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Gaza’s economy could take decades to recover, UN trade body says

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Gaza's economy could take decades to recover, UN trade body says
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People search through the rubble of damaged buildings following an Israeli air strike on Palestinian houses, amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip December 12, 20

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By Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber and Cecile Mantovani

GENEVA (Reuters) – It could take until the closing years of the century for Gaza’s economy to regain its pre-conflict size if hostilities in the Palestinian enclave were to cease immediately, the U.N. trade body said in a report published on Wednesday.

Israel’s offensive in Gaza in the wake of attacks by Hamas gunmen on Oct. 7 have killed more than 26,000 people, according to local authorities, and decimated infrastructure and the livelihoods of its 2.3 million inhabitants.

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development said the conflict had precipitated a 24% contraction in Gaza’s GDP (gross domestic product) and a 26.1% drop in GDP per capita for all of 2023.

UNCTAD said that if the military operation were to end and reconstruction to start immediately – and if the growth trend seen in 2007-2022 persisted, at an annual average rate of 0.4% — Gaza could restore its pre-conflict GDP levels in 2092.

At best, under a scenario that GDP could grow at 10% annually, it would still take Gaza’s GDP per capita until 2035 to reach the level of 2006, before Israel in 2007 made permanent a land, sea and air blockade citing security concerns.

“It will take until 2092 for Gaza to go back to its 2022 level, which wasn’t at all a good place for people in Gaza,” said Rami Alazzeh, an economist who works on the Occupied Palestinian Territories at UNCTAD.

“I think the main takeaway from the report is that the level of destruction that we’re witnessing in Gaza is unprecedented. It’s going to take a lot of efforts from the international community for the rebuilding and recovery in Gaza.”

UNCTAD said that in order to recover following a previous Israeli military intervention in Gaza in 2014, the enclave needs stood at around $3.9 billion. Those needs would be significantly higher following the current conflict, it said.

“Given the level of destruction and the intensity of the damages we’re witnessing currently in Gaza, and that the military operation is still ongoing, the number required for recovery in Gaza will be multiple times the $3.9 billion required after the 2014 war,” Alazzeh said.

Gaza’s economy had been in a shambles even prior to the conflict due to the Israeli economic blockade, with the enclave’s economy contracting 4.5% in the first three quarters of 2023, according to UNCTAD estimates.

Two-third of the population lived in poverty and 45% of the workforce were unemployed before the conflict. As of December, unemployment had surged to a staggering 79.3%, UNCTAD said.

“I don’t think the international community or the people in Gaza can afford decades of humanitarian catastrophe,” Alazzeh said.

“Gaza needs to be part of the development agenda rather than being treated as a humanitarian case.”

(This story has been refiled to correct the spelling of the economist’s name)

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Citi completes split of Mexico business ahead of Banamex IPO

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(Reuters) – Citigroup (NYSE:) has completed the separation of Banamex from its institutional banking business in Mexico as it prepares to list the retail bank, the Wall Street giant said on Monday.

The move to split Grupo Financiero Citi México from Grupo Financiero Banamex is part of Citi’s sweeping overhaul under CEO Jane Fraser aimed at simplifying its sprawling structure as it looks to improve the bank’s performance.

The New York-based bank is continuing to work on the proposed initial public offering of Banamex, the timing of which will depend on regulatory approvals and market conditions, Citi said.

“This separation represents an important milestone in our simplification,” Fraser said. “We will now prepare for the Banamex IPO.”

Citi has weighed a dual stock listing for the Banamex unit, possibly in Mexico City and New York, Reuters has reported.

The bank had previously said it planned to list its Banamex unit, which caters to nearly 20 million clients and has a network of 1,300 branches in Mexico, in 2025.

Citi was close to a $7 billion deal to sell Banamex to Mexican billionaire German Larrea’s conglomerate Grupo Mexico last year.

But tensions between the conglomerate and Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador led to the two sides abandoning the deal, with Citi deciding to pursue an IPO instead.

