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Forget about price! Polkadot Decoded 2023 says bear markets are for building

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The Polkadot Decoded 2023 conference just wrapped up and this year more than 100 speakers and 100 blockchain projects were in attendance. 

The beauty of crypto bear markets is they catalyze a realignment of perspectives and objectives.

All the hidden leverage is gone and most of the speculation is gone.

SBF is gone.

Do Kwon is gone.

Three Arrows Capital, Su Zhu, Kyle Davies and a handful of other hucksters and snake oil salesmen have been exiled.

And good riddance to all of them. Crypto doesn’t need hopium, messiahs, populists and dream peddlers. What we need are builders, fresh ideas, solutions that have product-to-market fit and some sort of realistic real world application.

That’s what I like about blockchain conferences. Especially during a bear market.

The buidl first mentality is the whole vibe of Polkadot Decoded. For the past two days, a tightly knit community of ecosystem siblings composed of developers, investors, ambassadors and a few curious journalists such as myself rendezvoused at the Øksnehallen conference center which is tucked away from the bustling, cobblestoned streets of central Copenhagen, Denmark.

Polkadot Decoded 2023 at the Øksnehallen conference center. Source: Cointelegraph

The location is almost poetic given that it is a surprisingly quiet spot that is discreetly nestled within a thriving city center, and that ethos carried on through the conference events where the focus has been:

  • Creating better interoperability between the projects in the Polkadot ecosystem;
  • Making the blockchain more welcoming to builders; and
  • Refining the cross-chain bridges that connect Polkadot to Ethereum, Cosmos and other blockchains.

Hardly anyone is talking about airdrops, token prices, memecoins, Bitcoin (BTC) hitting a new all-time high or any of the general conversational fodder that forms the bulk of most crypto discussions.

It’s bigger than a dollar sign

Rather than price, panellists discussed the challenges and occasional successes of helping TradFi and Web2 companies transition into Web3, the steps being taken to make the VC funding of projects more transparent, and the need for all the crypto jargon and rigamarole to be placed on the backend of DApps and the frontend UX to be more seamless.

Many folks even suggested that “blockchain,” “crypto,” and “Web3” should not be mentioned on projects’ websites, apps, roadmaps and so on.

According to Public Pressure CEO Giulia Maresca:

“I think it’s not about talking about the technology because mass adoptees don’t know how the phone or Google maps or any technology is working. We need to create products that are really easy for the user, but given the benefit that they are built on Web3 tech. It should be really easy for the user; it shouldn’t be complicated. We shouldn’t talk about wallets, or bridging or doing complicated crypto things. People get scared the minute you start talking about wallets. It should be as easy as using Instagram.”

Speaking of Web3 and the need for crypto to have a better product-to-market fit and connection to real-world assets, I moderated the opening panel at Polkadot Decoded, which focused on on-chain entertainment within music and film. It was an intriguing conversation, given that the general consensus among creators and builders is that music and film will be the most sticky when it comes to user growth, retention and mass application of NFTs within everyday life.

Polkadot Decoded panel on music and film in Web3. Source: Cointelegraph

During the panel, Maresca explained why she believes that there is a natural synergy between creative industries and Web3 ideology:

“Web3 is a very socratic and creative space, and that aligns with the workflow and ideas of artists and creators.”

Maresca also firmly believes that phygital NFTs and experiences will gain a firm foothold in the areas of fashion design, the film industry and all aspects of the music industry.

Providing a real-world example of how fashion labels like Diesel were making entry to the Web3 space, Maresca explained:

“Diesel would like to be more into Web3, so we’ve helped them to build a really strong concept using music at the center of their strategy, so Diesel acting like a discovery label, discovering emerging and breakthrough artists to give voice to their art. And they’ve done a few drops with us already which were really successful, but we’re planning a big drop at the beginning of September that is going to be a phygital drop. So, I think now a big part of the future is phygital; it is giving experience, utilities, what the community wants, which is to have a VIP experience. They want something from the brand, not only the garments. They want to be part of the Diesel family. It’s a long process and lots of education to the C-level, but there are a lot of opportunities for brands to work with the music community, to fans, and to new fans.”

Ed Hill, senior vice president of media services at Beatport, emphasised that rather than being a mere buzzword, Web3 needs to become a tangible and actionable ideology within the corporate structure of the entertainment industry.

