Economy
The Fed will raise the rate to 5-5.25%, says the Head of The Atlanta Fed
Will the Fed raise the rate again? The Federal Reserve needs to keep raising the benchmark interest rate until it reaches 5-5.25% per year, said Rafael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) of Atlanta. The Fed’s rate is currently at 4.5-4.75%.
Fed interest rate — forecast
Bostick does not expect the Fed to lower the rate in 2023. In his view, the central bank will need to hold the 5-5.25% rate range for much of 2024. What will happen to stock market indices, particularly the S&P 500?
He noted that despite signals of declining price pressures in the U.S., the time for the U.S. central bank to change course has not yet come.
“History shows that if we ease up on inflation before it is fully suppressed, it could flare up again,” Bostick said in an article published on the Atlanta Fed’s Website. — We have to beat inflation now.“
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said yesterday at an event in South Dakota that he has not yet decided whether a 25 basis point (bps) or 50 bps increase in the Federal Reserve rate should be significant in March.
He said he had projected in December that the rate cap for the current cycle should be 5.4%. The Fed chiefs’ median forecast from the December meeting was that the rate would reach 5.1% by the end of 2023.
Kashkari said Wednesday that he is leaning toward raising his estimate of the peak rate.
A key factor that will influence the Fed’s future decisions will be new projections for U.S. inflation, Kashkari said. The Fed will release those projections along with the results of its March meeting.
Kashkari has a vote this year on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Bostick does not.
Earlier, we reported that Tesla tried to reassure investors at the executives’ speech.
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo
MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.
The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.
Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.
“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.
Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.
“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.
The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.
The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers walk past an under-construction area with completed office towers in the background, in Shenzhen’s Qianhai new district, Guangdong province, China August 25, 2023. REUTERS/David Kirton/File Photo
SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s top planning body said on Saturday it had identified a second batch of public investment projects, including flood control and disaster relief programmes, under a bond issuance and investment plan announced in October to boost the economy.
With the latest tranche, China has now earmarked more than 800 billion yuan of its 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion) in additional government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, as it focuses on fiscal steps to shore up the flagging economy.
The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in a statement on Saturday it had identified 9,600 projects with planned investment of more than 560 billion yuan.
China’s economy, the world’s second largest, is struggling to regain its footing post-COVID-19 as policymakers grapple with tepid consumer demand, weak exports, falling foreign investment and a deepening real estate crisis.
The 1 trillion yuan in additional bond issuance will widen China’s 2023 budget deficit ratio to around 3.8 percent from 3 percent, the state-run Xinhua news agency has said.
“Construction of the projects will improve China’s flood control system, emergency response mechanism and disaster relief capabilities, and better protect people’s lives and property, so it is very significant,” the NDRC said.
The agency said it will coordinate with other government bodies to make sure that funds are allocated speedily for investment and that high standards of quality are maintained in project construction.
($1 = 7.1315 renminbi)
© Reuters. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 14, 2019. REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov/File Photo
MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s central bank will need two to three months to make sure that inflation is steadily declining before taking any decision on interest rate cuts, the bank’s governor Elvira Nabiullina told RBC media on Sunday.
The central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 16% earlier in December, hiking for the fifth consecutive meeting in response to stubborn inflation, and suggested that its tightening cycle was nearly over.
Nabiullina said it was not yet clear when exactly the regulator would start cutting rates, however.
“We really need to make sure that inflation is steadily decreasing, that these are not one-off factors that can affect the rate of price growth in a particular month,” she said.
Nabiullina said the bank was taking into account a wide range of indicators but primarily those that “characterize the stability of inflation”.
“This will take two or three months or more – it depends on how much the wide range of indicators that characterize sustainable inflation declines,” she said.
The bank will next convene to set its benchmark rate on Feb. 16.
The governor also said the bank should have started monetary policy tightening earlier than in July, when it embarked on the rate-hiking cycle.
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