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Ripple case: Pro-XRP lawyer tips outright SEC victory at ‘less than 3%’

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Attorney John Deaton says there’s a 25% chance Ripple will see an outright win against the Securities and Exchange Commission, while rumors fly of a possible Ripple IPO.

Pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton has tipped less than a 3% chance for the United States Securities and Exchange Commission to score an outright win against Ripple, as an end to the long-running lawsuit draws closer.

The CryptoLaw founder has been a vocal advocate for Ripple against the SEC, which filed a lawsuit against the company in December 2020, alleging that the sale of its XRP token represented an unregistered securities offering.

In a June 3 episode of The Good Morning Crypto podcast, Deaton said he tipped a 25% chance that presiding U.S. District Judge Torres rules in outright favor of Ripple, and a 50% chance that Ripple claims victory by way of a “splitting the baby” ruling.

This refers to Judge Torress “drawing a line in the sand,” where she could potentially rule that XRP was offered as an unregistered security before 2018. However, in the wake of the Hinman documents — which refer to internal SEC messages related to a 2018 speech given by former SEC Director William Hinman — it’s possible that cryptocurrencies can transition from securities to commodities once they become sufficiently decentralized.

“I think that XRP itself is going to be deemed not a security and that I think that secondary market sales show comment. Even if [Judge Torres] does rule finding that Ripple violated the law, that doesn’t apply to secondary market sales,” Deaton explained.

While Ripple executives including its CEO Brad Garlinghouse have long been predicting an imminent end to the rollercoaster lawsuit from SEC, Deaton highlighted that Judge Torres will most likely come to a final decision before Sept. 30 this year.

Deaton brought attention to what he called a “six-month list” that district judges must file to Congress. The list details all of the summary judgements that have been pending for longer than six months. It gets published on the last day of March and the last day of September.

“She [Judge Torres] has never been on this list. It’s like a public shame list that says ‘look I’m shitty at my job.'”

Additionally, Deaton also gave his predictions for the price of Ripple’s native XRP token following a positive ruling.

“I certainly believe that somewhere believe $2 and $10 is reasonable”

Deaton said that the Ripple community should also keep a close eye on June 13, where investors will discover if XRP was actually discussed “between SEC staff prior to the Hinman speech.” This date is when the Hinman materials will most likely be unsealed and could have a drastic impact on the case.

There are also rumors circulating that Ripple may potentially IPO as a public company following the conclusion of the lawsuit. According to a June 2 tweet from Fox Business journalist Eleanor Terrett, Ripple hosted a “road show” where it met with underwriters and other investors to garner interest in a potential public offering.

Cryptocurrency

These Altcoins Extend Losses as BTC Faced Rejection at $100K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price struggles continue as the asset was violently rejected at $100,000 yesterday and pushed south by over four grand in hours.

Nevertheless, many altcoins are in even worse condition, with massive double-digit losses on a weekly scale.

BTC Up and Down

It was a painful week for the primary cryptocurrency, which started during the previous weekend with a price slump from $102,000 to $97,000 on Sunday morning after Trump’s tariffs against China, Mexico, and Canada. The situation worsened on Monday morning with another nosedive to under $92,000.

However, the cryptocurrency exploded out of the blue at this point and added ten grand within hours to spike above $102,000. That was short-lived, though, as it quickly lost the six-digit price tag and headed toward $97,000.

After a few days of sideways action around that line, BTC jumped to just over $100,000 on Friday. Yet, the bears were quick to intercept the move and didn’t allow a further increase. Moreover, the rejection was quite brutal as it pushed bitcoin south to under $96,000.

The asset now struggles to reclaim that level, and its market capitalization is close to breaking below $1.9 trillion. Its dominance over the alts, though, is quite high (close to 59% on CG), as most of them have been hit harder.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Red

The alternative coins suffered even more than BTC, and many continue to be well in the red. Ethereum has dumped by 4% over the past day alone and struggles to remain above $2,600. Chainlink, SUI, AVAX, ADA, and XMR are the other substantial price losers from the larger-cap alts, with declines of up to 7%.

DOGE, BNB, SOL, and HBAR are also in the red, albeit in a less painful manner. XRP and TRX are among the few alts with minor gains over the past day.

