Cryptocurrency
Crypto market forecast 2022: The next few months will be crucial for the crypto market
The crypto market experienced another week of consolidation around the supposed “bottom”. The total capitalization index was at $999.28 billion at the beginning of the week. Then we saw growth to a local peak of $1.06 trillion (the index was again above $1 trillion for the first time in a month and a half). The index then declined to $959.1 billion by the end of the period under review. Thus, the final decrease in the total capitalization index was 4.02%. Against this background, we can try to make a crypto market forecast for 2022.
What will be the crypto market forecast this week? After breaking through the corridor of 20,000-22,000 for the first time in a long time, the bitcoin price returned to this corridor again during the previous week. The period we are considering started for bitcoin at 23,712. On the first day, a local high of 24,208 was reached. Then, until the end of the week, the rate was systematically falling to the level of 21 300. The final decline at the end of the period was 8.5%.
Etherium, during the past period, demonstrated slightly different dynamics. Starting from 1551, the rate of the asset did not go out of the corridor of 1640-1528 till the end of the period, dropping down to the level of 1457. The fall at the end of the week amounted to 6.06%.
Even though one of the largest public owners of Bitcoin – Tesla, sold a significant part of its accumulation, other owners, who bought at similar levels, continue to hold. According to analytical service Glassnode, there are now three main levels of buying within past cycles – about 20,000/30,000/40,000. And the level of 20,000 was formed quite recently, in the last few months. Such dynamics additionally confirm the psychological value of “round” figures and also indicate many buyers in the current market ready to redeem BTC at a price slump.
Crypto market forecast this week
After the rapid growth in the spot market, the dominance of call options remains equally high for both BTC and ETH. The level of open interest rose strongly due to block trades – call spreads and “butterflies” with an execution date at the end of this year. The current price levels showed a fairly large volume of accumulation; most of the negative events are already in the price; respectively, traders have an appetite for risk, and expectations for a more successful end of the year.
However, this cautious optimism is very different in its targets, if we compare the Bull Run period of last year. At that time, levels were actively traded several times higher than the current ones on the spot market. Now the target growth levels for BTC are 25,000-30,000, which is too far from last year’s highs. On the backdrop of this we can build a crypto market cap forecast.
Is a crypto bear market coming? The market is accumulating liquidity ahead of the Fed meeting this week, and is avoiding active directional choices until the decision is made, remaining cautiously optimistic. The next few months will be decisive regarding macro statistics and will allow for more accurate forecasting of funding conditions in global markets, which will add certainty and liquidity for future growth in cryptocurrency prices.
Cryptocurrency
Ripple’s XRP Neared $1, Can Cardano’s ADA Do the Same By 2024’s End?
TL:DR;
- The two best performers from the larger-cap alts over the past few days have been Ripple’s XRP and Cardano’s ADA.
- Perplexity analyzes each token’s chance to reclaim the coveted $1 price tag by the end of the year.
XRP at $1
It seems fueled by the growing speculations that the current SEC chair, Gary Gensler, will step down from his position even before President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration in January of next year. This could be regarded as bullish for XRP, given the agency’s ongoing four-year-long legal battle against the company behind it.
Although there’s no real indication of who might replace Gensler at the helm of the securities regulator, the community speculates that it will be someone pro-crypto. Or, it won’t be worse for the industry than the current administration, at the very least.
As such, XRP’s value has shot up in the past week by over 70% and earlier today neared $1 for the first time in more than a year. Given its current price tag of $0.95, it seems inevitable that it will reach $1 at some point, most likely in the near future.
The popular AI chatbot – Perplexity – indicated that most analysts believe XRP will tap that level as soon as today. Moreover, it noted that the asset could continue its rally and add another 50% by the end of the year, should the demand for it, as well as the FOMO levels, remain the same or increase.
Recent reports suggest that Ripple whales have been accumulating aggressively in recent weeks, pushing their overall XRP holdings to a 6.5-year high, meaning the demand is strong.
What About ADA?
Cardano’s native token has also been on the run lately, perhaps due to Charles Hoskinson’s revelation that he and the team will be a part of a dedicated team to work with Trump’s administration in order to create a more friendly regulatory landscape around the industry. Additionally, he hinted this week about some sort of a partnership with Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which could be behind ADA’s 20% daily surge to over $0.7.
