Forex

Positive news from the U.S. labor market has raised fears of further FED rate hikes this year

Published

8 months ago

August 8, 2022

FED rate hikes and inflation this year are at record highs. The U.S. jobs data released on Friday were truly unexpected by market participants, which had andwill still have consequences.

According to the July report on new jobs and total unemployment, the U.S. economy gained 528,000 jobs against a forecast of 250,000, and more importantly, the June numbers were also revised upward to 398,000.

The unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.6%, which was also a surprise since it had been expected to remain at 3.6%. Another positive piece of news was the average hourly earnings up 0.5% month-over-month and 5.2% year-over-year. Also, upward revisions were made to this indicator for the previous period under review.

Why did the overall previously positive sentiment in the markets change so drastically? It is connected with the fact that earlier the data showing the slowdown of the number of new jobs in the USA might have become the reason for the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause in raising interest rates in August, and in September to continue the cycle with a noticeably lower growth rate, for example at 0.25% per month.

Here the main reason for such a scenario was the situation in the labor market. The Fed has an opportunity to continue the sharp FED rate hikes this year, not just to limit the growth of inflation, but to make it go backwards.

Such a change in sentiment could put pressure on demand for stocks of companies, which always have trouble growing if the Central Bank conducts aggressive interest rate hikes. But in this case, the dollar would be supported.

There is also a possibility that the Fed may not change its plans to relieve pressure by raising rates, assessing the current situation in the economy as positive and the inflation rate as the maximum, which may stop and go in the opposite direction in the near foreseeable future, and without continuing aggressive rate increases.

Forex

Wall Street futures rise after the U.S. Fed meeting

Published

5 days ago

March 24, 2023

the preservation of the Fed's discount rate

U.S. stock index futures are rising Thursday, trading data showed. Markets are assessing the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures rose 0.22% to 32,329 points, the NASDAQ high-tech index rose 0.96% to 12,828.5 points and the S&P 500 broad market index rose 0.48% to 3,989.75 points.

The Fed on Wednesday expectedly raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.75-5% per year. The regulator noted that it does not expect the rate reduction this year, but allows it next year. U.S. exchanges were down 1.6% in Wednesday trading.

According to the CME Group, 55.8% of analysts now expect the Fed’s discount rate to remain unchanged in May, while 44.2% expect it to rise another 25 basis points. Thus, markets concede that the Fed may interrupt the cycle of hikes that began last March.

At the same time, shares of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase were down 10.6% in pre-bid trading. The exchange this week received notice from U.S. authorities of an impending charge of violating laws.

Later in the trading, statistics on initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week through March 18 will be released. Analysts forecast that the figure would increase by 5 thousand to 197 thousand applications.

Earlier we reported that the US budget deficit was $262bn in February.

Forex

ITB (International Trading Brachium) Broker Announced Its YouTube channel

Published

2 weeks ago

March 11, 2023

(Mahe, Seychelles-March 08, 2023) – ITB BROKER, LLC, an international forex broker, has announced that with our community growing, we believe that this will be the most effective medium to communicate with and so, we’re proud to announce the launch of ITB YouTube channel .

When a picture speaks a thousand words, How about a video?

Throughout our community building initiative, we strongly believe in video as our means of communication. Video has played a pivotal role in describing our futuristic services to our audience and in communicating our disruptive vision to potential traders or investors.
Over the next few weeks, we will be launching interesting videos on upcoming ITB features, bonuses, partnership or IB announcements and financial market expert interviews.
YouTube is a great place to pick up forex trading tips and learn how to use them in the real world.

There are a number of YouTubers that make great educational videos, perfect for beginners or those considering taking up forex trading. ITB group with over 10 years of financial experience provides you with useful tips and hints of forex trading via its YouTube channel.

About ITB

ITB Broker or ITBFX is a leading provider of online foreign exchange (FX) trading, CFD trading, and related services.

Founded in 2017, the company’s mission is to provide enthusiastic traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid market by offering innovative trading tools, applying excellent trading platform, meeting strict financial standards, and striving for the best online trading experience in the market.

In addition, ITB offers educational courses on FX trading and Cryptocurrencies on academy section of ITBFX website.

Forex

U.S. budget deficit totaled $262 billion in February

Published

3 weeks ago

March 11, 2023

According to a report from the U.S. Treasury Department, the U.S. budget deficit in February was $262,434 billion compared to a $38.8 billion deficit in January. The Dow 30 also had problems.

Analysts at DailyFX suggested that the nation’s budget deficit for February was expected to be $256 billion. A year earlier, in February, the U.S. posted a budget deficit of $216,590 billion.

According to the GAO report, U.S. government spending rose 3.5 percent year over year last month to $524.548 billion, while revenue, in contrast, declined 9.5 percent to $262,114 billion.

Earlier, the U.S. edition of the Washington Post published an editorial stating that the new draft budget proposed by the Biden administration undermines U.S. national security and its ability to invest in the future, because it suggests a further growth of the U.S. national debt.

The WP editorial board noted that the new draft budget assumes a $2 trillion budget deficit, including due to the high cost of providing health insurance to the elderly of the baby boomer generation.

Earlier we reported that the EU has agreed to reduce energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030.