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Haley makes late push in New Hampshire as poll shows Trump’s lead growing

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Haley makes late push in New Hampshire as poll shows Trump's lead growing
© Reuters. Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump attends a rally ahead of the New Hampshire primary election in Manchester, New Hampshire, U.S. January 20, 2024. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

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By Gram Slattery and James Oliphant

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (Reuters) -Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley makes her closing argument in New Hampshire on Sunday even as the latest polling shows former President Donald Trump widening his lead in the state ahead of Tuesday’s Republican presidential primary.

Trump is the first choice for 50% of likely Republican primary voters, widening his lead over Haley, who has 39% support, according to the final CNN/University of New Hampshire poll released on Sunday. The poll, conducted Tuesday through Friday, had a 2 percentage point margin of error.

The poll showed Trump gained supporters since early January, when 39% of those surveyed said they would vote for him. Haley’s support level also rose – from 32% in the earlier poll – as other Republicans have exited the race.

Time is running short for Haley, who served as Trump’s ambassador to the United Nations, to topple the Republican presidential frontrunner. Trump’s Iowa caucus victory last week underscored his dominance among the party’s voters despite facing four criminal cases and growing concerns about his authoritarian language. Trump has pleaded not guilty to the criminal charges and says the cases are politically motivated.

If she cannot score an upset win in New Hampshire, her already-narrow path to the nomination could close altogether.

“She needs to shock everybody on Tuesday,” Dante Scala, political science professor at the University of New Hampshire, told Reuters. “She needs to reset expectations.”

Haley has stepped up her attacks on Trump in recent days with a last-minute move to draw contrasts with a businessman and politician whose four years in the White House were characterized by chaos and who faces 91 criminal indictments, including for his efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 election that he lost to now President Joe Biden.

“Chaos follows him,” Haley said in an interview on CBS News on Sunday. “He’s just not at the same level he was in 2016.”

‘WARNING SIGNS’

Haley again knocked Trump, 77, for his age after he seemingly confused her with former Speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi at his Saturday night rally in Manchester, telling CBS: “I don’t know if he was confused, I don’t know what happened. But it should be enough to send us warning signs.”

Haley, who turned 52 over the weekend, has long cast herself as a fresher alternative to Trump or Biden, 81, in November’s general election.

Trump, who often attacks Biden for his age, brushes off criticisms about his own.

“I feel better now, and I think cognitively I’m better than I was 20 years ago. I don’t know why,” he said at a Wednesday campaign appearance, according to multiple U.S. media accounts.

Reuters/Ipsos polling has shown that Americans worry both about Biden’s and Trump’s age, though more are concerned about Biden. Some 77% of respondents to a September poll said Biden was too old to be president, while 56% said that of Trump.

Trump has also intensified his already fierce offense against Haley, including racist attacks on social media targeting her Indian name and amplifying false claims about her U.S. citizenship. Haley has responded that they are a sign that Trump is “insecure.”

The daughter of two immigrants from India, Haley was bornNimarata Nikki Randhawa but has long used her middle name Nikki and later took her husband’s surname.

Despite the late slight shift in Haley’s tone, some Republican and independent voters say she has not hit Trump hard enough throughout her campaign and must sharpen her offense.

“I think Trump needs to be put in his place,” said Chris Jay, 57, a Republican who said he was leaning toward Haley but wanted her to lob more head-on attacks against her main rival.

‘LOVE THE GUY’

Even tougher attacks are unlikely to sway Trump’s devotees.

“I really love the guy. And I’ve never felt that way about a politician before. He says stuff that’s inappropriate a lot, but a lot of it is stuff that I thought,” Carla Marshall, 67, said while waiting to attend Trump’s Saturday rally.

“They’re working hard to keep him down, but he just keeps coming back.”

Trump also leads Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who had jumped ahead to South Carolina only to cancel several planned television appearances on Sunday to return to New Hampshire for a hastily-scheduled evening campaign event.

Meanwhile, Biden, who is not officially on the New Hampshire ballot, is likely to get 63% of write-in votes, according to the CNN/University of New Hampshire poll.

His showing in the state will offer a first sign from the polls of the incumbent president’s strength heading into November’s potential rematch with Trump.

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Rithm Capital stock target raised on growth prospects

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On Friday, Argus increased its stock price target on Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM) to $13.00, up from the previous $12.00, while reaffirming its Buy rating on the stock. The firm highlighted the company’s ongoing transformation and expansion efforts as the rationale behind the revised target price.

Rithm Capital, which rebranded from New Residential Investment Corp. in August 2022, has since transitioned to internal management after previously being managed by Fortress Investment Group. This change is part of a broader transformation of the company’s business model initiated following the financial crisis in late March 2020.

The company has been actively growing its mortgage servicing operations and seizing new debt-related investment opportunities. In its expansion efforts, Rithm Capital has acquired a 50% interest in GreenBarn Investment Group, a commercial real estate equity and debt investment management firm.

Further bolstering its portfolio, Rithm Capital has also made significant acquisitions, including purchasing $1.4 billion worth of Marcus consumer loans from Goldman Sachs for $145 million. Moreover, the company has completed the acquisition of Computershare Mortgage Services Inc. and its affiliates, including Specialized Loan Servicing LLC (SLS), for an approximate total of $720 million.