ADA now needs to rise by 38% to reach the $1 target. Usually, that would sound a lot, but not in the current crypto environment. Many assets have surged by that amount in a matter of days alone. ADA is no exception, as its price has gained almost 70% in the past week.
Nevertheless, Perplexity believes XRP has a higher chance of doing so, which is expected given the two assets’ current prices.
“While there has been some recent upward movement in ADA’s price, analysts are less optimistic about it reaching $1 by year-end compared to XRP, given its current price trajectory and required growth percentage.”
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Cryptocurrency
Double Digit Price Surges From These Altcoins as Bitcoin (BTC) Reclaims $91K (Market Watch)
After a brief hiatus below $90,000 and even $87,000, bitcoin is back on track by gaining more than four grand in the past day and surging past $91,000.
Many altcoins have produced even more impressive daily surges, led by double-digit gains from the likes of XRP, ADA, PEPE, SUI, ICP, XLM, and many others.
BTC Above $91K
The primary cryptocurrency had another big week as it skyrocketed from $80,000 on Monday to nearly $94,000 on Wednesday to chart a fresh peak. After this massive rally, it was somewhat expected that it will cool off and retrace.
This happened on Friday as the asset fell below $90,000, and the bears kept pushing it to under $$87,000. However, it bounced off almost immediately and challenged the $90,000 level by the end of the day. It managed to reclaim it on Saturday morning and surged even further to over $91,000 where it currently stands as well.
At the same time, on-chain information shows that the asset’s bull run is far from over, at least according to the growing stablecoin going to exchanges and the declining BTC reserves on trading platforms.
With its increase past $91,000, bitcoin’s market cap has reclaimed the $1.8 trillion line. Its dominance over the alts also stands tall at just over 57% on CG.
Double-Digit Alts
The more volatile by nature altcoins have produced bigger gains over the past days. Their rally is led by XRP and ADA, both of which have soared by more than 20% in the past day. Here’s the potential reason behind ADA’s massive increase.
Other double-digit price gainers include PEPE, NEAR, ICP, XLM, BONK, HBAR, KAS, WIF, MANTRA, and many others.
In contrast, the larger-cap alts like ETH, BNB, DOGE, and TON have increased by up to 3%. SOL has surged by 5%, while TRX is up by 6%.
The total crypto market cap has skyrocketed by over $100 billion and is up to $3.160 trillion on CG.
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Cryptocurrency
Is Charles Hoskinson’s Latest Big Hint Behind ADA’s 20% Daily Surge?
The cryptocurrency market went through a somewhat painful correction yesterday, but most assets are back in the green today.
Cardano’s native token has emerged as one of the top performers, surging by more than 20% and exceeding $0.75 earlier today for the first time since March this year. This places the asset’s weekly gains at almost 70%, even though it has retraced slightly to $0.72 as of now.
Hoskinson to Blame?
With most of the market either with minor gains or with slight retraces, when a certain asset defies the odds and explodes by double digits, it raises questions about the potential reason behind it. In this case, the most obvious one comes from IOG’s founder, Charles Hoskinson.
During the latest video he published on X, he hinted about something big. Hoskinson said he went to California to spend some time with Elon Musk’s SpaceX. After praising the team for the work they have done and their dedication, he said that both parties discussed “some things” but have signed an NDA (non-disclosure agreement) and he still cannot talk more about it.
Nevertheless, he promised to do so in the future when he can. Although he failed to provide even the slightest details, his words caught the attention of the community, with many sharing the post and speculating about the potential meaning and impact for Cardano and ADA.
Consequently, this seems to be the most probable reason behind ADA’s daily surge. Recall what happened last weekend when the asset exploded after Hoskinson said he will work with the Trump administration to release a more comprehensive and friendlier crypto policy in the States.
The Best Community?
In a separate post, Hoskinson praised Cardano’s community after reposting a success story by the creator of TapTool. In it, IOG’s founder highlighted Cardano’s growing ecosystem, indicating that it has “the best community and the best entrepreneurs.”
When people ask why cardano, this is why. We have the best community and the best entrepreneurs. It’s a harder road, but it will change the world. I’m proud of them all, and with Voltaire, they will make the finest government ever assembled by humanity https://t.co/ArXrSJOFoi
— Charles Hoskinson (@IOHK_Charles) November 16, 2024
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