When asked about the disconnect between consumer desires, creators’ objectives and the products and experiences currently provided by the entertainment industry, Hill said:

“That’s a tough one to crack, but we have to go deeper and build better communities. If you look at YouTube and Facebook, those platforms are audience builders, and all anyone has cared about is views, and reach, and impressions and things like that. We have to go deeper into community building, and failure to do that is why younger audiences have been splitting away from traditional Web2 social media platforms, and I think, in time, if we build better, authentic communities from the ground up, that space between the corporate to creator to consumer gap begins to tighten.”

Related: New Web3 ID app lets users find each other based on proven interests

Community members are stakeholders, not just consumers

From my vantage point, and that of most conference attendees, crypto is about community, and the most viable projects tend to have a very grassroots approach where community members are stakeholders and their desires factor into the direction of the project. Historically, every time the crypto sector strays from this ethos and falls victim to the whimsy of money chasers and demagogues, investors and community members are essentially robbed of their agency within the project.

In order for corporations to transition into Web3 in an authentic way that bears fruit, creators, consumers and community members have to be viewed as more than a simple proletariat within a system purely focused on spinning up revenue and co-opting culture and turning creator IP into corporate marketing trinkets. Crypto media should take note too, but I digress.

Similar sentiments, which culminated with an optimistic take on the future of Web3, were expressed by Define Creative founder Finn Martin, who said:

“What gets me excited about Web3 is it offers all the tools and solutions to actually fix the problems that traditional Web2 has. By moving the assets on a chain, you can make it transparent for creators, you can give them direct revenue because, currently, the streaming model is broken. As a music creator, you own a fraction of a cent from each stream, and all of that can be addressed and solved via Web3.”

Blockchains should stop aspiring to be a jack of all trades

Polkadot Decoded 2023 main stage. Source: Cointelegraph

Generally, vast blockchain ecosystems tend to have a disjointed feel where a multiplicity of objectives and philosophies have investors and advocates feeling lost at sea. These projects tend to struggle with clearly defining their purpose, and this has a knock-on effect of impacting market fit efficacy.

They basically still struggle with the age-old crypto problem, which entails creating solutions for problems that aren’t actually problems for normal people. What stands out most to me at Polkadot Decoded 2023 is a unified goal of making the chain easier to use for builders, investors and users.

Regardless of whether the project is an AMM, DEX, lending market, blockchain-gaming startup, IPFS storage solution or a cross-chain bridge, each panel has made some reference to the need for composability, interoperability and turning the concept of Web3 from a thought to reality by building infrastructure for projects to thrive on.

Which is why I again emphasize the importance of getting out from behind the screen and TradingView token price action charts and into fellowship with the community at conferences. No man is an island, and there’s value in finding a safe space to socialize, ideate, test and refine one’s investment thesis and views on the evolution of blockchains.

Hat tip to Polkadot Decoded for having the right narrative on lock this year.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

Over 80% of Newly Listed Crypto Assets on Binance Have Declined in Value: Data

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Over 80% of the newly listed cryptocurrencies on Binance, the world’s largest digital asset exchange by trading volume, have declined in value.

In the past six months, these tokens have plunged in value since listing on the exchange, raising concerns for investors seeking out the latest cryptocurrencies.

Most New Binance Token Listings Trading in Red

According to a May 17 post by pseudonymous crypto researcher Flow on X, only five of the 31 tokens analyzed have appreciated in value: the meme coin (MEME), the Ordi token (ORDI), Solana-based Jupiter (JUP), Jito (JTO), and Dogwifhat (WIF).

Despite lacking venture capitalist (VC) backing, the Ordi token was the most profitable, with an increase of over 261% since its launch. The controversial meme coin Dogwifhat followed in second place, surging more than 117%.

Flow noted that top-tier venture capitalists back most new Binance listings and launch at inflated valuations. The average fully diluted valuation (FDV) on the Binance listing date exceeds $4.2 billion, with some tokens reaching over $11 billion. Often, these projects lack real users or a strong community.

According to Flow, if investors had made equal investments in each of the new Binance listings over the past six months, their portfolio would have declined by over 18%. This, Flow adds, suggests that many tokens launching on Binance are not viable investment vehicles, as their upside potential is already exhausted. Instead, they are exit liquidity for insiders who exploit retail investors’ limited access to early investment opportunities.

Flow also criticized the current market dynamics, citing economist Alex Kruger’s earlier observations on X. Kruger noted that many tokens are designed to pump and then dump due to short vesting schedules, fake metrics, and a focus on hype rather than user acquisition.