Completing its notable transactions, Rithm Capital finalized the acquisition of the $33 billion alternative asset manager Sculptor Capital Management (NYSE:) in the fourth quarter of 2023. These strategic moves have contributed to the firm’s positive outlook on Rithm Capital’s stock and its increased price target.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Argus’s stock recent price target increase for Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM), InvestingPro data further supports the optimistic outlook. Rithm Capital’s market capitalization stands at a robust $5.55 billion, while maintaining an attractive P/E ratio of 7.41, indicating that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings.

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The company’s significant dividend yield of 8.73% as of the last recorded date, coupled with a history of maintaining dividend payments for 12 consecutive years, reflects a strong commitment to shareholder returns.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while analysts have revised earnings downwards for the upcoming period, the company’s stock price movements have been quite volatile, trading near its 52-week high. This could present opportunities for investors looking for value plays with substantial dividend income.

Moreover, with a notable year-to-date price total return of 9.73%, and an impressive 55.73% return over the last year, Rithm Capital’s performance has been strong. For those seeking more in-depth analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/RITM, offering insights that could help investors make more informed decisions.

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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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JPMorgan maintains overweight on CK Infrastructure, steady HK$50 target

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On Friday, JPMorgan upheld its Overweight rating on CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038:HK) (OTC: CKISY) with a consistent price target of HK$50.00. The firm’s analysis was based on a review of the company’s financial year 2023 results and current operating trends. Adjustments were made to the earnings forecasts for the years 2024 and 2025, with a slight reduction for 2024 by 2% and an increase for 2025 by 2%. These revisions take into account the influence of regulatory changes, inflation, and fluctuating exchange rates on the company’s regulated assets, particularly in the United Kingdom, Australia, and other regions.

The updated model reflects the latest developments and anticipates the potential financial impact on CK Infrastructure. The firm has decided to roll forward its price target to June 2025, while maintaining the previous target of HK$50. The Overweight rating suggests that JPMorgan continues to view the stock favorably in comparison to the sector average.

CK Infrastructure Holdings, which operates a diversified portfolio of infrastructure businesses, has been assessed for its performance and outlook in light of various external factors. The company’s exposure to regulatory resets and economic conditions in different geographies necessitates a nuanced understanding of its earnings potential.

The revised earnings estimates are a direct result of the firm’s comprehensive evaluation of the company’s regulated assets. These assets, which are subject to oversight by regulatory bodies, can be affected by policy changes and economic shifts, such as inflation and currency exchange rates.

JPMorgan’s reaffirmation of the Overweight rating indicates confidence in CK Infrastructure’s ability to navigate the complexities of its operating environment. The price target of HK$50 remains unchanged, signaling the firm’s belief in the company’s value proposition and its prospects for the future.

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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Ashland shares target raised on improving demand

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On Friday, Argus maintained a Buy rating on Ashland Inc . (NYSE: NYSE:) and increased the stock’s price target to $118 from $109. This adjustment suggests a potential total return of approximately 21%, including dividends, based on the current share prices.

The specialty chemicals and additives provider has experienced underwhelming operational and financial performance over recent quarters, including the second quarter of 2024. This was attributed to slower economic growth in key regions such as China, Europe, and parts of Asia. These areas faced challenges due to soft customer demand and ongoing inventory destocking by suppliers, which adversely affected Ashland’s revenue and profit margins.

Despite these challenges, there have been positive signs in the last quarter indicating a shift in market conditions. Ashland’s management has reported a gradual increase in demand across most of the company’s end markets.

According to Argus, this improvement is a result of the destocking cycle nearing its end and customer demand beginning to rise, which are seen as favorable trends for Ashland’s future growth.

The revised stock price target reflects the analyst’s confidence in Ashland’s recovery trajectory as the market dynamics that previously hindered the company’s performance are starting to reverse. The upward revision in the price target is based on the expectation of a continued recovery in customer demand patterns and the conclusion of inventory destocking.

Investors and market watchers will be monitoring Ashland’s progress closely, as the company aims to capitalize on the improving demand in its various markets and work towards delivering value to its shareholders.

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InvestingPro Insights

As Argus maintains a positive outlook on Ashland Inc. (NYSE: ASH), highlighting the potential for a 21% total return, InvestingPro data provides additional insights into the company’s financial health and market performance.

Ashland’s management’s aggressive share buyback strategy and a high shareholder yield are noteworthy, as noted by InvestingPro Tips. Furthermore, the company’s consistent dividend growth, with dividends raised for five consecutive years and maintained for 54 years, underscores its commitment to shareholder returns.

From a market perspective, Ashland’s stock is trading near its 52-week high, with analysts predicting profitability for the year. The company’s strong liquidity position, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, is reassuring for investors.

Key financial metrics include a market capitalization of $4.98 billion, a P/E ratio of 26.25, and a dividend yield of 1.64%. Despite a decline in revenue growth over the last twelve months, the stock has experienced a significant price uptick, with a 29.41% total return over the last six months.

For those considering a deeper analysis of Ashland, InvestingPro offers additional insights. There are currently 11 more InvestingPro Tips available for Ashland Inc., which can be accessed by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/ASH. To enhance your investing strategy with these insights, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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