miners who were capitalizing on profits, these short-term holders were selling at a loss.

However, Bitcoin whales likely viewed this as an advantageous buying opportunity, leading them to acquire the asset being sold by short-term investors. As a result, the market remained relatively stable despite the ongoing selling activity.

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Cryptocurrency

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Enters Consolidation Phase After 16% Weekly Drop

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Cardano is navigating a pivotal price range, bounded by the $0.75 and $1.3 thresholds, with its recent price action underscoring a successful pullback to the previously breached $0.75 support.

The outcome of a breakout from this range will likely set the tone for its next significant market direction.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Cardano has recently encountered a rejection at the $1.3 resistance level, triggering heightened volatility and a descending retracement phase. As a result, the price settled at the $0.75 support zone, which coincides with a significant prior yearly swing high and is laden with demand and buying interest. This support has halted further downside momentum, keeping ADA confined within the $0.75-$1.3 range.

This consolidation phase suggests a build-up of market pressure, with the potential for a decisive breakout on either side. A bullish breakout above $1.3 would signal the initiation of a sustained uptrend, while a bearish breakdown below $0.75 could result in a significant liquidation cascade, pushing the price toward lower support levels.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the shorter timeframe, Cardano’s price action has been shaped by a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often indicates a potential bullish breakout if the upper boundary is breached. Currently, the asset is hovering around the wedge’s lower boundary, near the $0.75 support zone, where increased buying interest is evident. This area is further reinforced by the critical 0.5 ($0.82)-0.618 ($0.7) Fibonacci retracement levels, solidifying it as a formidable barrier against further selling pressure.

In the mid-term, ADA is anticipated to continue consolidating within this wedge pattern while maintaining its position above these key Fibonacci levels. A bullish breakout from the wedge could pave the way for an advance toward the $1.3 resistance. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the wedge’s lower boundary might trigger a deeper decline, with the $0.5 threshold emerging as the next significant support level.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Binance Prevents Over $129M From Being Lost to Scams in 2024 via AI and ML

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Crypto exchange giant Binance reportedly stopped more than $129 million from being lost to criminals in 2024.

In its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative end-of-year report, the company outlined how it deployed cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to transform digital asset security from reactive measures to proactive defense strategies.

Anti-Scam Initiative

According to the report, on average, the company processed about 80 successful fund recoveries monthly, totaling to about $9 million of stolen funds returned to victims in 2024. Additionally, it revealed that it made over 30,000 phone calls to warn potential targets of likely scams, with at least 15,000 alerts issued daily to platform users.

The initiative’s efforts resulted in no less than 47,000 malicious addresses being blacklisted and, as of November, more than $129 million in annual funds prevented from being swindled.

The key to Binance’s approach to stopping bad actors from stealing from its user base is a system that combines technological surveillance and human-centered support. In it, machine learning algorithms analyze complex transaction patterns in real-time, identifying potential criminal activities at super-fast speeds. It also employs AI-powered behavioral profiling to distinguish between legitimate user activity and potential illegal undertakings.

The firm reported that it developed more than 50 specialized models and implemented 14 major upgrades to outmaneuver the fraudsters’ increasingly sophisticated tactics.

Its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative operates through four pillars: proactive protection, 24-hour safety mechanisms, rapid response recovery, and support for silent victims. The one-day safety net allows users a cooling period for suspicious transactions, with funds moved to flagged accounts frozen to provide an opportunity for investigations and potential intervention.

Binance’s Wins Over Crypto Thieves

Since the beginning of the year, CryptoPotato has reported several incidents in which Binance’s intervention helped cryptocurrency users recover stolen funds. For instance, in October, the company aided Delhi police in taking down a digital asset scam ring in the city and recovering up to 100,000 USDT.

Earlier in September, the exchange’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) helped authorities in the same country crack a scheme in which user funds amounting to $47.6 million were stolen from an online gaming platform and siphoned into several digital wallets.

In August, the company announced that its risk management system had prevented more than $2.4 billion in losses from potential swindlers in the first half of 2024. About $1.1 billion of this was attributed to suspected criminal withdrawals, with another $73 million previously frozen due to external hacks.

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SOL Eyes $200 After 5% Daily Surge, BTC Calms at $95K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s declining trading volumes continue over the weekend as the asset has produced little to no actual price movements over the past day.

The altcoins have recovered some ground from the Saturday correction, with ETH above $3,400 and DOGE aiming at $0.33.

BTC Stalls at $95K

Last week’s correction erased much of BTC’s price gains charted in December as the asset plummeted to $92,000 on December 21. It managed to bounce off immediately and headed toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions since then = on December 22 and 26 – but to no avail.

Each attempt was met with a vicious rejection that pushed the cryptocurrency south by several grand. The last such movement came at the end of the business week, and BTC slumped toward $93,000.

It defended that level and jumped to $94,000 yesterday and $95,000 now. This is somewhat expected given the declining trading volumes as of late, which could actually be a blessing in disguise for BTC and other assets if whales continue to make big purchases.

For now, though, BTC’s market cap remains well below $1.9 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has been reduced to 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView

SOL, SUI Recover

Most altcoins suffered badly yesterday but have produced some minor increases over the past 24 hours. ETH has climbed above $3,400, XRP is close to $2.2, while BNB continues to defy the market sentiment with a 2.5% jump to $718.

Dogecoin has added over 3% of value and stands close to $0.33, while SOL and SUI have gained 5-6%. As a result, SOL now trades above $195, while SUI is north of $4.25.

Other notable gainers include HBAR, DOT, AAVE, APT, ICP, and PEPE.

The total crypto market cap has recovered about $50 billion since yesterday and is close to $3.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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