Nevertheless, the total crypto market cap has shed another $80 billion since yesterday and is down to $3.250 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Cryptocurrency

Dogecoin Whales Keep Buying but DOGE Price Keeps Dropping

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TL:DR;

  • Dogecoin whales have gone on a real accumulation streak in the past few days, but the asset’s price has yet to recover from the substantial losses charted on a weekly scale.
  • Nevertheless, analysts remain bullish, predicting that DOGE has hit its low during this cycle and will bounce off soon.
DOGEUSD. Source: TradingView
DOGEUSD. Source: TradingView

It wasn’t all that long ago when DOGE’s price stood well above $0.4. In fact, the last time the OG meme coin traded above that threshold was on January 21, when it briefly spiked above it.

However, its downfall began immediately, and it has not touched that line ever since. The most substantial slump came during Monday morning’s market-wide crash when all crypto assets bled out, and DOGE was among the poorest performers with a price dump to $0.2 (a two-month low).

The market started its recovery shortly after, and Dogecoin even neared $0.3 on Tuesday but was quickly rejected and is down to under $0.25 as of now. This represents a 25% decline on a weekly scale.

This substantial correction comes despite Dogecoin whales’ behavior, which has been quite bullish. As reported on Thursday, these large market participants had accumulated over 750 million DOGE during the crash.

They kept buying in the following days and added another 100 million within a 24-hour period, thus further reducing the available supply.

None of those purchases have materialized in a price rebound yet. However, this hasn’t deterred certain analysts from predicting a strong recovery, given DOGE’s historical performance.

Trader Tardigrade said the meme coin had copied its 2017 price movements, and it seems to have bottomed out, which could propel it toward a new all-time high soon.

KrissPax acknowledged the substantial correction but said such moves occur every cycle and are to be expected. He noted that they tend to shake out weak hands but are actually ‘excellent times to buy more on dips and prepare for what’s coming.’

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Consolidation Persists, but Risks Remain

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Bitcoin sellers are grappling with a decisive support zone at the 100-day moving average, with a potential breakdown paving the way for a retest of the critical $90K region.

However, heightened volatility is anticipated, as price action will dictate the market’s next direction.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

After sustained declines, Bitcoin has approached a crucial support zone where significant demand will likely emerge. This level is particularly important as it aligns with the 100-day moving average and the key psychological support at $95K. A confirmed breakdown below this region could accelerate selling pressure, pushing BTC toward the substantial $90K support area.

Conversely, a strong bullish rebound from this level could trigger a recovery, with buyers targeting a retest of the ascending channel’s midline at $100K. Bitcoin remains range-bound between $90K and $108K, and a definitive breakout from this consolidation phase will determine the market’s next major trend.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the lower timeframe, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy, characterized by a phase of low-volatility consolidation, reflecting market participants’ indecision. The cryptocurrency fluctuates within the $90K-$108K range without establishing a clear trend.

The lower boundary at $90K remains a crucial demand zone, providing strong support since November 2024. Bitcoin could stage another rally toward $108K in the mid-term if buyers successfully defend this level. However, a breakdown below this threshold could invalidate this scenario and expose the price to deeper corrections.

Until Bitcoin decisively exits this prolonged trading range, traders should remain cautious, as heightened volatility is expected.

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

The realized price of UTXO age bands, specifically the 1-3 month cohort, provides crucial insight into short-term holders’ behavior and overall market sentiment. This metric reflects the average acquisition price of recent buyers, serving as a dynamic support or resistance level that signals market confidence.

Historically, when Bitcoin tests this level from above, it often acts as support, suggesting that short-term holders remain confident in their positions despite elevated price levels. Bitcoin has declined toward the realized price of the 1-3 month UTXO cohort, which is around $96K. Holding above this key level reinforces a bullish market sentiment, increasing the likelihood of an extended upward trend.

However, if Bitcoin fails to maintain support at this critical threshold and breaks below, it could trigger a shift in sentiment toward fear, potentially leading to a distribution phase. As a result, price action around this level will play a decisive role in shaping Bitcoin’s short- to mid-term trajectory.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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