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Bitcoin ETF Aftermath: Is $50K Next? (BTC Price Analysis)

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Bitcoin’s price has undergone a consistent surge following the recent announcement of SEC ETF approval, reaching a crucial resistance region.

This price range includes the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the static resistance at $48K, presenting challenges in reclaiming this significant level.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

A comprehensive analysis of the daily chart reveals a sustained uptrend in the price, approaching a substantial resistance zone. It is defined by the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the critical $48K threshold, forming a robust barrier for Bitcoin buyers. A successful breakthrough in this crucial area could initiate a profound uptrend, potentially achieving a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin.

However, if sellers gain control, Bitcoin may enter a consolidation correction stage, with the price retracing towards the substantial support region. This support region includes the middle trendline of the channel, coinciding with the 100-day moving average at $38K, potentially halting further downward attempts.

btc_price_chart_1201241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart illustrates price consolidation within an ascending flag pattern, indicating a balance between sellers and buyers around this price range. However, the recent bullish sentiment stemming from the ETF approval news has led to a renewed uptrend, with the aim of breaching the upper boundary of the flag.

Currently, the price is experiencing heightened volatility as buyers and sellers engage in a struggle. A successful breakout could pave the way for a renewed and notable bullish movement.

However, considering the current market conditions, rejection is still possible, followed by retracement legs toward the substantial support at $38K, completing a necessary correction stage before the next impulsive move.

btc_price_chart_1201242
Source: TradingView

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

This chart depicts the Stablecoins(ERC20) Exchange Reserve metric, providing insight into the participants’ risk appetite and potential buying power.

The quantity of dollar-denominated stablecoins (ERC20) held on cryptocurrency exchanges initiated the year at approximately $18 billion and has recently surged to $20 billion this week. This influx of $2 billion underscores the capital flow entering the cryptocurrency market, influencing the current prices of altcoins.

The heightened interest in Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is anticipated to contribute further to the capital inflow into the entire crypto ecosystem. Although the trend has been on a decline since the conclusion of 2022, it has remained consistent throughout 2023.

btc_exchange_reserves_stablecoins_chart_1201241
Source: CryptoQuant

Looking ahead to 2024, considering the first-ever Bitcoin spot ETFs approval, there is a noticeable trend reversal, signaling a potential increase in risk appetite. This shift could ultimately benefit the digital asset market as a whole.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Top 10 RWA Cryptocurrencies by Development Activity: Details

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TL;DR

  • The leading token in the real-world asset (RWA) category shows higher development activity compared to its rivals.
  • Despite a recent dip in value, analysts are optimistic about a potential significant price rally for this asset in the near future.

This is the Winner

Real-world assets (RWA) represent certain physical assets, such as objects, properties, and others, and function on the blockchain through smart contracts. They have become quite popular lately, with a market capitalization equal to billions of dollars.

According to the market intelligence platform Sentiment, the token of that type that leads with the most development activity recorded in the past 30 days is Chainlink (LINK). 

“Chainlink currently produces 2.49x more daily activity than the next most active project, Synthetix, in the RWA sector,” the entity claimed.

Centrifuge (CFG), Dusk (DUSK), and Orai Chain (ORAI) rounded up the top 5 list.

“Santiment pulls notable github activity from project repositories via a back tested process to ensure only the team’s significant efforts to innovate and improve are included,” the platform explained.

LINK Price Predictions

Despite being down 10% on a two-week scale, multiple analysts remain optimistic that LINK’s value will experience a bull run in the near future

The popular X user Ali Martinez claimed that the TD (Tom DeMark) Sequential “is flashing buy signal on the Chainlink 12-hour chart.” He assumed LINK’s valuation could surge to $15.50 should it maintain above the critical resistance level of $13.87.

Michael van de Poppe was bullish, too, describing the token as one of the top 5 altcoins that can generate a 3x increase in BTC “with the lowest amount of risk.” 

