Forex
ECB: european economy today surprises with its resilience

The European economy today is performing better than expected, despite record inflation and the energy crisis, said Mario Centeno, head of Portugal’s central bank and a member of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Governing Council. This is positive news for the euro.
“European economy 2023 surprises us quarter after quarter,” he said during an event at the World Economic Forum in Davos organized by Bloomberg.
“The fourth quarter in Europe is likely to be positive as well. We may also get a surprise in the first half of the year,” Centeno added.
Some analysts are also showing increased optimism about the eurozone economy. For instance, a week ago, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) improved its forecast for the currency bloc’s GDP for 2023 and now expects growth of 0.6% instead of the 0.1% decline previously expected.
In the meantime, the ECB will continue its fight against inflation, Centeno noted.
That fight lies in the sharpest key interest rate hike in the regulator’s history. The rate is now at 2 percent, and analysts polled by Bloomberg expect two 50-basis-point hikes, in February and March, and another 25-basis-point hike in May or June.
Earlier, we reported that inflation slowed to 9.2% in the eurozone in December and 10.4% in the EU.
Forex
Default in the U.S. will force the world to look for an alternative to the dollar

A default in the U.S. would have significant implications for the global economy, including a potential decline in world stock markets and widespread panic. However, one of the most crucial concerns for the international community would be the search for an alternative to the dollar as the primary reserve currency, as cautioned by The Economist, a British publication.
If the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, it could result in the country’s first-ever national debt default in modern history. Given the widespread belief in the stability of the U.S. economy, the failure to meet expectations would have irreversible consequences, according to the publication.
“In most cases, the currency of countries that default experiences significant depreciation. This would cast doubt on the future of the dollar as a safe haven during times of crisis, leading investors to explore alternative options,” The Economist concluded.
Previously, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva called on BRICS countries to diminish the dominance of the dollar. He expressed the belief that developing nations should utilize their own currencies in global trade and advocated for the BRICS to explore the possibility of creating an alternative currency.
Earlier we reported that the ECB prepares to introduce a digital euro.
Forex
ECB prepares to introduce digital euro

The digital euro is expected to be launched in three to four years, with the availability of bills being based on demand, according to Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board, as reported by Les Echos.
To ensure compatibility with other similar currencies, Panetta stated that the ECB has been collaborating closely with the central banks of the United States, Britain, Switzerland, Canada, Japan, and Sweden.
Panetta believes that although interoperability is desirable, different national privacy regulations could complicate the process at this preliminary stage of comparison.
Experts anticipate that the ECB’s plans for the digital euro are primarily focused on retail usage. The digital currency could be transferred using a digital wallet and could be accessed through a standard app or existing online banking apps. The digital euro is not intended to replace cash but rather to provide an additional method of storing currency. It would serve as a secure and user-friendly electronic means of payment available to anyone in the eurozone.
Earlier we reported that the dollar appreciated against the euro and the yen ahead of the release of U.S. data.
Forex
The dollar appreciated against the euro and the yen ahead of the release of U.S. data

According to trading data, on Monday evening, the dollar rose against the euro and the yen in anticipation of the minutes from the May meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the country’s GDP data.
The euro-dollar exchange rate declined from $1.0808 to $1.0804, while the dollar-yen exchange rate increased from 137.99 yen to 138.53 yen. The dollar index, which measures the exchange rate against a basket of currencies from six U.S. trading partners, rose 0.04% to 103.24 points.
Currency investors are eagerly awaiting the release of the minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s May meeting, which took place after the central bank raised the discount rate by 25 basis points to 5-5.25% per annum.
On Thursday, the second estimate of U.S. GDP growth for the first quarter will be published. Analysts anticipate that the U.S. The Treasury will maintain its estimate of 1.1% year-on-year growth for the country’s economy.
Earlier we reported that the euro’s share of global settlements fell to a three-year low of 31.74%.
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