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Here’s How Low DOT’s Price Might Crash if $6 Support Fails (Polkadot Price Analysis)

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A recent rejection from Polkadot’s 200-day moving average has sparked a significant downturn, bringing the cryptocurrency’s price closer to the lower boundary of its sideways trading range, marked at $6.

However, the price action near this juncture holds paramount importance in predicting the cryptocurrency’s next move.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

A thorough examination of Polkadot’s daily chart reveals a prolonged sideways consolidation phase, with crucial resistance at $7.5, coinciding with the significant 200-day moving average and critical support at $6. Recently, the price encountered rejection near the upper boundary of this range, resulting in a notable decline.

As the cryptocurrency now approaches the lower boundary of the range, sellers are poised for a potential bearish breakout.

Should they succeed in pushing the price below this critical level, a sustained bearish trend could ensue. Conversely, a bullish rebound towards the upper boundary of the range becomes feasible with an influx of demand. Yet, the price action around this vital support zone will dictate the cryptocurrency’s near-term trajectory.

dot_price_chart_1505241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

Zooming in on the 4-hour timeframe, following rejection from significant resistance around the $7.4 mark, which encompasses the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the upper boundary of an ascending wedge, the price experienced a sharp decline, nearing the wedge’s lower limit.

However, Polkadot is now teetering on the edge of breaking below this crucial demand zone, hinting at a potential fresh bearish momentum.

Despite this, considerable demand near this key level leaves room for a bullish rebound, potentially leading to a retracement towards the pattern’s upper trendline. Nonetheless, if the price ultimately breaches the lower boundary of the pattern, sellers will target the range’s lower threshold at $6.

dot_price_chart_1505242
Source: TradingView

Sentiment Analysis

By Shayan

Given the recent uncertainty surrounding Polkadot’s price trajectory, it’s vital for participants to delve into futures market sentiment to gauge the cryptocurrency’s future potential. The accompanying chart illustrates key metrics such as Open Interest and Funding Rates in conjunction with Polkadot’s daily price movements.

Upon analyzing the graph, it becomes apparent that simultaneous with a period of sideways consolidation, both Open Interest (OI) and funding rates have significantly decreased, fluctuating near their lowest points.

The notable decline in both metrics suggests that the futures market may be ripe for aggressive futures positioning, possibly triggering a substantial market shift.

Thus, if the ongoing consolidation phase culminates in heightened demand and an influx of long positions, it could signal the start of a noteworthy bullish trend, with eyes set on higher price targets. On the other hand, if the current steady price action results in the reinstallation of short positions, a cascade will be the most probable outcome.

dot_open_interest_chart_1504241
Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

bitFlyer Acquires FTX Japan to Expand Crypto Custody Services

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Japanese crypto exchange bitFlyer announced that it has completed its acquisition of FTX Japan, making it a fully owned subsidiary.

The deal, finalized on July 26, will have bitFlyer taking 100% ownership of FTX Japan’s outstanding shares.

Crypto Custody Services

In a Friday press release, bitFlyer detailed its plans to rebrand the newly acquired entity as “Custody New Company” by August 26, 2024. This new entity will focus on expanding bitFlyer’s crypto custody business, leveraging the company’s existing operational resources and advanced wallet technology.

“By acquiring all shares and management rights of FTX Japan, we aim to achieve sustainable growth,” bitFlyer stated. “We will leverage synergies within the bitFlyer Group to develop new services, benefiting not only FTX Japan and its customers but all stakeholders of the bitFlyer Group.”

According to bitFlyer, the Custody New Company will focus on meeting the growing demand for secure crypto asset management among institutional investors.

“The increasing need for institutional investors to enter the crypto asset market and the need for professional security measures drive our strategy,” bitFlyer explained. “We believe that providing advanced crypto custody services and crypto asset ETF-related services will add significant value to the bitFlyer Group.”

bitFlyer also said that it is prepared to address this demand with advanced security measures, using its expertise in blockchain technology and security. The company has developed a highly secure wallet, which will be integral to its new crypto custody offerings.

The financial terms of the acquisition have not been disclosed. However, they stated that it is exploring the provision of services related to cryptocurrency derivatives ETFs while awaiting further legislative developments in Japan, including tax regulations. These offerings are aimed at meeting the needs of financial institutions and trust banks.

FTX Japan’s History

The acquisition follows a sale order issued by the U.S. Court of Insolvency on July 16, 2024. FTX Japan has been under Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection since November 2022, following the collapse of its parent company, FTX. The Japanese arm had stopped exchange operations after the bankruptcy filing but continued managing customer assets.

