Cryptocurrency
Can This Week’s Economic Data Lift Crypto Markets From Lethargy?
Crypto markets have remained sideways over the weekend with very little movement for the majors and total capitalization staying around $2.54 trillion where it has been for the past week.
There is a holiday on Wednesday in the US so stock markets will be closed and crypto markets are likely to be muted.
Nevertheless, retail sales data and PMI (purchasing managers index) reports may shed some light on the direction of economic recovery.
Economic Calendar June 17-21
May’s retail sales reports are due on Tuesday, providing information on consumer spending on durable and non-durable goods, which helps gauge the economy’s health, consumer spending habits, and demand-side inflation pressures.
U.S. industrial production reports are also due on May 18, but these have little impact on wider market and trading activity.
Key Events This Week:
1. May Retail Sales data – Tuesday
2. Stock Market Closed, Juneteenth – Wednesday
3. June Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – Thursday
4. S&P US Manufacturing/Services PMI data – Friday
5. May Existing Homes Sales data – Friday
6. A total of 10 Fed…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 16, 2024
June’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI report is due on Friday. This data captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector, which contributes significantly to total GDP and is considered an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic climate in the U.S.
Many analysts now believe that the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook is leaning towards a more conservative stance.
Nevertheless, if economic reports in the next couple of months confirm the outlook of disinflation and price pressures returning to normal, the rate-cut expectations may be brought forward.
This would be good for high-risk assets such as altcoins, as more liquidity and lower rates mean easier access to capital for investments.
However, the U.S. central bank is now projecting just one rate cut this year, down from the three that it had forecast in March, so altseason may be a few months away yet.
Crypto Market Impact
It is unlikely that any of this week’s economic reports will impact crypto asset markets, so another week of low volatility is expected.
Bitcoin has fallen once again, trading below $66,000 currently, after spending the weekend stuck at just over that level.
Ethereum reached $3,645 during Asian trading but lost those gains over the past few hours, falling back to under $3,500.
There was more red than green across the altcoins, with larger losses for Shiba Inu (SHIB), Avalanche (AVAX), Uniswap (UNI), and Near Protocol (NEAR).
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Cryptocurrency
Gary Gensler Officially Out: What Does It Mean for Ripple (XRP)?
TL;DR
- Gary Gensler was replaced with pro-crypto advocate Mark Uyeda.
- The lawsuit between Ripple and the securities regulator continues, with the XRP army expecting a favorable resolution after the changes at the agency’s helm.
Gensler’s Tenure is Over
Gary Gensler – the former Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) – officially stepped down on January 20. He spent almost four years at the helm, during which the regulator filed countless lawsuits against crypto businesses.
Perhaps the most popular is the legal tussle versus Ripple Labs (the company behind the cryptocurrency XRP). The entities have been at war since December 2020, and despite the numerous developments and court rulings, the case remains ongoing.
Gensler’s resignation coincided with Donald Trump’s return to the White House as America’s 47th President. Upon assuming power, the Republican enforced multiple amendments. Among those was the designation of Mark Uyeda as Gensler’s successor.
Uyeda is known as a proponent of balanced regulation that ensures investor protection while avoiding regulatory overreach. He has also presented himself as an advocate of the crypto industry, criticizing the SEC’s previous leadership for its negative stance on the matter.
“The Commission’s war on crypto must end, including crypto enforcement actions solely based on a failure to register with no allegation of fraud or harm,” Uyeda said in November last year.
The crypto community has long desired Gensler’s resignation and his replacement with someone more open toward the industry. Uyeda’s appointment might sound like great news, but the XRP army should keep in mind that the final resolution of the lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC is no easy task and could be prolonged in time due to the complexity of the legal process.
Perhaps XRP’s recent rally that started after the US elections could be attributed to a large extent to the hopes of a more favorable regulatory landscape in the country during the Trump administration. However, those who have pushed for a quick resolution could be disappointed as Gensler’s departure doesn’t necessarily mean the case is done. As such, the company’s native token might correct hard if it turns out that there’s a classic ‘sell-the-news’ event unfolding.
Meanwhile, the American attorney Jeremy Hogan noted that Uyeda will serve as acting Chairman of the securities regulator until the permanent one is confirmed. He expects this to happen in March or April this year.
Not long ago, Trump nominated Paul Atkins to lead the agency. The latter is also considered a proponent of cryptocurrencies but we have yet to see whether the Commission will change its approach once he steps in charge.
Ripple v. SEC: What’s New?
As mentioned above, the lawsuit between the entities has witnessed many developments in the past few months. Most recently, the SEC filed an opening brief requesting the US Court of Appeals to overturn Judge Torres’ decision from 2023. Back then, the magistrate ruled that XRP sales on public exchanges to retail investors did not constitute securities transactions.