Subsequently, CryptoWolf placed LINK on the list of “mooners” for the next bull cycle, while SlumDOGE Millionaire argued that it is one of the top “blue chip” cryptocurrencies at the moment.

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DOGE, SOL, AVAX Keep Plummeting as BTC Slumps Toward $62K (Market Watch)

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The positive price movements for bitcoin at the start of the business week were short-lived as the asset has lost over three grand since then and now struggles to remain above $62,000.

The altcoins are in no better state, with DOGE, SOL, and AVAX dropping by 5% or more in the past 24 hours.

BTC Drops Toward $62K

Bitcoin had a highly negative start to May that culminated last Wednesday with a price dump to a two-month low of $56,500. More volatility ensued when the US Fed said it would not raise the interest rates, but the actual recovery began at the end of last week.

BTC jumped to $59,500 before it initiated another leg up that drove it past $60,000 and $62,000 by Saturday. The gradual increases continued on Sunday, and bitcoin knocked on the $65,000 door.

After being stopped there at first, the cryptocurrency shot above it on Monday morning and tapped a 12-day peak of $65,500. However, it failed to maintain its run and started losing value rapidly.

This resulted in a price drop to $63,000, a brief bounce-off, and another decline in the past few hours to just over $62,000. Its market cap has dumped to $1.220 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts is up to almost 51%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 08.05.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 08.05.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Red

Most of the larger-cap altcoins have turned red on a daily scale. Ethereum, for instance, is down to $3,000 after a 3% decline. Binance Coin has dropped to $580, ADA is down to $0.44. while XRP is close to breaking below $0.5.

Even more painful losses come from the likes of Dogecoin, Avalanche, and Solana. All of these have dumped by 5-7% in a day.

Most lower- and mid-cap alts are in a similar state, with WIF (-11%), ZBC (-7.5%), JUP (-7.5%), SUI (-7%), and FLOKI (-7%) leading the adverse trend.

The total crypto market cap has dropped to $2.4 trillion. This means that the metric is down by $100 billion in a day and $150 billion since Monday’s peak.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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FTX Has Amassed More Money Than Needed for Repayments 

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FTX filed an amended Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement with the bankruptcy court on May 7 as part of its ongoing case.

The firm has proposed a way to repay creditors between $14.5 billion and $16.3 billion, which it has recovered from selling assets and consolidating funds from various entities. It owes customers and other non-governmental creditors about $11 billion.

This is billions of dollars more than it needs to cover what customers lost when the exchange collapsed in November 2022, and great news for creditors waiting for reimbursement.

FTX Back in The Black

“FTX has achieved this recovery level by monetizing an extraordinarily diverse collection of assets, most of which were proprietary investments held by the Alameda or FTX Ventures businesses, or litigation claims,” it stated in the announcement.

Under the proposed plan, 98% of FTX creditors with claims under $50,000 would receive around 118% of their allowed claims in cash within 60 days after the plan is approved.

Other non-governmental creditors would receive 100% of their allowed claims, plus potential additional interest payments of up to 9% from when FTX filed for bankruptcy.

FTX Chief Executive Officer John Ray said, “In any bankruptcy, this is just an unbelievable result.”

He added, “We are pleased to be in a position to propose a Chapter 11 plan that contemplates the return of 100% of bankruptcy claim amounts plus interest for non-governmental creditors.”

Additionally, FTX has reached settlements to resolve huge claims from the United States IRS (Internal Revenue Service) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

It aims to create a fund to provide supplemental payments to some creditors using recoveries that would have gone to regulators.

However, the payouts are still several months away as the firm finalizes its bankruptcy case.

Crypto Recovery

Much of that excess cash has been attributed to the recovery in cryptocurrency markets, particularly its heavy holdings such as Solana.

SOL prices have surged more than 1,100% since November 2022, when they fell below $12 in the wake of the exchange meltdown.

The asset is currently trading around $149, following a 4.5% decline on the day. SOL hit a 2024 high of $208 in mid-March but remains down 43% from its November 2021 peak price of $260.

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