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Has BTC bottomed out? Bitcoin forecast from the cryptocommunity

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The most capitalized cryptocurrency bitcoin (BTC) started the new business week with a burst of growth. The coin showed positive movement without renewing the lows predicted by our experts. Has BTC passed the expected bottom, and what movement prospects are open before the cryptocurrency?

Can bitcoin go back down? The cyclical minimum of bitcoin can be fixed near the level of $10,000. As of the moment of writing this review, the minimum mark to which BTC has fallen within the cycle is fixed at $17,708.

The cryptocurrency went up despite news that the trustee of the Mt.Gox cryptocurrency exchange, which went bankrupt in 2014, has begun preparations to reimburse creditors. Members of the cryptocurrency community speculate that many of the coin victims of the trading platform will rush to dispose of their digital assets. In this case, the market could face a wave of sell-offs, which will negatively affect the bitcoin exchange rate.

At the time the plan was approved, the cryptocurrency trading platform had 137,891 BTC (more than $3 billion, at the current exchange rate). By comparison, MicroStrategy, the largest bitcoin investor, had 129,699 coins under its control.

However, a survey by analyst PlanB showed that the Mt.Gox cryptocurrency sell-off is not the biggest problem on the BTC path in 2022, according to members of the cryptocurrency community. Most respondents believe bitcoin’s behavior is significantly influenced by factors such as stock market behavior and interest rate levels.

Traders expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 100 bps in July 2022. The regulator may take such a step amid accelerating inflation in the country. The next meeting of the Fed is scheduled for July 26-27.

Bitcoin is also under pressure from miners. Market analysis shows that BTC miners in the cryptocurrency community continue to capitulate.

Many members of the cryptocommunity believe that bitcoin has already passed the bottom, and that the cryptocurrency is waiting only for growth. For example, a youtuber who runs a channel under the nickname Crypto Rover recorded a “triple bottom” pattern on the coin’s chart. Regarding technical analysis, its formation may indicate a trend reversal. As for bitcoin, the appearance of “triple bottom” can be considered as the end of the fall and the coin’s exit to growth.

Crypto Rover also drew attention to the fact that the sentiment of bitcoin investors during the record number of days is at the level of “extreme fear”. Such periods, according to his observation, preceded the coin’s rise.

Another bitcoin prediction was provided by a member of the cryptocommunity under the nickname Stockmoney Lizards. He tried to project the possible trajectory of BTC using an analysis of the coin’s movement in past cycles. According to Stockmoney Lizards’ calculations, bitcoin passed the bottom, and is preparing for a new growth phase. 


Cryptocurrency

New Ethereum Upgrade Could Reduce Block Time by 33% and Increase Throughput by 50%

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A new Ethereum Improvement Proposal, EIP-7781, introduced on October 5, 2024, aims to reduce Ethereum’s block time from 12 seconds to 8 seconds.

The upgrade, introduced by Ben Adams, co-founder of Illyriad Games, could also enhance data capacity and potentially increase network throughput by 50%.

A Major Step for Ethereum’s Future

In an October 6 post on X, a developer pseudonymously known as Cygaar hailed EIP-7781 as the “first huge” step toward improving Ethereum’s L1 performance. They suggested that implementing it could reduce network bottlenecks and improve data capacity.

EIP-7781 is designed to expand the capacity of “blobs,” a temporary data structure that reduces fees on layer-2 (L2) networks.

The proposed changes aim to improve mainnet throughput while evenly distributing bandwidth usage. Some hope this will ultimately reduce peak demands without increasing the number of blocks or blobs to ensure smoother processing and lower latency, particularly for L2s.

Many have expressed support for the improvement proposal. In the GitHub thread, Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake noted that the plan aligns with broader scaling goals laid out by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, as well as several other scaling organizations.

Drake said that reducing block time could improve the efficiency of decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Uniswap v3 by 22%, roughly saving it about $100 million each year in CEX-DEX arbitrage.