FTX Japan was launched in June 2022, facilitated by the acquisition of fintech company Liquid Group and its subsidiaries, including Quoine Corporation, one of Japan’s first crypto exchanges.

Despite its promising start, FTX Japan faced issues just five months later when its parent company collapsed amid allegations of embezzlement and misappropriation of billions of dollars in customer funds. FTX’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was subsequently sentenced to 25 years in prison and ordered to reimburse $11 billion.

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BTCC Exchange Introduces Up to 50x Leverage on Over 300 USDT-Margined Trading Pairs

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[PRESS RELEASE – VILNIUS, Lithuania, July 26th, 2024]

In a significant move this July 2024, BTCC has launched up to 50x leverage on over 300 USDT-margined trading pairs. This development follows the successful introduction of 500x leverage on major trading pairs, including BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and DOGE. BTCC has now decided to elevate the futures trading experience by increasing the available leverage from 20x to 50x, setting a new standard in the crypto trading world where most exchanges only provide up to 20x leverage for their traders.

Since this launch, nearly 25% of orders have been placed with 50x leverage, showcasing the strong demand among traders. The 300+ cryptocurrencies feature many of the coins in the market right now, such as PEPE, SATS, WIF, SHIB, ZK, WLD, AVAX, and TON.

Alex, Head of Operations at BTCC, commented on the launch, “In June, we introduced 500x leverage on major pairs, and the response was overwhelmingly positive. Our users have since been asking for higher leverage on other altcoins, especially memecoins. This feedback drove our decision to increase the leverage to 50x on over 300 trading pairs.”

The primary advantage of higher leverage can be the ability to open large market positions with a relatively small amount of capital, allowing traders to significantly amplify their potential profits. This feature can be attractive for experienced traders who can predict market movements. However, traders must be aware of the risks involved, and the stop-loss feature is an essential tool to help manage these risks effectively.

About BTCC Exchange

BTCC, established in 2011, is one of the world’s longest-serving and most reputable cryptocurrency exchanges. Known for its robust security measures and user-friendly platform, BTCC offers a wide range of features, including spot trading, futures trading, and copy trading, catering to both novice and experienced traders.

Website: https://www.btcc.com

X: https://x.com/BTCCexchange

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Ethereum Foundation Wallet Transfers Over $290 Million in ETH After 7 Years

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A wallet associated with the Ethereum Foundation has transferred 92,500 ETH, worth $294.9 million, after being inactive for nearly 6.6 years.

According to Lookonchain, these tokens have been held at the same address since 2017.

The Transfer Details

On-chain data indicates that the ETH was originally received from the Ethereum Foundation on September 1, 2015. The transfer, recorded on July 25, occurred just minutes after a smaller transaction of 1 ETH from the same wallet.

Before the transaction, the only other one from this address in the past seven years was a negligible movement of 0.000513 ETH 30 days ago.

At writing time, Etherscan shows that the funds remain in the new wallet. The reasons behind this transfer are still unknown, and the Ethereum Foundation has not commented on the situation.

Before this, the organization had not engaged in any major selling activity in the current market cycle, causing speculation about a potential change in strategy.

Analysts noted that, historically, the Foundation had strategically sold large amounts of ETH during each bull market, often timing these sales with market peaks. The absence of significant sales in the current cycle had raised questions about whether the market peak was still ahead or if the Foundation had altered its approach.

On July 25, the price of ETH dropped by 10% as spot Ethereum ETFs experienced $133 million in outflows on their second day. The asset fell from nearly $3,500 to a multi-day low of $3,130. At the time of writing, the token is trading at $3,266, having increased by 3% in the last 24 hours.

Previous Ethereum Foundation Transfers

Earlier in July, other wallets linked to the Ethereum Foundation made some transfers. On July 17, according to on-chain analytics firm SpotOnChain, an Ethereum Foundation wallet and another connected to an Ethereum initial coin offering (ICO) participant transferred $12.5 million and $9 million worth of ETH, respectively, to Kraken.

Since early June, these two wallets have deposited a total of 17,886 ETH, valued at around $65 million, to the centralized cryptocurrency trading platform, suggesting a possible sell-off.

In January, Arkham Intelligence identified a blockchain address associated with the Ethereum Foundation that sold $1.6 million worth of ETH.

Then, in April, Peckshield Alert reported that the Foundation had converted part of its ETH holdings into stablecoins, exchanging 100 ETH for 354,000 DAI during a time when ETH was trading above $3,600.

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