New Token Launches Causing Market Harm

According to crypto researcher Flow, the current token launch meta is damaging to the crypto market, and a new approach to token launches is needed. Releasing tokens at high, fully diluted valuations (FDVs) leads to value erosion and minimal market interest, ultimately causing the token to plummet. He added that this approach not only harms the token but also discredits the entire crypto industry.

He highlighted an earlier post by Crypto_McKenna, who criticized the practice of pushing protocols to launch at high FDVs to benefit pre-seed and seed investors. McKenna noted that launching at a lower FDV allows secondary market traders to profit from repricing and helps generate momentum and interest.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Taps $67K, Ethereum (ETH) Climbs Above $3.1K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s most recent run continued in the past 24 hours as the asset’s price climbed to its highest price in over a month at just over $67,400 yesterday.

Ethereum has also joined the party at last, having surged past the coveted resistance line of $3,000 and jumping above $3,100.

BTC Sees 5-Week Peak

Bitcoin suffered a lot at the start of May as it dumped to a multi-month low of under $57,000. It began to recover some ground in the following week when it soared past $65,000 on May 6 but quickly reversed its trajectory and saw its price dropping to under $61,000 on May 10.

The bulls intercepted the move at this point and didn’t allow any further declines. Just the opposite, BTC maintained its ground last weekend and started climbing on Monday to just over $63,000. Another brief correction came on Tuesday to $61,200, but the lowering inflation rates in the US, which were announced on Wednesday, sent the cryptocurrency flying.

In a matter of hours, BTC skyrocketed by several grand and jumped past $66,000. Although there was another brief retracement, the growing Bitcoin ETF inflows meant more price gains for the underlying asset, which charted a 5-week high of over $67,400 yesterday.

Despite losing some ground since then, BTC still trades around $67,000 now. Its market cap has increased to $1.320 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts is slightly down to 51.6%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 18.05.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 18.05.2024. Source: TradingView

ETH Goes Beyond $3.1K

The second-largest cryptocurrency was among those who trailed behind in terms of gains, as reported earlier and was losing ground to BTC. This was because ETH couldn’t reclaim decisively $3,000 despite several challenges in the past few weeks.

However, that resistance level finally gave in yesterday, which allowed Ether to shoot up above $3,100 for the first time in over a week.

Most other larger-cap alts are also in the green, with gains of around 1-2%. In contrast, Toncoin has retraced by more than 3%, and so has HEAR, which is down by 4%.

The total crypto market cap has added around $20 billion overnight and is now at $2.560 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Here’s When the Current Bitcoin Bull Cycle Will End: CryptoQuant CEO

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Bitcoin’s price performances for the past ten years or so have been dominated by bear and bull cycles.

In general, the BTC halving is regarded as the catalyst for the start of the bull market, while the last two years ahead of each such event are dictated by the bears.

Current Cycle

However, this hasn’t been the case during the ongoing run, which started in the middle of 2023 and was fueled initially by hype surrounding the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the States. Once those products became a reality in early 2024, the asset broke its 2021 all-time high and charted a new one of almost $74,000. This was the first time a new peak was registered ahead of a halving.

The reasoning behind this is that once those products saw the light of day, this meant that BTC is now a legitimate investment asset since the companies that launched them are some of the largest in the world, including BlackRock and Fidelity.

The inflows skyrocketed in the first few months, and even though the demand has somewhat flattened in the past several weeks, BTC’s price went on a massive run and still stands in a range between $60,000 and $70,000.

Additionally, the US Federal Reserve is rumored to start lowering the interest rates later this year, which is typically regarded as a bullish development for riskier assets like BTC and other cryptocurrencies.

Last but not least, the halving indeed took place a month ago. While most experts claim that the effects of each block reward slashing are diminishing in time, the fact of the matter is that the production of new BTC is declining and is now down to around 450 BTC per day. A lot less than the average accumulation rate by ETFs, whales, and retail investors.

When Will it End?

Ki Young Ju, the CEO of CryptoQuant, asserted that BTC is currently in the middle of its ongoing bull cycle. He outlined a chart showing that bitcoin’s actual market cap is “growing faster than its realized cap,” which is a variation of the market cap that values each UTXO at the price it was last moved.

Such a trend typically lasts two years and would mean that the ongoing bull run will end within the next 11 months or so.

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