Citi México will maintain a “significant” presence in the country and continue to serve the bank’s institutional clients with a team of roughly 3,000 employees.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People stand outside a Citibanamex bank branch in Mexico City, Mexico January 30, 2023. REUTERS/Henry Romero/File photo

The bank has closed its consumer banking divisions in nine markets since announcing its intention to exit the business across 14 markets in Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Mexico, it said. Citi currently has a sale process underway in Poland.

Citi said its previously announced wind-downs of consumer businesses in China and Korea and overall presence in Russia are also nearly complete.

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Select Energy Services Stock Hits 52-Week High at $14.88

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Select Energy Services Inc. (NYSE:) stock has reached a new 52-week high, trading at $14.88, with InvestingPro analysis showing strong financial health scores and a market capitalization of $1.77 billion. This milestone reflects a significant period of growth for the company, with the stock price doubling over the past year, marking an impressive 100.27% change. Investors have shown increased confidence in the company’s performance and future prospects, with analysts setting a high target of $19. The company maintains a healthy current ratio of 1.78 and has achieved 40% dividend growth. InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional key insights and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, part of the platform’s coverage of 1,400+ US stocks.

In other recent news, Select Water Solutions has reported significant growth in its third-quarter earnings call. The company has seen a 20% increase in third-quarter revenues and a 33% rise in gross profit before depreciation and amortization (D&A) compared to the previous quarter. Year-over-year figures are even more impressive, with revenue up by 40% and gross profit surging by 99% compared to the same period last year.

The company has secured 25,000 acres under long-term contracts in the Permian Basin and two pipeline agreements in the Bakken. In addition, a disposal acquisition in the Northern Delaware Basin has added 10,000 barrels per day of capacity. Despite expected seasonal declines in the fourth quarter, Select Water Solutions expects Q4 margins to remain strong at 51%-54%.

The company has increased its quarterly dividend by 17% to $0.07 per share and allocated approximately $150 million for growth capital in the water infrastructure segment. Select Water Solutions anticipates achieving record adjusted EBITDA for 2024 and significant growth in 2025. These recent developments highlight the company’s ongoing commitment to enhancing its service base and positioning itself for continued growth.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Morgan Stanley shuffles cyber stock ratings

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Investing.com — Morgan Stanley made changes to its cybersecurity stock ratings on Monday, reflecting a more cautious stance for 2025 amid an evolving market environment. 

While long-term prospects for the industry remain positive, analysts are adopting a more selective approach due to near-term pricing pressures and a less favorable U.S. fiscal backdrop.

The firm remains “positive on long-term tailwinds in security,” driven by advancements like GenAI and public cloud, which expand the attack surface and create new security needs. 

However, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:) highlights several near-term risks. They note the spending environment is stable but still challenging, with tight budgets and increasing vendor consolidation putting pressure on pricing. 

“CIOs/CISOs [are] looking to consolidate multiple vendors,” which could negatively impact prices in 2025, according to the investment bank.

In light of these pressures, the firm upgraded two cybersecurity stocks while downgrading others. 

Morgan Stanley upgraded Cloudflare (NYSE:) and Okta (NASDAQ:) to Overweight, citing emerging AI product cycles and turnaround opportunities, respectively. 

The bank sees incremental upside in companies with emerging product cycles, such as NET’s growth in Edge AI and OKTA’s improving demand and product cycles.

On the other hand, SentinelOne (NYSE:) and Tenable were downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight. 

The downgrade of S reflects a “slower expected demand for core endpoint security in 2025” and pricing pressures from competitors. Meanwhile, TENB is said to face risks due to its high exposure to the U.S. public sector, which could see budget cuts.

Morgan Stanley also continues to favor “platform consolidators” like Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:) and CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:) in the long term but notes that near-term headwinds could limit their upside as they work through platformization challenges and above-average valuations. 

Overall, while cybersecurity remains a key priority for organizations, near-term risks ”may not be fully appreciated by investors heading into 2025,” the firm concludes.

 

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