Connect with us


Is bitcoin “digital gold”?

letizo News



There is no consensus yet on whether bitcoin is a protective or speculative asset. Few investors and institutions invest capital in the first cryptocurrency for protection against inflation. Studies of the correlation between bitcoin and various asset classes show that it behaves differently in different market situations.

Why is bitcoin not recognized as digital gold?

The main function of gold as an investment asset is its ability to maintain and increase its value during crises. When there is a prolonged period of recession in the economy, investors sell high-risk assets – which include stocks, for example – and buy means of preserving value, particularly gold.

Since the launch of the cryptocurrency’s main network, its price has risen consistently from year to year. But over shorter periods, bitcoin is a volatile asset. This makes it akin to high-risk assets. 

Various researchers have repeatedly found correlations between bitcoin and the stock market. In April 2022, Arcane Research said the movement of the first cryptocurrency was closest to tech stocks, which are considered a riskier segment of the stock market.

A few months before that, analysts at Goldman Sachs had warned that bitcoin’s price depended on macroeconomic factors and that its value could fall due to a tightening of Fed policy. That is exactly what happened later.

According to Bank of America, since 2021, the price of the first cryptocurrency has correlated with the stock market. As an example, the bank researchers cited the correlation with the key stock indices – S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Therefore, bitcoin is not a defensive asset, the bank believes.

What are the arguments for the digital gold thesis?

There are also arguments that speak in favor of bitcoin as a store of value. First, bitcoin’s protective properties have been talked about by prominent investors. The thesis of “digital gold” in 2021 was supported by American financier Ray Dalio, although he later noted that the first cryptocurrency lost out to gold.

In April 2022, former BitMEX chief Arthur Hayes opined that bitcoin would eventually become a defensive asset because of Fed policies and the depreciation of the dollar.

Second, a study by ForkLog found that during the 2020 crisis, the first cryptocurrency correlated mostly with the precious metal.

Third, bitcoin can change its correlation with different asset classes depending on market conditions. The view that the value of the first cryptocurrency is starting to coincide in behavior with risky assets during market declines was expressed in 2020 by The Block researcher Larry Chermack.

Another pro argument is the actual use of bitcoin as digital gold. Despite its high volatility, a lot of large companies already hold savings in the first cryptocurrency. According to the Bitcoin Treasuries website, Tesla, Core Scientific and Square are among them. 

One of the main proponents of bitcoin as a protective asset is MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor – his company owns almost 130,000 BTC.

Also, bitcoin is already being used in government reserves. Since 2021, the government of El Salvador has been buying bitcoin for its treasury.

JPMorgan believes that bitcoin has the potential to become digital gold due to its acceptance among institutional investors. but the first cryptocurrency’s dependence on inflation holds it back from achieving this goal. 


Bitcoin onchain metric are stronger than ever

letizo News



bitcoin onchain metrics

Galaxy Digital analysts published a report that examined key bitcoins onchain metrics (BTC), compared the world’s main cryptocurrency to other asset classes and explained what events could be the catalyst for the coming price rally. The company is confident that the bulls have plenty of reasons to remain optimistic – even despite difficult macroeconomic conditions.

BTC has become the best performing asset of 2023

Bitcoin is the best performing asset in 2023 compared to a lot of stocks, fixed income securities, indices, and commodities. It shows the best or some of the best performance over various time horizons (except for 1 year), and it looks even stronger over the long haul.

In addition, bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 stock indices has begun to decline, while its correlation with gold, which is considered a classic haven asset, has risen sharply. This happened against the backdrop of the crisis that engulfed U.S. banks and led to the closure of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and Signature.

Given the nature of the current crisis, in which the system of partial bank reserves is tested for strength, the fundamental characteristics of the BTC favorably distinguish it from traditional assets.