Some of Ripple’s executives were not pleased with the regulator’s latest actions. CEO Brad Garlinghouse described the filing as “insanity,” whereas CLO Stuart Alderoty called it “a rehash of already failed arguments” that are likely to be abandoned by the next administration.
“We’ll respond formally in due time. For now, know this: the SEC’s lawsuit is just noise. A new era of pro-innovation regulation is coming, and Ripple is thriving,” the latter added.
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Cryptocurrency
‘Buy Crypto’ and ‘Buy Solana’ Google Searches Skyrocket After Trump Meme Coin Release
Search volumes for the terms “buy crypto” and “buy Solana” have reached their highest scores on Google Trends.
The surge in interest aligns with the launch of the Official Trump (TRUMP) meme coin over the weekend ahead of the president’s inauguration.
Search Trends Data
According to data from Google Trends, both search terms have hit the maximum score of 100, indicating a peak in global interest. Similarly, search interest in “Coinbase” and “crypto app” also experienced significant increases.
Further, searches for “Bitcoin” and “Crypto” saw spikes over the past week, with the former hitting a score of 100 and the latter reaching 92 on January 20.
According to The Block Research, mentions of “Bitcoin” on X also grew from 247,000 in the second week of January to 495,000 in the third. Similarly, “Ethereum” mentions jumped from 73,600 to 293,000 during the same period.
The analysts suggested that this increase in social media activity could be a reflection of rising participation from retail audiences, with casual users and influencers playing a key role in the growing crypto conversation.
TRUMP Meme Coin Ignites Crypto Market Activity
President Trump recently made headlines when he rolled out his new meme coin over the weekend. Initially met with skepticism by some traders who questioned its legitimacy due to similar tokens in the market, the asset gained traction after Trump addressed the launch on X, writing, “My new Official Trump meme is here! It is time to celebrate everything we stand for: Winning!”
Once authenticity was confirmed, TRUMP experienced a rapid price rally. Its value exploded after going live, with the token reaching a high of $75.35 and a market cap briefly surpassing $15 billion ahead of the president entering office.
However, the price surge did not last. CoinGecko data shows that TRUMP’s market capitalization has since dropped to around $7.7 billion, with its price falling by 32.3% in the last 24 hours, to trade at $38.90.
Incidentally, the launch also had a positive impact on Solana’s native token, SOL, which recently reached an all-time high of around $293. Analysts have attributed this jump in the cryptocurrency’s price to the hype surrounding the TRUMP meme coin.
In general, many crypto influencers and analysts view the development as a major event for capital formation in the crypto sector. However, not all industry participants are convinced by the recent excitement. Former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan cautioned against the speculative nature of meme coins, describing them as a “zero-sum lottery” with no genuine wealth creation.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple (XRP) Achieves a Major Adoption Milestone: Details
TL;DR
- Ripple (XRP) has surged 500% in less than three months, with the number of wallets surpassing 6 million and ecosystem activity increasing.
- Analysts foresee the asset reaching new highs, with targets between $4.40 and $6, despite recent dips linked to broader market corrections after Trump’s inauguration.
XRP’s Progress
Despite its plunge on a daily scale, Ripple’s XRP has been on a tear in the past few months. Recall that the price was hovering at around $0.50 at the beginning of November last year, while currently, it is worth over $3 (representing a 500% increase).
This impressive rally could be one reason behind the rising adoption. According to the latest data, the total number of XRP wallets exceeded 6 million. This should be considered a serious achievement, considering that the figure stood at around 5 million at the start of 2024.
This development coincides with other Ripple-related metrics that have been on the rise recently. Some examples include the number of executed XRP transactions and the number of newly activated accounts.
Reaching the aforementioned milestone, plus the increased ecosystem activity, suggests an expanding user base, which could boost demand and create additional upward pressure on the price.
XRP Forecasts
The list of analysts predicting that the token is poised for further gains is quite substantial. Most recently, the popular X user Ali Martinez claimed XRP “has broken out of a bullish flag” and is now gearing up for a new all-time high of $4.40.
Mikybull Crypto envisioned a similar target, maintaining that the asset has “one of the strongest bullish charts out there.”
Other market observers who chipped in lately include the X users CEO and Dark Defender. The former thinks XRP could skyrocket to $6, whereas the latter believes the asset may never plunge below $3 again.
It is important to note that Dark Defender made their forecast on January 20, when the price was trading well above $3.15. However, several hours later, it dipped below $3 following the plunge of the entire cryptocurrency market once Donald Trump officially became America’s 47th President.
During his inauguration, he touched upon multiple topics but failed to mention the digital asset industry, which might explain the dip. As CryptoPotato reported, the correction resulted in over $200 million in liquidations within an hour, as hundreds of thousands of traders were wrecked.
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