Additionally, experts say the upgrade could enhance the user experience for Ethereum smart contracts by reducing confirmation times by 33%. The changes would also distribute peak load times more evenly across more slots, reducing strain during periods of high demand.

Potential Concerns for Solo Stakers

Meanwhile, some developers are concerned about the plan’s impact on solo stakers. According to some of them, shorter block times would necessitate faster execution and more powerful hardware, increasing bandwidth and processing demands. It could pose challenges for individual stakers using consumer-grade hardware.

Responding to Cygaar’s post, Adam Cochran, a partner at Cinnehaim Ventures, described the EIP as “reasonable.” However, he stressed the need for the gas limit for every block to remain the same for it to be feasible for most users.

In addition, the Information Science professor warned that increased demands could hinder Ethereum’s long-term decentralization goals by making it harder for everyday users to act as validators.

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Metaplanet’s Bitcoin Stash Reaches $40.6 Million After Latest Purchase

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Tokyo-listed Bitcoin holder Metaplanet has purchased an additional 108.786 Bitcoin for 1 billion yen, reflecting its ongoing bullish stance on the crypto asset.

The latest stash is worth around $6.7 million.

Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Holdings

According to the official statement released on Monday, Metaplanet – often referred to as Japan’s MicroStrategy – now holds 639.503 BTC, with a current market value of around $40.6 million. The firm disclosed that it acquired the additional bitcoins at an average price of 9.19 million yen ($61,880) per coin, while its total bitcoin purchases averaged 9.32 million yen ($62,790) per bitcoin.

The Japanese company has ramped up its bitcoin purchases over the past few months. In May, it declared that it was adopting the cryptocurrency as a key part of its treasury reserve strategy. Last week, it announced the acquisition of another 107.913 BTC, worth approximately 1 billion yen ($6.9 million).

Data compiled by Google Finance revealed that the firm’s stock price jumped over 12% following the announcement on October 7th, peaking at 1,045 yen on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, but later declining to 988 yen.

Metaplanet announced in August that it had obtained a 1 billion yen (worth around $6.8 million) loan from shareholder MMXX Ventures to boost its Bitcoin reserves. The loan features a 0.1% annual interest rate and a six-month term, beginning August 8, with repayment in a single lump sum. If the company uses the full loan amount for Bitcoin, it could purchase approximately 118.5 BTC at current prices.

Metaplanet’s Strategic Options Sale

Metaplanet also recently announced that it had sold 223 bitcoin put option contracts with a strike price of $62,000 and a maturity date of December 27.

The deal was made with Singapore-based digital asset trading firm QCP Capital as the counterparty. The announcement revealed that Metaplanet received a premium of 23.972 BTC ($1.44 million).

Metaplanet provided $13.826 million in collateral and received a 0.1075 BTC premium per contract upfront. The transaction yielded a nominal return of 10.75% and an annualized return of 45.63%.

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Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction for This Week

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XRP seems to have found support around 50 cents. Can buyers push the price higher this week?

Key Support levels: $0.50

Key Resistance levels: $0.54, $0.68

1. Price Finds Support

After a sharp fall last week, bulls appear to be back. XRP opened this Monday in green and is keen to return on an uptrend. As long as the key support at 50 cents holds, buyers have a good chance to return on the offensive.

XRPUSDT_2024-10-07_16-38-24
Chart by TradingView

2. Sellers are Retreating

Early October saw a spike in sell volume, but now sentiment across the market is improving, which could see the momentum shift back into the bulls’ favor. If so, buyers can aim to take XRP back above 60 cents. However, once there, sellers could return, as in late September.

XRPUSDT_2024-10-07_16-38-36
Chart by TradingView

3. MACD Momentum Shifting

After a difficult start this month, the momentum on the daily MACD is showing the first signs of a reversal, with a histogram making higher lows. If this trend continues, buyers could soon take over the price action and push XRP to break higher again.

XRPUSDT_2024-10-07_16-39-30
Chart by TradingView
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