Forex
ICE warns EU about how gas price cap affects the economy

ICE has warned the European Union that an attempt to cap the price of gas on the TTF index (Europe’s largest hub, located in the Netherlands) will likely only make it more expensive. The cap on gas prices will have a very significant effect on the economy.
“In a memo sent to the European Commission, ICE, which trades on the TTF index, said the proposal to cap natural gas prices could lead to even higher prices, despite the fact that the initiative itself is designed to mitigate the effects of gas price hikes,” the agency wrote.
The gas price effect on the economy is hard to overstate. As Reuters notes, the note also says that liquidity providers are likely to buy short positions and stop selling TTF gas futures if prices rise even relatively close to the cap to hedge against the risk of holding those positions. According to ICE, the resulting shortage of sellers in the TTF market will result in higher prices.
On November 22, the European Commission proposed introducing a ceiling price for a monthly TTF futures price of 275 euros per MWh (a little over $2,800 per thousand cubic meters of gas at euro and dollar parity). However, on November 24, EU energy ministers didn’t agree on a price cap and postponed a decision until a meeting scheduled for December 13. As the Financial Times reported earlier on Tuesday, the EU countries are considering reducing the proposed gas price ceiling from 275 to 220 euros per MWh (2,275 euros per thousand cubic meters).
According to the previously proposed idea of the European Commission, the mechanism should be launched under two simultaneous conditions: the estimated monthly futures price on the index of Europe’s largest gas hub TTF exceeds 275 euros per MWh for two weeks, and the spread between the TTF price and the global price of LNG is at least 58 euros for 10 consecutive trading days.
When the mechanism is in place, there will be no corresponding trades above €275. However, this is a very high level. The settlement price of the TTF monthly futures has exceeded €275 for only a few days in the history of this hub in August this year. On August 19 it was at around €245 per megawatt hour, skyrocketed to a historic high of above €340 on August 26 (just over €3,500 per thousand cubic meters), and quickly declined to around €265 as early as August 30.
Earlier we reported that the inflation rate in the euro zone was close to its peak.
Forex
Default in the U.S. will force the world to look for an alternative to the dollar

A default in the U.S. would have significant implications for the global economy, including a potential decline in world stock markets and widespread panic. However, one of the most crucial concerns for the international community would be the search for an alternative to the dollar as the primary reserve currency, as cautioned by The Economist, a British publication.
If the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, it could result in the country’s first-ever national debt default in modern history. Given the widespread belief in the stability of the U.S. economy, the failure to meet expectations would have irreversible consequences, according to the publication.
“In most cases, the currency of countries that default experiences significant depreciation. This would cast doubt on the future of the dollar as a safe haven during times of crisis, leading investors to explore alternative options,” The Economist concluded.
Previously, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva called on BRICS countries to diminish the dominance of the dollar. He expressed the belief that developing nations should utilize their own currencies in global trade and advocated for the BRICS to explore the possibility of creating an alternative currency.
Earlier we reported that the ECB prepares to introduce a digital euro.
Forex
ECB prepares to introduce digital euro

The digital euro is expected to be launched in three to four years, with the availability of bills being based on demand, according to Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board, as reported by Les Echos.
To ensure compatibility with other similar currencies, Panetta stated that the ECB has been collaborating closely with the central banks of the United States, Britain, Switzerland, Canada, Japan, and Sweden.
Panetta believes that although interoperability is desirable, different national privacy regulations could complicate the process at this preliminary stage of comparison.
Experts anticipate that the ECB’s plans for the digital euro are primarily focused on retail usage. The digital currency could be transferred using a digital wallet and could be accessed through a standard app or existing online banking apps. The digital euro is not intended to replace cash but rather to provide an additional method of storing currency. It would serve as a secure and user-friendly electronic means of payment available to anyone in the eurozone.
Earlier we reported that the dollar appreciated against the euro and the yen ahead of the release of U.S. data.
Forex
The dollar appreciated against the euro and the yen ahead of the release of U.S. data

According to trading data, on Monday evening, the dollar rose against the euro and the yen in anticipation of the minutes from the May meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the country’s GDP data.
The euro-dollar exchange rate declined from $1.0808 to $1.0804, while the dollar-yen exchange rate increased from 137.99 yen to 138.53 yen. The dollar index, which measures the exchange rate against a basket of currencies from six U.S. trading partners, rose 0.04% to 103.24 points.
Currency investors are eagerly awaiting the release of the minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s May meeting, which took place after the central bank raised the discount rate by 25 basis points to 5-5.25% per annum.
On Thursday, the second estimate of U.S. GDP growth for the first quarter will be published. Analysts anticipate that the U.S. The Treasury will maintain its estimate of 1.1% year-on-year growth for the country’s economy.
Earlier we reported that the euro’s share of global settlements fell to a three-year low of 31.74%.
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