Investing.com– Most Asian currencies rose slightly on Friday, capitalizing on a drop in the dollar as markets hunkered down before key U.S. payrolls data that is likely to factor into interest rates. 

The dollar was also pressured by a rebound in the Japanese yen, which pulled further away from 34-year lows amid what appeared to be government intervention in currency markets. 

Weakness in the dollar offered some breathing room to regional currencies, although they were still nursing steep losses on the prospect of U.S. interest rates remaining high for longer. 

Japanese yen firms amid likely intervention, USDJPY at 3-week low

The Japanese yen saw extended gains on Friday, with the pair- which moves inversely to strength in the yen- falling 0.4% to 153.02. The pair briefly hit a three-week low of 152.9. 

The USDJPY pair was set to lose about 3.4% this week as it tumbled from 34-year highs. Traders and analysts attributed the drop largely to currency market intervention by the Japanese government.

The USDJPY pair had surged to 160 earlier this week. Traders said this level was the new line in the sand for currency market intervention. 

Domestic Japanese markets were closed on Friday. But the lower volumes also aided the yen. 

Still, the factors that had spurred recent yen weakness remained in play, chiefly the prospect of high-for-longer U.S. interest rates. 

Broader Asian currencies rose slightly, capitalizing on an overnight drop in the dollar. The Australian dollar’s pair rose 0.2%, as markets positioned for potentially hawkish signals from the next week. Hotter-than-expected Australian inflation readings saw markets largely price out expectations of any rate cuts by the RBA in 2024, offering the Aussie some strength. 

Trading volumes in Asia remained muted on account of market holidays in Japan and China.

The South Korean won’s pair fell 0.3%, while the Singapore dollar’s pair fell 0.1%.

The Indian rupee’s pair fell slightly, and was trading well below record highs hit in April. 

Dollar steadies from overnight losses, nonfarm payrolls awaited 

The and steadied in Asian trade after tumbling in overnight trade, as pressure from the yen and expectations of no more interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve dented the greenback. 

Focus was now squarely on data for April, which is due later in the day. The reading has consistently beaten estimates for the past five months, with any signs of persistent labor market strength giving the Fed more headroom to keep rates high for longer.

The Fed signaled earlier this week that it had no plans to cut rates in the near-term, especially in the face of sticky inflation.

Investing.com– The Japanese yen firmed on Friday, with the USDJPY pair hitting a three-week low after  sharp declines through this week that traders largely attributed to government intervention. 

The pair, which gauges the amount of yen required to buy one dollar, was trading down 0.2% at 153.34 yen. It had fallen as low as 152.9 on Thursday, reaching its weakest level since mid-April.

The USDJPY pair fell sharply through this week amid increasing evidence that the Japanese government had intervened in markets on at least three separate instances- on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday. 

The suspected intervention came after the USDJPY pair surged to 160 at the beginning of the week, which traders said was the new line in the sand for the yen. The Japanese currency started the week at its weakest level since 1990. 

The factors that had pressured the yen in the lead-up to this week still remained in play. Recent comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve reinforced expectations that interest rates will remain high for longer.

A widening gap between U.S. and Japanese rates was a key point of pressure on the yen, with a historic rate hike by the Bank of Japan in March doing little to alleviate this pressure. 

The BOJ also offered middling signals on future rate hikes during a late-April meeting, which triggered the yen’s recent bout of losses. 

While Japanese government officials did not directly confirm this week’s intervention, Reuters estimated that Japan may have spent between 3.66 trillion yen and 5.5 trillion yen ($23.59 billion- $35.06 billion) when intervening in markets on Monday, based on BOJ data. 

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The yen gained on Thursday, following a sudden rally late on Wednesday that traders and analysts attributed to intervention by Japanese authorities, while the dollar was broadly lower before key jobs data on Friday.

The sharp move in the yen on Wednesday came in a quiet period for markets after Wall Street had closed, and hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve had wrapped up its policy meeting.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell confirmed the central bank’s expectation to cut rates, but acknowledged such a move would come later than expected due to stubbornly high inflation.

The dollar eased, however, due to the Fed not adopting a more hawkish tone that included the potential for further rate hikes.

The timing of the intervention was “pragmatic,” as “volumes were light, liquidity was thin, and it’s easier to make an impact at that time,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in New York.

The dollar was last down 0.9% at 153.09 yen..

Japan’s vice finance minister for international affairs, Masato Kanda, who oversees currency policy at the Ministry of Finance, told Reuters he had no comment on whether Japan had intervened in the market.

Wednesday’s volatility came after a similar move on Monday, which was also during a time of light trading.

“Clearly they want to make as much as an impact and do it as efficiently as possible,” said Bechtel.

The Bank of Japan’s official data indicated Japan may have spent 3.66 trillion yen ($23.59 billion) on Wednesday and 5.5 trillion yen ($35.06 billion) supporting the currency on Monday to pull it back from new 34-year lows.

While the supposed interventions may buy Japan some time, the trend is likely to remain negative for the Japanese currency until the U.S. economy slows and as long as the Bank of Japan disappoints traders on how far it is willing to raise rates.

The dollar remains up more than 10% against the yen this year, as traders push back expectations on the timing of a first Fed rate cut, while the BOJ has signaled it will go slow with further policy tightening after raising rates in March for the first time since 2007.

The next major U.S. economic focus that could drive further moves in dollar/yen will be Friday’s jobs report for April, which is expected to show that employers added 243,000 jobs during the month.

“A lot hinges on tomorrow’s jobs report,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

A weaker number would give Japanese authorities relief, and likely pull Treasury yields and the dollar lower. A strong report, however, could send yields and the greenback higher and increase the risk of further interventions.

If 10-year Treasury yields approach the 5% region, “I’d say the dollar/yen is going to come under more pressure,” said Chandler. “It’s all about what happens with U.S. rates – we’re sort of the big moving piece.”

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were last at 4.57%.

Data on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits held steady at a low level last week.

The fell 0.38% to 105.31, while the euro gained 0.17% to $1.0728.

The dollar weakened 0.59% to 0.91 Swiss francs after Swiss annual inflation in April accelerated faster than expected.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 3.56% to $59,319.