Accumulation, not driving price rally speculation

A number of key market indicators indicate that bitcoin’s price rally is driven by the accumulation of coins on the spot, not speculation in the derivatives market. The futures funding indicator has remained virtually unchanged since the beginning of 2023 – meaning that the market is net-neutral regarding speculative positioning. The same can be said about volume and open interest in the CME.

The total number of addresses with non-zero balances also continues to grow rapidly, with more than 45 million wallets holding BTC today. At the same time, most of them have never spent coins, but only received new ones.

The approaching halving will affect the level of inflation in the BTC network

The next bitcoin halving will occur in April 2024 and will cause the network’s inflation rate to fall below 1%. The halving events of 2012, 2016 and 2020 catalyzed a price rally and reached a new all-time high as investor demand for BTC quickly exceeded the declining supply level.

This event will put bitcoin among the most stable assets and make it less susceptible to inflation than gold and silver.

Early we reported that Whales are interested in Litecoin, again.

Continue Reading


Whales are interested in Litecoin, again: will it help LTC price return to the $100 mark

letizo News



Litecoin price forecast

In February, Litecoin, albeit briefly, returned to the $100 level for the first time since the collapse of the Terra ecosystem in May 2022. In early March, the price of the asset dipped below the $70 mark again. But that didn’t seem to hinder the whales’ plans, as large holders actively bought LTC during the correction.

Whale activity continues to rise

According to analyst firm IntoTheBlock, the average LTC transaction size increased more than 600% in March 2023, from $13,355 to $81,022.

The increase in average transaction size as the price pulls back signals an influx of large investors looking to buy back the decline in the asset. Given the financial strength of the whales, this could push LTC to another rally in the coming weeks.

Litecoin price forecast – could reach the $110 mark

Santiment’s Market to Realized Value Ratio (MVRV) shows that investors who bought Litecoin in the last 30 days made a 10% profit. According to historical MVRV readings, LTC holders have often captured profits of around 20%. This means that the $100 level is likely to be the next resistance zone.

If the price of the asset can combine above $100, the coin may continue its upward movement towards $115. However, bears can reverse the situation if the LTC falls below $80. With further declines, LTC could fall back below $70.

Early we reported that China intends to work with crypto-businesses through Hong Kong.

Continue Reading


China intends to work with crypto-businesses through Hong Kong

letizo News



Banking for crypto-businesses

Hong Kong subsidiaries of major Chinese banks began to provide services for local cryptocurrency firms involved in projects related to Bitcoin, altcoins and various startups. It was reported by Bloomberg, citing sources in the region.

It is alleged that the local branches of Bank of Communications, Bank of China and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank have begun, or are working to provide banking services to crypto-businesses. According to the publication, a representative of an unnamed Chinese bank even visited the office of a crypto firm to promote the services of the financial institution. A top manager of an unnamed large Chinese bank said in a media commentary that banks promote their services in Hong Kong due to the tacit approval of Beijing. The interest in the business is also due to the uncertainty around lending to the local market, they said.

Loyal attitude to the market of cryptocurrencies in Hong Kong has already “bounced back” to local investors with considerable losses. According to calculations by local law enforcement agencies, the region lost over $200 million in 2022 alone. 2,336 cases of crypto-fraud were registered in Hong Kong in 2022.

However, Chinese authorities’ interest is not limited to the crypto market. In early March, the South China Morning Post reported that China intends to stimulate the digitalization of the economy in Hong Kong with its own currency. The authorities are offering citizens a 20% discount for making payments in digital yuan. At the same time, the promotion is valid only for Hong Kong citizens and only in the southern technology center of Shenzhen (connecting China and Hong Kong).

Recall that in the fall of 2022, Hong Kong authorities announced plans to develop a cryptocurrency market in the region. According to the Hong Kong government’s website, the authorities will work with local regulators to create “favorable conditions” for developing the local cryptocurrency industry.

Early we reported that Cryptotraders lost more than $250,000,000 in liquidations after Fed rate hike.

Continue Reading


©2021-2023 Letizo All Rights Reserved